1. Home
  2. >
  3. Stock Markets 🤑
Posted

Hot IPO Market Cools as Investors Seek Profitability Over Growth

  • IPO market was very active in 2020-2021 but most of those IPOs underperformed the market.

  • IPOs that pop big on the first day tend to keep rising for a few months after. Look for IPOs priced above range.

  • But long-term outperformance depends on sales growth over 40% and profitability by 8th quarterly report.

  • Easy money policies led unprofitable, slow growth companies to IPO recently. Many declined after.

  • Investors now prefer profitable IPOs. Avoid IPOs with high valuation ratios.

businessinsider.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Main topic: The optimistic outlook for the tech industry and potential for IPOs. Key points: 1. The discovery of room-temperature superconductors could have a significant impact on the economy, but experts are still skeptical. 2. The macroeconomic climate is improving, leading to relief in tech valuations. 3. The venture capital market is showing signs of recovery, with an increase in mega-rounds and a slowdown in tech layoffs. 4. If market conditions continue to improve, a new wave of IPOs could be on the horizon. 5. The Nasdaq's performance suggests that the software IPO window may be opening up. 6. However, the timing of when founders will be able to go public is uncertain, with predictions ranging from the second half of 2024 for SaaS IPOs.
Main topic: Meesho, an Indian e-commerce startup, considering an initial public offer (IPO) next year after achieving its first-ever profit. Key points: 1. Meesho plans to launch an IPO in the near future. 2. The company's focus is on maintaining profitability in the coming quarters. 3. Meesho's revenues increased by 40% to $400 million between January and June compared to the same period last year.
Main topic: Meesho, an Indian e-commerce startup, considering an initial public offering (IPO) next year after achieving its first-ever profit. Key points: 1. Meesho plans to focus on maintaining profitability in the coming quarters to attract investors. 2. The company recorded revenues of $400 million between January and June, a 40% increase compared to the same period last year. 3. Meesho is backed by SoftBank and aims to capitalize on its recent success by going public.
Goldman Sachs predicts that 6 stocks in the electric vehicle industry will outperform despite fierce competition, and Nvidia and Powell's speech will be key factors in the market next week.
Main topic: The reawakening of the tech IPO market and its impact on heavily-funded startups. Key points: 1. Arm Holdings and Instacart's IPOs will test investor appetite for tech IPOs and potentially rejuvenate the stagnant market. 2. The bar is higher now for startups planning to go public, with investors seeking profitable companies. 3. The market has been challenging for recent IPOs, with many billion-dollar listings currently valued below $1 billion. Note: The provided content contains more than three key points.
The tech IPO market may be reawakening after a two-year lull, with Arm Holdings and Instacart expected to go public and test investor appetite for technology IPOs, although the bar for startups has become higher since 2021, leading to fewer IPOs and a need for companies to show profitability within six quarters of listing.
The IPO market experienced significant growth in 2021 but saw a decline in 2022; however, micro-cap and small-cap companies continued to dominate the U.S. IPO market in 2022 and 2023. Before going public, entrepreneurs should consider factors such as commitment, preparation, the right business model, organizational readiness, SEC compliance, scrutiny, and getting their finances in order.
Despite a record-breaking year for IPOs in 2021, the pace of new listings has slowed in 2022 and 2023 due to factors such as volatile markets and uncertainty over interest rates, but there is hope for a resurgence in 2024 if certain conditions are met.
Main topic: Zepto's $200 million fundraise and plans for an IPO in early 2025 Key points: 1. Zepto has become a unicorn startup after raising $200 million in a Series E round, valuing the company at $1.4 billion. 2. The fundraise will strengthen Zepto's balance sheet and position the company well for future profitability and an IPO. 3. Zepto's focus is on expanding its quick commerce services in India's largest cities, aiming to achieve $1 billion in annualized sales and profitability within the next few quarters.
British semiconductor designer Arm Holdings is planning a multibillion-dollar initial public offering (IPO) on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange in the US, aiming to raise between $8 billion and $10 billion with a valuation of $60 billion to $70 billion, positioning itself as one of the biggest IPOs of 2023.
Arm Holdings is preparing for a significant IPO that will be the largest of the year, although its valuation indicates that it won't reach Nvidia's level of success.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon predicts that a wave of tech IPOs, including those of Arm and Instacart, could revive the muted capital markets and lead to an increase in activity in the coming months.
U.S. investors are eagerly anticipating several upcoming IPOs in the coming months, including Arm Holdings, Instacart, Klaviyo, and VNG, as they hope to capitalize on the recent rally in equity markets.
Arm and Instacart's upcoming IPOs are not expected to revive the muted market, as startup and financial experts compare the current landscape to the years following the dot-com bubble and anticipate a challenging market for IPOs.
