The US banking industry could face a significant drop in stock prices within the next 16 months if the economy enters a recession, according to macro guru Hugh Hendry.
The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 5% in August, and opinions on whether stocks will rebound are divided among Wall Street firms and market commentators, with some, like Goldman Sachs and Fundstrat, remaining optimistic while others, including Michael Burry and David Rosenberg, are bearish.
Shares of NVIDIA Corp. fell 2.77% as the stock market experienced a poor trading session, with the S&P 500 Index dropping 0.28% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.51%.
The Dow and S&P 500 ended slightly lower due to concerns about the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates higher for longer, while the Nasdaq finished barely in the green; the financial sector fell 0.9%, dragged down by an S&P downgrade of credit ratings of regional U.S. lenders, and investors are awaiting clarity on the rate outlook from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Stocks fell on Thursday as strong earnings from Nvidia were overshadowed by comments from the Federal Reserve signaling that interest rates will remain elevated for a long time to combat inflation.
The three major U.S. stock indexes ended down over 1% each, with the Nasdaq leading the decline, as investors were cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech and despite Nvidia's strong forecast and stock buyback announcement.
Wall Street ended a challenging August on a mixed note, with the Dow Jones down 0.5%, the S&P 500 losing 0.16%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.11%, resulting in the worst monthly performance since earlier this year; however, signs of a soft landing for the US economy and lower jobless claims have sparked hopes that the Fed may ease off on interest rate hikes at its upcoming meeting.
The S&P 500 fell while the Nasdaq rose after U.S. inflation data met expectations, suggesting the Federal Reserve may pause its monetary tightening, while Salesforce shares climbed on a positive revenue forecast.
Shares of Cboe Global Markets Inc. fell by 0.12% as the stock market experienced an overall poor trading session, marking the stock's third consecutive day of losses.
U.S. stocks slipped as worrying data out of China and a spike in oil prices following the extension of Saudi Arabian production cuts weighed on the market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.4% and the Nasdaq dipped 0.1%.
Stocks fell in morning trading on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 down 0.7%, as big technology stocks and healthcare stocks experienced losses, while several companies made significant moves after reporting earnings and other updates.
Stocks fell on Wall Street as concerns about inflation and weakening global demand weighed on investor sentiment, raising doubts about the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6% as major indexes tested their 50-day lines, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both experienced declines midday.
Shares of Netflix Inc. fell 0.65% on a rough trading session for the stock market.
The US banking industry is experiencing signs of stress, with second-quarter earnings dropping 11.3% due to bank failures, while declining interest rates and rising costs pose challenges for profitability, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
Stocks could crash nearly 50% as a severe recession sets in, according to veteran technical analyst Milton Berg, who cited investor complacency and banking woes as risk factors.
Wall Street stocks closed lower as Apple's fall event began and investors awaited key inflation data, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping over 1% and the S&P 500 decreasing by approximately 0.6%.
US banks are experiencing significant deposit outflows, with total bank deposits plunging by over $70 billion in a week, the lowest levels since May, leading to concerns about the ongoing regional banking crisis; meanwhile, US commercial banks have also suffered significant losses in deposits, with 60% of deposits moving to higher-yielding money market funds, and the balance of unrealized losses on securities at commercial banks rising to $558 billion in Q2; to address these issues, the Federal Reserve has reached an all-time high of $107.8 billion in its banking loan facility to provide funding to distressed banks.
Stocks fell on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all declining, but Wall Street is on track for a winning week.
U.S. stocks dropped as enthusiasm for Arm's IPO faded and the United Auto Workers initiated a strike against Detroit's Big Three automakers, with the Nasdaq falling 1.6% and the S&P 500 losing 1.2%.
Shares of Alphabet Inc. Cl A fell 0.51% as the stock market experienced a dismal trading session, although it outperformed some of its competitors.
