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Bitcoin: The Market Needs Catalysts Beyond Legal Wins (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)

Bitcoin's recent legal victories and temporary price surges should not be mistaken for long-term catalysts, as the approval of a spot ETF, liquid staking capabilities, and the upcoming halving event hold the key to sustainable price appreciation.

seekingalpha.com
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Major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, experienced a price crash following concerns about the Federal Reserve and the delay of a spot Bitcoin ETF decision by the SEC, sparking anticipation for upcoming ETF decisions by BlackRock and other asset managers.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are facing intense pressure as prices drop and short-term holders offload their assets, signaling a possible capitulation phase and suggesting further downside potential. Additionally, major altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano have witnessed a decline in their Total Value Locked (TVL) over the past week, indicating a decrease in popularity and utilization in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
Bitcoin and Ether rose over 3% to reach their highest prices in a week, while Solana, NEAR, Cardano, Polkadot, and Binance's altcoins also experienced gains, following a surge in traditional markets; however, experts predict that the downtrend in digital assets may continue for the next few weeks.
The cryptocurrency market is preparing for a potential larger financial event in September that could significantly impact Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the wider digital asset landscape.
Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe believes that Ethereum's current price dip could be due to Bitcoin's upcoming halving, and suggests that BTC may follow the path of commodities, while naming certain altcoins, including ARB, OP, INJ, SUI, PEPE, and DOGE, that he's keeping an eye on.
A surge in global interest in acquiring Bitcoin has been observed, with Nigeria leading the way, as investors anticipate a potential rally driven by upcoming events in the crypto sphere and the approval possibility of the inaugural spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the SEC. Bitcoin's evolving role as a possible store of value is reflected in low exchange-held supplies, while technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment but a potential reach of $26,500 and the $30,000 milestone.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission is seeing a surge in proposals for crypto ETFs, including spot bitcoin ETFs and ether futures ETFs, which could have significant impacts on the adoption of cryptocurrencies, market moves, and the potential outperformance of various tokens.
Bitcoin experienced a dip in price after the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair hinted at the possibility of an interest rate hike, but an on-chain indicator suggests that Bitcoin is undervalued and presents a good opportunity for long positions in the coming week.
Bitcoin and Ether remain stable as cryptocurrency investor sentiment remains cautious, although JPMorgan analysts report a slowdown in downward price momentum, and the Forkast 500 NFT Index gains after a surge in sales of Donald Trump's signature NFT collection following his arrest.
Investors are turning their attention to altcoins like $ROE from Borroe, which harnesses AI and blockchain technology, offers a range of features, and has a deflationary token with potential for capital appreciation. Meanwhile, Ripple's $XRP and Filecoin's $FIL are gaining momentum, and Ethereum's price volatility may be mitigated by the potential approval of Ether futures ETFs by the US SEC.
The upcoming Bitcoin halving event is expected to drive the price of Bitcoin to a new all-time high, potentially surpassing $100,000, according to analysts and investors, despite the current lack of fresh inflow to the crypto market and macroeconomic challenges. Hut 8 vice president Sue Ennis believes that the Bitcoin price will rise above $100,000 in the next year, citing the increasing hash rate and the entry of new participants into the global Bitcoin network. Ennis also mentioned the importance of revenue diversification for miners to stay profitable after the halving, including exploring AI applications and offering ASIC repair services. Additionally, Ennis expressed optimism about the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF, which she believes would be bullish for the asset class.
Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal believes that Bitcoin may be on the verge of a massive rally, based on the historical volatility of the cryptocurrency dropping below 20, a level that has preceded significant price increases in the past. Pal also notes that Bitcoin's Bollinger Bands, a volatility indicator, are the tightest they have ever been, further indicating the potential for a strong upward movement. Ethereum is also highlighted as trading within a bullish pattern despite recent market corrections.
Long-term holders of Bitcoin are continuing to accumulate the cryptocurrency despite recent market volatility, indicating a bullish outlook for the future, according to analysts from Bitfinex. However, newer long-term holders who acquired their positions during the bear market are showing more unease and have exited their positions during price drops.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experience a surge in value as Grayscale Investments wins a court decision that increases the likelihood of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund being approved.
Bitcoin needs a significant catalyst, such as BlackRock and other major players marketing Bitcoin in their documents, to break out of its range-bound ways and experience sustained growth, according to Jeff Dorman, Chief Investment Officer at Arca.
Bitcoin rallied after a U.S. court ruled against the SEC's denial of Grayscale's request to convert its bitcoin trust into an ETF, resulting in a surge in bitcoin prices and a significant increase in coins moved to centralized exchanges.
Bitcoin prices surged 7% as traders reacted to the potential approval of the Grayscale Bitcoin spot ETF by a federal appeals court, although cautious optimism remains as final decisions have yet to be made and trading volume in the digital asset market remains low.
Bitcoin led the cryptocurrency market higher following Grayscale's victory in the lawsuit against the SEC, but analysts caution that the victory does not guarantee the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF.
BlackRock's entry into the crypto space with its application for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) marks a significant turning point that dispels the notion of cryptocurrencies as a passing trend, signaling the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin and the crypto industry.
Bitcoin's recent legal victory and the possibility of approved spot Bitcoin ETFs from major financial firms like Blackrock and Fidelity could lead to increased adoption and price gains in September.
Bitcoin's volatility has increased as the market reacts to news regarding the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's delay on Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications, with Bloomberg analysts remaining optimistic about the possibility of Bitcoin ETFs being approved in 2023.
Bitcoin and crypto could experience significant growth in the next few months, with September expected to be a particularly eventful period, including the potential impact of U.S. bitcoin ETF filings and China declaring crypto as "legal property and protected by law."
