CPI Shows Inflation Slowing, Supporting Potential Fed Rate Cut While Raising Questions on Timing
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CPI report shows inflation is on a downward trajectory, though still above the Fed's 2% target. This supports the notion of a June rate cut from the Fed.
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Bringing down inflation is a "process" that requires patience, but the print demonstrates the Fed is making progress towards its goal.
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If the Fed cuts rates prematurely, they risk unwinding progress made on inflation. Focus should shift from inflation to economic resilience.
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As expectations for a soft landing grow, a short, shallow recession might actually be "preferable" for investors over no rate cuts.
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Housing and gas costs accounted for 60% of the monthly CPI increase, but the Fed will likely look past shelter costs to other inflation measures in determining policy.