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U.S.-China AI Rivalry Set to Intensify Amid Distrust, Despite Shared Interests

  • U.S. and China see AI as key strategic technology; rivalry likely to intensify amid distrust

  • U.S. aims to maintain edge with tech curbs, investment in research and chips

  • China eager to compete, advantaged by data access and ability to mobilize resources

  • Potential cooperation limited by lack of trust; safety an area with common interests

  • Risk of conflict rises without cooperation on military AI; powers must act responsibly

scmp.com
Relevant topic timeline:
The main topic is the competition between China and the U.S. for military AI dominance, specifically in the field of intelligent drone swarms. The key points are: 1. China and the U.S. are both testing intelligent drone swarms to gain an advantage in military AI. 2. The development of drone swarms aims to enhance military capabilities and decision-making in combat situations. 3. The competition reflects the strategic importance of AI in future warfare and highlights the race for dominance between these two global powers.
The U.S. is falling behind in regulating artificial intelligence (AI), while Europe has passed the world's first comprehensive AI law; President Joe Biden recently met with industry leaders to discuss the need for AI regulation and companies pledged to develop safeguards for AI-generated content and prioritize user privacy.
China's People's Liberation Army aims to be a leader in generative artificial intelligence for military applications, but faces challenges including data limitations, political restrictions, and a need for trust in the technology. Despite these hurdles, China is at a similar level or even ahead of the US in some areas of AI development and views AI as a crucial component of its national strategy.
The UK government has been urged to introduce new legislation to regulate artificial intelligence (AI) in order to keep up with the European Union (EU) and the United States, as the EU advances with the AI Act and US policymakers publish frameworks for AI regulations. The government's current regulatory approach risks lagging behind the fast pace of AI development, according to a report by the science, innovation, and technology committee. The report highlights 12 governance challenges, including bias in AI systems and the production of deepfake material, that need to be addressed in order to guide the upcoming global AI safety summit at Bletchley Park.
Several tech giants in the US, including Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Amazon, have pledged to collaborate with the Biden administration to address the risks associated with artificial intelligence, focusing on safety, security, and trust in AI development.
Artificial intelligence regulation varies across countries, with Brazil focusing on user rights and risk assessments, China emphasizing "true and accurate" content generation, the EU categorizing AI into three risk levels, Israel promoting responsible innovation and self-regulation, Italy allocating funds for worker support, Japan adopting a wait-and-see approach, and the UAE prioritizing AI development and integration.
A survey of 213 computer science professors suggests that a new federal agency should be created in the United States to govern artificial intelligence (AI), while the majority of respondents believe that AI will be capable of performing less than 20% of tasks currently done by humans.
The United States and China are creating separate spheres for technology, leading to a "Digital Cold War" where artificial intelligence (AI) plays a crucial role, and democracies must coordinate across governments and sectors to succeed in this new era of "re-globalization."
The race between great powers to develop superhuman artificial intelligence may lead to catastrophic consequences if safety measures and alignment governance are not prioritized.
The G20 member nations have pledged to use artificial intelligence (AI) in a responsible manner, addressing concerns such as data protection, biases, human oversight, and ethics, while also planning for the future of cryptocurrencies and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).
Countries around the world, including Australia, China, the European Union, France, G7 nations, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Spain, the UK, the UN, and the US, are taking various steps to regulate artificial intelligence (AI) technologies and address concerns related to privacy, security, competition, and governance.
Eight big tech companies, including Adobe, IBM, Salesforce, and Nvidia, have pledged to conduct more testing and research on the risks of artificial intelligence (AI) in a meeting with White House officials, signaling a "bridge" to future government action on the issue. These voluntary commitments come amidst congressional scrutiny and ongoing efforts by the White House to develop policies for AI.
China's targeted and iterative approach to regulating artificial intelligence (AI) could provide valuable lessons for the United States, despite ideological differences, as the U.S. Congress grapples with comprehensive AI legislation covering various issues like national security, job impact, and democratic values. Learning from China's regulatory structure and process can help U.S. policymakers respond more effectively to the challenges posed by AI.
The United Nations is urging the international community to confront the potential risks and benefits of Artificial Intelligence, which has the power to transform the world.
Adversaries and criminal groups are exploiting artificial intelligence (AI) technology to carry out malicious activities, according to FBI Director Christopher Wray, who warned that while AI can automate tasks for law-abiding citizens, it also enables the creation of deepfakes and malicious code, posing a threat to US citizens. The FBI is working to identify and track those misusing AI, but is cautious about using it themselves. Other US security agencies, however, are already utilizing AI to combat various threats, while concerns about China's use of AI for misinformation and propaganda are growing.
President Biden has called for the governance of artificial intelligence to ensure it is used as a tool of opportunity and not as a weapon of oppression, emphasizing the need for international collaboration and regulation in this area.
