Posted 4/15/2024, 5:03:44 AM
U.S. Economic Strength Supporting Global Growth But Carries Risk of Prolonged High Inflation
- U.S. economic growth above potential emerging as key support for global expansion, but high inflation and tight monetary policy pose risks
- Unclear if U.S. success driven by positive forces like more labor and productivity, or outsized deficits stoking inflation
- Recent stalled progress on bringing down U.S. inflation already lowering outlook for Fed rate cuts
- Extended U.S. inflation fight would constrain other central banks' ability to cut rates
- If U.S. economy stays too strong for full disinflation, tight money drag could replace current global growth boost