Retail investors should be cautious when buying shares of Arm Holdings' upcoming IPO, as recent data shows that individual investors tend to lose money on blockbuster IPOs, with the 10 biggest US IPOs in the past four years down an average of 47% from their first-day closing price.
Four upcoming IPOs, including Arm, Birkenstock, Instacart, and Klaviyo, have generated hope for the struggling IPO market, but experts believe that it is not indicative of a strong resurgence in the market and predict that it will take until 2024 or 2025 for the market to fully rebound.
The recent surge in IPOs, including the listing of Arm, reflects growing market confidence and economic optimism.
Arm Holdings, the chip design company affiliated with Softbank, had a successful Nasdaq debut with a 25% jump in its market cap, signaling a return of real fundamental demand for IPOs, according to venture capitalist Rick Heitzmann. Heitzmann also expects the upcoming Instacart IPO to fare well and believes that the IPO market is now more rational compared to the zero-interest rate environment.
Arm shares soared nearly 25% on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq, boosting U.S. stocks and sparking hope that the IPO market for tech companies is reviving. Additionally, positive economic data from China and a rebound in retail sales and industrial production contributed to market optimism.
UK chip designer Arm Holdings returned to the stock market with a successful IPO, raising $4.87bn and boosting its market value to over $60bn, driven by investor confidence in the company's growth potential in artificial intelligence (AI).
Several Southeast Asian companies are considering listing in the United States for their initial public offerings (IPOs), taking advantage of strong investor appetite for emerging market growth in the absence of Chinese stock offerings.
Wall Street's reaction to recent tech IPOs, including Instacart, Arm, and Klaviyo, has been underwhelming, with investors who bought at the IPO price making money only if they sold immediately, raising concerns about valuations.
New York's tech scene is thriving, attracting investments and creating a diverse ecosystem of startups, thanks to successful IPOs and the presence of Big Tech companies and investors in the city.
The rising interest rates and lower stock market are putting the Great IPO Reopening on hold, as the combination of high valuations, unimpressive IPO performance, and poor market conditions make it difficult for companies to go public.
The recent poor performance of tech IPOs, including Arm Holdings, Instacart, and Klaviyo, has raised doubts about the market's readiness for high-stakes IPOs amidst economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
Instacart's IPO marks a significant moment for the tech industry and its employees, attracting attention from other late-stage tech firms as a gauge for the openness of the IPO market.
Bankers and investors are hopeful for a recovery in the IPO market after a busy September that saw a surge in major market debuts, although they expect a gradual reopening rather than a flood of new deals.
Despite a "soft open" in IPOs, the equity capital markets have seen an increase in transactions this year with high-profile IPOs collectively raising $6 billion, according to Goldman Sachs' Lizzie Reed.
Global IPO volumes and proceeds have decreased year-over-year, with 615 IPOs raising $60.9 billion in 2023, reflecting slower global economic growth and geopolitical tensions, though some emerging markets have seen an increase in IPO activities; the technology sector leads in IPO activities, while the energy sector has seen a decline in proceeds; the Americas region has experienced an increase in IPO proceeds, driven by a single mega spin-off IPO, and the Asia-Pacific region maintains its dominance with a 60% share; the EMEIA IPO activity has continued to shrink; a resurgence in global IPO activity is anticipated in late 2023 as economic conditions and market sentiment improve.
The global market for initial public offerings (IPOs) is showing signs of recovery after an 18-month slump, with emerging markets accounting for a significant share of the money raised and number of IPOs, driven by economic growth and increased interest from investors in local and regional companies; however, major IPO markets such as the US, Europe, and the UK have struggled this year due to factors such as high interest rates, regulatory restrictions, and reduced investor appetite for risky bets.
Despite a challenging market backdrop in the third quarter, the equity capital markets saw robust activity with several successful IPOs and a significant increase in sponsor monetization offerings, signaling positive momentum for future market activity.
Microcap IPOs in 2022 have resulted in significant losses for retail investors, while investment bankers and executives have reaped large profits, according to research by OTC Markets Group.
The IPO market has seen a resurgence in the second half of 2023, driven by an AI rally, moderating inflation, and stable interest rates, with companies like Arm Holdings, Instacart, and Klaviyo leading the way and providing insights into emerging trends in the semiconductor, AI, and SaaS sectors. Profitability and revenue diversification are important for the success of upcoming listings, and companies that can meet these demands and provide exposure to the AI ecosystem are likely to be the next wave of IPO winners.
Investment bankers are advising companies pursuing IPOs in the U.S. to lower their valuation expectations following a series of lackluster stock market debuts and increased investor risk aversion due to high interest rates.