Posted 3/20/2024, 6:58:34 PM
Fed's Sahm: Dot Plot Mischaracterizes FOMC Views, But Inflation Still on Downward Path Despite Recent Bumps
- Sahm critiques the Fed's dot plot for mischaracterizing sentiments from the entire FOMC and says it should not be public
- Sahm agrees with the Fed's inflation outlook that it is coming down, though the last 2 months of data have been disappointing
- Getting inflation down has been a slog, but the trajectory is headed in the right direction towards 2%
- The root cause of high inflation has been the COVID pandemic which highly disrupted the economy
- The Fed's 2024 GDP growth projection ticked up showing improved economic outlook, aligning with Sahm's view