Bitcoin heads for red September, but analysts tip October as ‘days to watch’
Bitcoin investors may face a turbulent September, but analysts suggest looking towards mid-October for potentially positive market movements.
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Posted 9/1/2023, 6:03:57 AM
cointelegraph.com
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Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
The cryptocurrency market is preparing for a potential larger financial event in September that could significantly impact Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the wider digital asset landscape.
Bitcoin may experience a period of stagnation before turning bullish again, according to crypto analyst Jason Pizzino, who believes that the cryptocurrency could remain in its current pattern for the next couple of months before potentially surging in late 2021 or early 2024.
Key social metrics suggest that cryptocurrency markets may soon rebound, as the use of the term "bear market" has reached an 11-week high on social media platforms, which historically indicates that price rises are likely; additionally, deep-pocketed investors are accumulating Bitcoin again, contributing to a recent rally.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
Bitcoin's recent correction and regulatory news have caused a wave of selling, but analysts from JPMorgan believe that the sell-off may be nearing its end phase, with limited downside predicted for the crypto market in the near term.
Stockbrokers who traditionally sell their positions in May and return on St Ledger's Day in September may be in for trouble this year, as indicators such as the copper-gold ratio and predictions from investors like Michael Burry suggest a potential market crash and recession.
This week is expected to bring volatility back to crypto markets due to various events, including the Core PCE Price Index, Nonfarm Payrolls, and SEC decisions on Bitcoin Spot ETFs, while token unlocks and collaborations between Optimism and BASE are also notable updates.
Stocks started the final week of August on a positive note, but September is historically a bad month for stocks and analysts are warning of more turmoil ahead for the market.
Long-term holders of Bitcoin are continuing to accumulate the cryptocurrency despite recent market volatility, indicating a bullish outlook for the future, according to analysts from Bitfinex. However, newer long-term holders who acquired their positions during the bear market are showing more unease and have exited their positions during price drops.
September has historically been a difficult month for stocks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experiencing negative returns on average, but a pullback in September doesn't necessarily mean stocks will stumble for the rest of the year if the economy remains resilient and the Federal Reserve is done hiking rates.
September historically has been the worst performing month for the U.S. stock market, and with the recent decline in August, investors should prepare for further volatility and potentially disappointing results in September.
Bitcoin could experience a major market correction in September, potentially dropping by more than 16% based on historical performance and predictions by crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen.
Stocks are expected to rally next month, with the S&P 500 potentially reaching its previous highs, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee, who cited reasons such as a cooling economy, no further interest rate hikes from the Fed, overly bearish sentiment in August, and historically strong performance in September.
September is historically the worst month for stocks, and with mounting fears in the market, Evercore's Julian Emanuel advises investors to remain defensive until a potential buying opportunity arises in October.
Bitcoin's recent legal victory and the possibility of approved spot Bitcoin ETFs from major financial firms like Blackrock and Fidelity could lead to increased adoption and price gains in September.
Wall Street started the month of September on a high note after a rocky August, with Dow futures up by 127 points, S&P futures 0.3% higher, and Nasdaq futures up by about 0.15%, as investors await Friday's crucial jobs report which is expected to show that the labor market will stay in a sweet spot.
A trader predicts that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high before the end of 2023, with the possibility of a 157% rally from the current level.
Investors are hopeful that September will bring an end to the rise in interest rates, but the month is filled with risk events, making it potentially volatile for both stocks and bonds.
Bitcoin and crypto could experience significant growth in the next few months, with September expected to be a particularly eventful period, including the potential impact of U.S. bitcoin ETF filings and China declaring crypto as "legal property and protected by law."
September has historically been the worst month for stocks, but this year may be different as the excitement around AI, cash on the sidelines, and Apple's new iPhone could potentially drive positive market performance.
Bitcoin experienced a decrease in August, with traders successfully predicting a bearish trend using Elliott Wave theory and range movement analysis, resulting in profitable trades; however, further price movements are still uncertain and may be influenced by the decision on the upcoming Bitcoin ETF.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing a decline as analysts predict further decreases ahead.