Summary: U.S. stocks slumped amid mixed sentiment about the economy, with only the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising for the week, while Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell, and China's venture capital investment dropped by 31.4% compared to 2022 due to its sluggish economy and geopolitical tensions discouraging foreign investors.
Dollar General shares fall after being downgraded by JPMorgan, Pinterest shares climb following investor day, General Mills beats expectations, Instacart stock drops after IPO, Coty raises outlook, Bausch Health gains on upgrade, and Goldman Sachs plans to sell lending platform Greensky.
U.S. stocks slumped after the Federal Reserve indicated that it may not cut interest rates next year as much as initially expected, causing concerns among investors on Wall Street.
U.S. stocks fell for a third consecutive day as Treasury yields continued rising, the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, Cisco is acquiring Splunk for $28 billion, Rupert Murdoch is stepping down as chairman of Fox Corp and News Corp, investor Steve Eisman believes the banking sector is "uninvestable," and investor interest in AI is starting to wane.
Tesla's stock fell 4.23% as the overall stock market experienced a rough trading session, marking the stock's third consecutive day of losses.
Stocks fell on Tuesday as Wall Street grappled with the possibility of the Federal Reserve maintaining higher interest rates, while consumer confidence declined for the second consecutive month, reaching its lowest levels since May.
Stocks ended the day higher as the surge in oil, the dollar, and Treasury yields slowed down, with the Nasdaq rising 0.8%, the S&P 500 gaining 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.4%.
U.S. stocks mostly fell as investors considered the latest inflation data from the Federal Reserve, marking the end of a turbulent month for the market.
Wall Street closed lower for the third quarter, breaking three straight quarters of gains, as the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all fell sharply.
Stocks mostly fell in the U.S. on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average declining, while the Nasdaq Composite inched up; all three indexes ended the month of September in the red, with the S&P and Nasdaq experiencing their worst monthly performance since December, and the Dow having its worst showing since February.
U.S. stocks showed mixed performance as Treasury yields rose and a government shutdown was averted, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.6%, the S&P 500 down 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.4%.
The U.S. stock market had a relatively flat performance in the third quarter, with stocks falling 3.2% from where they started, while energy stocks had a strong rally and real estate stocks crumbled; the bond market experienced losses, and unless there is a sudden change in the outlook, it is on track for its third straight year of losses; value stocks outperformed growth stocks, and dividend strategies held up better than the broader market; the Fed maintained its higher-for-longer stance on interest rates, contributing to volatility in the bond market; and major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, ended the quarter down approximately 12%.
Stocks slumped as the bond rout continues and one Fed policymaker predicted another interest rate hike this year, with the Nasdaq falling 0.5% and the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.4%.
The stock market declined as the Dow lost 430 points and the Nasdaq lost 248 points, with the overall market being negatively affected by a higher 10-year bond yield and robust labor force data, while political turmoil in the House of Representatives and the possibility of a government shutdown added to the market's uncertainty.
US bank stocks are currently the market's Achilles' heel, as they need to participate in any recovery rally in order to validate the notion that higher interest rates won't lead to a recession next year.
Shares of Coca-Cola Co. fell 4.1% due to concerns about high interest rates and a slowing job market impacting the U.S. economy.
In the past year, America's four largest banks have lost hundreds of billions of dollars in deposits, with approximately 30% of the total exiting JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citi, indicating a decline in trust in the banking system and a potential mass consolidation of regional banks in the US.
Asian shares mostly fell amid concerns about the U.S. banking system and Chinese economic growth, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 0.4%, while China's export data showed the sharpest decline in three years. Bank stocks in the U.S. also fell after Moody's cut credit ratings for 10 smaller and midsized banks, citing concerns about their financial strength in light of higher interest rates and the work-from-home trend. The Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation by raising interest rates have led to a slowdown in the economy and hit banks hard.
Bitcoin slipped just under 1% in the past 24 hours as bearish calls among analysts, including Jim Cramer, grew, while overall market capitalization lost 0.3%.