Bitcoin may experience a bull market if a spot-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) is approved around the time of the next halving, leading to a supply and demand shock in the cryptocurrency market.
Staking in the crypto market is rebounding, with proof-of-stake revenue generation reaching almost all-time highs, driven by the surge in total value locked for liquid staking protocols and the appeal of staking as a safer investment option in a year of liquidity challenges and DeFi hacks.
Altcoins could potentially rally ahead of the Bitcoin halving, according to cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who believes that the Bitcoin dominance chart suggests a surge in altcoin value rather than a downward market. Van de Poppe is also bullish on Ethereum against Bitcoin, predicting a rise in ETH/BTC to 0.06992 BTC.
BlackRock, a major asset manager, is accused of deliberately driving down the price of Bitcoin in order to establish a better buying position for their Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) if it is approved, according to analyst Crypto Rover. This highlights the influence of big players in the market and reminds retail investors to be more analytical.
Bitcoin's four-year cycles may not be directly linked to halving events, as an alternative theory suggests that they are more closely correlated with the global M2 money supply and macro patterns. However, analysts still anticipate a rally and new bull cycle following the next Bitcoin halving event in late 2024.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained stagnant below $26,000, with investors waiting for further developments in the cryptocurrency market and the wider economy, while Ether (ETH) is expected to outperform BTC in September and October due to the potential approval of the first ether ETF in mid-October. Additionally, SOMA Finance plans to sell tokens that represent a financial interest, addressing the criticism that crypto tokens lack equity or debt claims. Binance continues to dominate the crypto market as the leading exchange.
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a short squeeze, leading to a rally in prices and a decline in open interest in futures and perpetual swaps trading. However, the lack of immediate bullish catalysts may cap the price recovery.
The market is underestimating the potential impact and value of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, with analysts arguing that approval would lead to significant financial inflows and buying pressure, and that it is a good time to enter the market and start building a crypto portfolio, despite regulatory challenges. Ethereum could also benefit from a futures-based ETF listing, but there is caution about the SEC potentially classifying ETH as a security. Overall, the global crypto adoption is dependent on market maturity, regulatory intervention, and consistent long-term adoption.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have been experiencing a steady decline in prices due to concerns from the Federal Reserve, leading to warnings of a potential price crash, although some analysts remain hopeful for improvement.
Bitcoin and major tokens experienced slight gains following concerns over the FTX court case ruling, with BTC rising 1.5% and Ether nearing $1,700; however, bearish sentiment remains among professional traders.
Summary: The transition of Ethereum to proof of stake has resulted in a significant reduction in energy consumption and the network becoming economically deflationary, although technical challenges still remain; however, concerns have emerged regarding the centralization of validation and the growing regulatory pressure in the United States.
Bitcoin could potentially surge over 70% in a move similar to 2015, as crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe observes patterns that indicate a sustained trading range before a significant upside move ahead of the 2016 halving event.
A crypto analyst has shared a "cheatsheet" for predicting Bitcoin price movements ahead of the next halving, suggesting that BTC's current prices are within the expected pre-halving range and that a post-halving rally is likely.
After Ethereum's transition to proof of stake one year ago, notable developments have occurred, including a reduction in energy consumption, a substantial increase in staked Ethereum, concerns about centralization and censorship, advancements in scaling solutions, regulatory scrutiny on staking services, a decrease in overall token supply, and ongoing development of future upgrades.
Crypto's most important commercial highway, Ethereum, risks being overwhelmed by the surging demand for staking, which could lead to network strain and a shortage of Ether for transactions. Developers are working on short-term measures to slow down the influx and exploring longer-term solutions to manage staking more effectively.
Bitcoin has the potential to rally and reach a new high in 2023, according to an analyst, who also states that the current price action looks constructive after a period of downward trend.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have seen a rise in price as traders anticipate a potential macroeconomic catalyst that could lead to a significant movement in the market.
Bitcoin, ethereum, BNB, and XRP have experienced a strong price rally in 2023, but a small cryptocurrency has surpassed them, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions could impact the bitcoin price.
The upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024 will reduce block rewards for miners, prompting them to focus on strategies such as securing lower electricity rates, using more energy-efficient equipment, and accumulating excess capital in order to maintain profitability. Miners may also explore alternative revenue streams like Bitcoin Ordinals, which generate transaction fees within the Bitcoin network.
The introduction of a bitcoin ETF could increase accessibility, liquidity, and institutional adoption, potentially stabilizing prices and attracting capital from mainstream investors, similar to the impact of gold ETFs on the gold market.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a strong upward pressure on its price due to the upcoming halving mechanism, making it an attractive time for investors to consider bitcoin mining stocks like Bitfarms and Cipher Mining.
Ether (ETH) has experienced a modest increase in price in 2023, but it is still trading significantly below its peak in November 2021, raising questions among investors about the reasons behind the decline and potential catalysts for a reversal. The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC, as well as regulatory uncertainties surrounding the Ethereum ICO, remain sources of concern. However, positive surprises such as the request for a spot Ether ETF and Ethereum's position to benefit from Bitcoin-related catalysts give hope to investors.
Ark Invest's recent report highlights the recovery of Bitcoin's realized capitalization, the decline in liquidity and trading volumes, the recent increase in volatility, and the optimistic long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency.
The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and raise its long-term forecast for the Federal Funds Rate surprised many market participants, causing a slight pullback in the stock and cryptocurrency markets while highlighting the need for investors to focus on the actual health and viability of companies and the utility of the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, the article speculates on the impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ruling on Bitcoin spot ETF applications and the potential for cryptocurrency to become a mainstream alternative investment.