Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have been experiencing a steady decline in prices due to concerns from the Federal Reserve, leading to warnings of a potential price crash, although some analysts remain hopeful for improvement.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a decline after the Federal Reserve decided not to raise interest rates, suggesting that significant gains may not be anticipated in the near future.
The impending federal shutdown, combined with other economic challenges such as rising gas prices, student loan payments, and reduced pandemic savings, is expected to strain American households and potentially weaken economic growth in the last quarter of the year.
The possibility of a government shutdown in the U.S. could have negative implications for the crypto industry's regulatory progress and projects, similar to the effects seen in the previous shutdown in 2018 and 2019, with delays in approvals and a withdrawal of a bitcoin ETF application.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are rising as traders are optimistic about the potential of a US government shutdown, despite the risk of liquidity drainage.
Bitcoin's positive monthly return may be at risk due to a possible federal government shutdown, as the cryptocurrency faces a modest pullback, while other digital assets outperform the market.
Bitcoin's sharp rally on October 1 may have been influenced by a temporary agreement reached by US legislators to avert a government shutdown, combined with the historically strong performance of Bitcoin in October, while the US stock markets are also in a favorable position this month. However, the rising US dollar index could pose a challenge for the bulls in the cryptocurrency markets.
Bitcoin could face difficulties in the long term due to tightening liquidity in the current macroeconomic environment, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten. Merten believes that Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by monetary policy and warns that if sentiment turns bearish, investors may start cashing out.
The possibility of a 50% crash in the S&P 500, a recession next year, and falling house prices are predicted by Jeremy Grantham, who also criticizes bitcoin as a scam and advises against investing in US stocks or real estate.
Bitcoin could potentially drop by more than 46% if there is a recession caused by the Federal Reserve's actions, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten.
Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies are struggling to maintain their early 2023 gains due to the U.S. government's crackdown on crypto, prompting billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones to stockpile bitcoin and gold amid the "cataclysmic" fiscal situation in the country.
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are down following the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed slowing inflation, with experts noting that investors are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset and CPI figures are becoming less relevant for the crypto market.