Posted 3/18/2024, 2:02:00 AM
China's efforts to tackle hidden debt may fall short
- Title Why China's drive to resolve hidden government debt could fall short
- Some estimates indicate nation has around $10tn in such debt
- Debt restructuring or swaps for local government financing vehicles, either through banks or special refinancing bonds, will only provide temporary relief against an imminent liquidity crisis, scholars and analysts say.
- China's central government has rolled out new measures since mid-2021 to help local governments swap or restructure their off-the-books borrowing to control debt risk
- However, the scale of China's hidden local government debt - up to over $9.8 trillion per some estimates, is more than twice Germany's GDP - means the measures are far from adequate and will only temporarily relieve what experts say is an impending liquidity crisis for regional authorities