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Arm’s flotation could revive the market for IPOs

Despite a record-breaking year for IPOs in 2021, the pace of new listings has slowed in 2022 and 2023 due to factors such as volatile markets and uncertainty over interest rates, but there is hope for a resurgence in 2024 if certain conditions are met.

economist.com
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Main topic: The optimistic outlook for the tech industry and potential for IPOs. Key points: 1. The discovery of room-temperature superconductors could have a significant impact on the economy, but experts are still skeptical. 2. The macroeconomic climate is improving, leading to relief in tech valuations. 3. The venture capital market is showing signs of recovery, with an increase in mega-rounds and a slowdown in tech layoffs. 4. If market conditions continue to improve, a new wave of IPOs could be on the horizon. 5. The Nasdaq's performance suggests that the software IPO window may be opening up. 6. However, the timing of when founders will be able to go public is uncertain, with predictions ranging from the second half of 2024 for SaaS IPOs.
The tech IPO market may be reawakening after a two-year lull, with Arm Holdings and Instacart expected to go public and test investor appetite for technology IPOs, although the bar for startups has become higher since 2021, leading to fewer IPOs and a need for companies to show profitability within six quarters of listing.
The IPO market experienced significant growth in 2021 but saw a decline in 2022; however, micro-cap and small-cap companies continued to dominate the U.S. IPO market in 2022 and 2023. Before going public, entrepreneurs should consider factors such as commitment, preparation, the right business model, organizational readiness, SEC compliance, scrutiny, and getting their finances in order.
U.S. investors are eagerly anticipating several upcoming IPOs in the coming months, including Arm Holdings, Instacart, Klaviyo, and VNG, as they hope to capitalize on the recent rally in equity markets.
Arm and Instacart's upcoming IPOs are not expected to revive the muted market, as startup and financial experts compare the current landscape to the years following the dot-com bubble and anticipate a challenging market for IPOs.
Despite the current rise in interest rates, experts predict that CD rates will remain relatively stable in 2023, with the possibility of a slight increase, but a downward trend is expected for 2024.
Four upcoming IPOs, including Arm, Birkenstock, Instacart, and Klaviyo, have generated hope for the struggling IPO market, but experts believe that it is not indicative of a strong resurgence in the market and predict that it will take until 2024 or 2025 for the market to fully rebound.
The recent surge in IPOs, including the listing of Arm, reflects growing market confidence and economic optimism.
The IPO market experiences volatility as companies like Arm and Instacart face initial downtrends, raising questions about investor appetite for future IPOs; however, recent demand for IPOs suggests there is still interest in the market.
Goldman Sachs predicts a revival in the IPO market, but warns investors to be cautious as not all IPOs will perform well; the key factors to identify successful IPOs are strong sales growth and profitability.