Wall Street is optimistic about the September trading month, but there are concerns about falling consumer confidence data and a potential recession next year, according to Commonwealth Financial Network Chief Investment Officer Brad McMillan.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained stagnant below $26,000, with investors waiting for further developments in the cryptocurrency market and the wider economy, while Ether (ETH) is expected to outperform BTC in September and October due to the potential approval of the first ether ETF in mid-October. Additionally, SOMA Finance plans to sell tokens that represent a financial interest, addressing the criticism that crypto tokens lack equity or debt claims. Binance continues to dominate the crypto market as the leading exchange.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin experienced volatility and a "short squeeze," resulting in new highs for September, punishing late traders chasing the market up and down, with short liquidations totaling $23.5 million on September 7.
Investors are becoming increasingly nervous due to concerns about the Fed potentially increasing interest rates, as well as rising 10-year interest rates and the VIX, which may put pressure on stocks; however, there are also positive factors emerging, such as improving S&P 500 profit estimates and a shift away from data dependence by Fed officials, which suggests a better finish to September is probable.
The stock market's September blues are almost over, and stocks could see a 5% gain from here.
September is expected to bring significant gains for several cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin, XRP, Fantom, Shiba Inu, Gala, The Sandbox, and InQubeta, due to their innovative concepts and strong fundamentals.
Bitcoin's weak performance and its potential "double top" structure raise concerns of more downside, with predictions of new local lows; however, there are indications that Bitcoin may experience a major shakeout before rebounding to "fair value" and the 200-week EMA near $25,600 may offer some optimism; debate ensues over the possibility of Bitcoin filling the $20,000 CME futures gap; liquidity levels on BTC/USD markets continue to increase, adding to bearish predictions; ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release on September 14 brings potential volatility to the market and may impact crypto market expectations.
Crypto analyst Jason Pizzino suggests that a reversal of the consumer confidence index (CCI) could indicate a rally for risk assets, including Bitcoin, in the next three to six months. Pizzino believes that Bitcoin is more likely to experience a modest move to key support levels rather than a significant collapse in price.
September historically has been a challenging month for stocks, but reduced concerns about a recession, signs of a potential shift in Fed policy, and positive sector trends point to the possibility of strategic investment opportunities this year.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have rebounded from recent lows, but facing downside momentum and September worries, it may be difficult for them to maintain their recovery.
Bitcoin (BTC) reached new September highs as markets reacted positively to macroeconomic and crypto industry news, with the cryptocurrency trading at around $26,300, up 5.5% from its September lows; traders have expressed optimism about Bitcoin's recent performance and potential future breakout if a Bitcoin spot price ETF is approved by U.S. regulators in the coming months, while some remain cautious and predict a potential relief rally before a further decline in on-chain volume.
August saw the crypto markets experience a downturn, with Bitcoin and Ether losing significant value due to liquidations on the derivatives market, while venture capital investment in the blockchain industry hit a new low and derivatives drove negative sentiment for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies advanced on Friday, but a key technical indicator suggests that losses are likely coming.
Bitcoin has the potential to rally and reach a new high in 2023, according to an analyst, who also states that the current price action looks constructive after a period of downward trend.
Bitcoin (BTC) shows optimism as it starts the week with the first green weekly candle in over a month, with price strength improving and network fundamentals reaching new records, while traders await the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for potential volatility.
Bitcoin's market dominance rate has reached its strongest level in a month, rising to 50.2%, as risks rise for the rest of the cryptocurrency sector, while alternative cryptocurrencies may be on the brink of breaking lower.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a strong upward pressure on its price due to the upcoming halving mechanism, making it an attractive time for investors to consider bitcoin mining stocks like Bitfarms and Cipher Mining.
Ark Invest's recent report highlights the recovery of Bitcoin's realized capitalization, the decline in liquidity and trading volumes, the recent increase in volatility, and the optimistic long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin could experience significant inflows from China in the coming months due to a weakening Chinese yuan and increasing capital flight, with Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin as a familiar investment in times of economic uncertainty, according to experts. The recent data shows that China's capital outflow reached its highest level since 2015 in August, potentially putting further pressure on the yuan. While Chinese capital controls may limit investment options, cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, is seen as a viable alternative. However, analysts caution that the impact of Chinese capital flight on Bitcoin may not be as significant as it was in 2017 due to changes in regulations and crackdowns on certain practices.
Altcoins are expected to struggle for the rest of 2023 based on historical patterns, according to crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, who also warns that Bitcoin may close the month in the red as it did in 2019.