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Bitcoin: Why you need to be prepared for wild price swings

BTC's illiquid supply now makes up 80% of the total BTC tokens in circulation, indicating a shift towards long-term investment, while low exchange volumes could lead to volatile price swings; Bitcoin whales have begun adding to their stockpiles, signaling confidence in an upcoming bullish trend.

ambcrypto.com
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Bitcoin's recent 11.4% price correction from $29,340 to $25,980 has led experts to analyze the impact on the market structure, with some attributing the volatility to reduced liquidity and market makers adjusting their algorithms, however, examination of the derivatives market shows that whales and market makers remain optimistic and not bearish, as evidenced by the futures premium remaining neutral to bullish and the lack of bearish sentiment in options markets.
The rush for Bitcoin is gradual due to its limited supply, with experts estimating that there is an availability of 14.5 BTC for every 8,000 people, and owning even a fraction of tokens could be an opportunity for the future considering the total number of BTC in existence and the international population.
The recent surge in Bitcoin's price on the Kraken exchange could signal a market reversal, according to believers of the "Kraken magic" theory, suggesting that large-scale purchases on regulated platforms indicate a whale's confidence in the asset's future performance. However, caution is advised as relying solely on price anomalies on one exchange may not accurately predict broader market trends.
Whales are actively acquiring various digital assets, including Ethereum, Lido, Uniswap, and Aave, which could indicate bullish trends in the crypto market.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
Over one trillion SHIB tokens have been accumulated by Shiba Inu whales in just 24 hours, signaling a potential shift in the popular cryptocurrency's ecosystem, although the majority of these whales are affiliated with exchanges, suggesting a possible selling event and bearish sentiment.
A Bitcoin whale has moved $134 million worth of BTC out of a centralized exchange, coinciding with a decrease in the amount of BTC sitting in exchanges and an increase in whale transactions.
Summary: A small group of companies and individuals, known as "whales," hold a large percentage of Bitcoin's current supply, leading to concerns about Bitcoin's decentralized distribution and its original purpose of erasing the influence of governments and traditional financial institutions; key whales include Satoshi Nakamoto, Tim Draper, the Winklevoss Twins, Michael Saylor, Changpeng Zhao, and several public companies, private institutions, and even governments.
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of strength on the daily and weekly charts, with classic bullish divergence on the daily chart and hidden bullish divergence on the weekly chart, according to crypto analyst Credible Crypto.
A massive 30,000 BTC has been moved into cold storage, indicating a bullish outlook for Bitcoin as whales and institutional investors anticipate a price increase and opt for self-custody.
Bitcoin's recent surge in value may be attributed to a $10 billion investment by whales, Robinhood's involvement in a $3 billion Bitcoin purchase, and JPMorgan analysts predicting an end to the crypto bear market.
Bitcoin's velocity has decreased to a 3-year low, potentially suggesting that whales are holding onto their positions rather than transferring ownership to new investors. Meanwhile, select altcoins like Toncoin, Monero, Mantle, and Quant are showing signs of strength and could present short-term trading opportunities depending on Bitcoin's next move.
Long-term holders of Bitcoin are continuing to accumulate the cryptocurrency despite recent market volatility, indicating a bullish outlook for the future, according to analysts from Bitfinex. However, newer long-term holders who acquired their positions during the bear market are showing more unease and have exited their positions during price drops.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen believes that Bitcoin is likely to follow its historical bearish price action seen in pre-halving years and predicts that the cryptocurrency will remain within a range of $12,000 to $35,000 for the rest of 2023.
Large BTC investors, known as "whales," have increased their holdings by $1.5 billion in the last two weeks of August, indicating organic buying demand and optimism among institutional investors as the approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) approaches.
A blue-chip altcoin, Chainlink (LINK), may experience a bullish rally based on various analytics, while whales and sharks have accumulated $71 million worth of Maker (MKR) tokens, and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has seen a price rebound, according to Santiment.
Bitcoin is forming a bearish double top pattern, similar to the one seen in 2021 before the cryptocurrency's collapse, and a breakdown is expected if it drops below $26,000 with increased volume, according to Rekt Capital.
Some altcoins like OKB, Ocean Protocol (OCEAN), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), and Toncoin (TON) show potential for bullish trends in September, with OKB potentially hitting a new all-time high at $72.10. However, a breakdown in the support areas could result in bearish trends for these cryptocurrencies.
Despite the current market conditions, a crypto strategist believes that Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a significant upward movement, potentially forming a bullish higher-low setup after a possible drop to around $23,600.
Deep-pocketed Bitcoin holders have accumulated over $1 billion worth of BTC in the last two weeks, while the number of investors holding at least 10 BTC has reached a three-year high; the growth in market caps of the top six stablecoins suggests a potential reversal in the crypto market.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained stagnant below $26,000, with investors waiting for further developments in the cryptocurrency market and the wider economy, while Ether (ETH) is expected to outperform BTC in September and October due to the potential approval of the first ether ETF in mid-October. Additionally, SOMA Finance plans to sell tokens that represent a financial interest, addressing the criticism that crypto tokens lack equity or debt claims. Binance continues to dominate the crypto market as the leading exchange.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
Bitcoin could experience one final correction of up to 10%, according to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who advises long-term bulls to see it as an opportunity to increase their BTC holdings. However, if Bitcoin manages to stay above the 200-week EMA, it could continue to move upwards.
Bitcoin's hash rate is near a record high, addresses holding 0.1 BTC are at an all-time high, and the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges is declining, indicating bullish fundamentals for the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin's recent 5% increase after testing the $25,000 support level doesn't necessarily indicate a victory for bulls, as Bitcoin has struggled to gain momentum despite significant catalysts, while bears have their own advantages like ongoing legal cases and financial troubles for Digital Currency Group. Derivatives metrics show a lack of demand for leveraged long positions, but options markets indicate equal odds for both bullish and bearish price movements.
Bitcoin trades at $25,933, up 0.66% as U.S. CPI data is anticipated to show a small increase in August, driven by rising oil prices, while digital assets remain stable due to short covering and liquidity crunch, although a sustained bullish momentum is yet to be seen; meanwhile, the price of CRV token falls by 3.3% following negative events and selling pressure.
Bitcoin and major tokens experienced slight gains following concerns over the FTX court case ruling, with BTC rising 1.5% and Ether nearing $1,700; however, bearish sentiment remains among professional traders.
The percentage of bitcoin's circulating supply that has been active onchain recently has reached a record low, indicating supply-side weakness and potentially setting the stage for a significant price rally.
Crypto whales have taken advantage of the recent downturn in altcoin markets to buy discounted Polygon (MATIC), Litecoin (LTC), and Apecoin (APE) tokens, potentially increasing confidence in the long-term viability of these projects.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within a range as market indecision persists, but if economic conditions worsen, there could be more pain for risk assets like Bitcoin, according to Jamie Coutts, a market analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
Bitcoin is expected to mimic its previous rally and potentially see significant gains in the near future, according to crypto strategist Credible Crypto, who points to a bullish engulfing candle pattern and the defense of a key support level as positive signs for BTC's upward momentum.
Bitcoin and stocks are currently showing a high correlation, suggesting that Bitcoin prices are influenced by the same investor psychology and economic trends as stocks, making it important for investors to focus on these trends rather than traditional factors like inflation and uncertainty.