Governments worldwide are grappling with the challenge of regulating artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, as countries like Australia, Britain, China, the European Union, France, G7 nations, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Spain, the United Nations, and the United States take steps to establish regulations and guidelines for AI usage.
China's new artificial intelligence (AI) rules, which are among the strictest in the world, have been watered down and are not being strictly enforced, potentially impacting the country's technological competition with the U.S. and influencing AI policy globally; if maximally enforced, the regulations could pose challenges for Chinese AI developers to comply with, while relaxed enforcement and regulatory leniency may still allow Chinese tech firms to remain competitive.
The UK will invite China to limited portions of an AI summit despite concerns about its use of AI for surveillance and suppression, in an effort to engage constructively with the second-largest economy in the world and have influence over its AI practices.
The United States must prioritize global leadership in artificial intelligence (AI) and win the platform competition with China in order to protect national security, democracy, and economic prosperity, according to Ylli Bajraktari, the president and CEO of the Special Competitive Studies Project and former Pentagon official.
The U.S. government must establish regulations and enforce standards to ensure the safety and security of artificial intelligence (AI) development, including requiring developers to demonstrate the safety of their systems before deployment, according to Anthony Aguirre, the executive director and secretary of the board at the Future of Life Institute.
Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden will warn the UN that artificial intelligence (AI) poses a threat to world order unless governments take action, with fears that the rapid pace of AI development could lead to job losses, misinformation, and discrimination without proper regulations in place. Dowden will call for global regulation and emphasize the importance of making rules in parallel with AI development rather than retroactively. Despite the need for regulation, experts note the complexity of reaching a quick international agreement, with meaningful input needed from smaller countries, marginalized communities, and ethnic minorities. The UK aims to take the lead in AI regulation, but there are concerns that without swift action, the European Union's AI Act could become the global standard instead.
Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger warns that a US-China decoupling would have negative consequences for both countries, especially in managing the emerging field of artificial intelligence. Kissinger emphasizes the need for mutual learning and cooperation between the two nations to avoid unilateral disadvantages and promote dialogue in AI regulation.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned of the potential dangers of artificial intelligence (AI) and called for responsible and ethical development of AI during his speech at the United Nations General Assembly, emphasizing that nations must work together to prevent the perils of AI and ensure it brings more freedom and benefits humanity.
There is a need for more policy balance in discussions about artificial intelligence (AI) to focus on the potential for good and how to ensure societal benefit, as AI has the potential to advance education, national security, and economic success, while also providing new economic opportunities and augmenting human capabilities.
The United Nations aims to bring inclusiveness, legitimacy, and authority to the regulation of artificial intelligence, leveraging its experience with managing the impact of various technologies and creating compliance pressure for commitments made by governments, according to Amandeep Gill, the organization's top tech-policy official. Despite the challenges of building consensus and engaging stakeholders, the U.N. seeks to promote diverse and inclusive innovation to ensure equal opportunities and prevent concentration of economic power. Gill also emphasizes the potential of AI in accelerating progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals but expresses concerns about potential misuse and concentration of power.
The battle for the future of AI is not just a debate about the technology, but also about control, power, and how resources should be distributed, with factions divided by ideologies and motives, including concerns about existential risks, present-day harms, and national security.
The National Security Agency is establishing an artificial intelligence security center to protect U.S. defense and intelligence systems from the increasing threat of AI capabilities being acquired, developed, and integrated by adversaries such as China and Russia.
Artificial intelligence (AI) will have a significant impact on geopolitics and globalization, driving a new globalization but also posing risks that the world is not yet ready for, according to political scientist Ian Bremmer. Global leaders and policymakers are now catching up and discussing the implications of AI, but a greater understanding of the technology is needed for effective regulation. Bremmer suggests international cooperation, such as a United Nations-driven process, to establish global oversight and prevent the U.S. versus China competition in AI development.
AI has the potential to augment human work and create shared prosperity, but without proper implementation and worker power, it can lead to job replacement, economic inequality, and concentrated political power.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming a crucial component in national security, with China leading the way in using AI for military purposes, raising concerns about a potential AI arms race. The U.S. is also developing AI capabilities but insists on maintaining human oversight. The use of AI in warfighting presents ethical and normative challenges, as it raises questions about decision-making and adherence to ethical guidelines. The balance between human oversight of AI and AI oversight of humans is a key consideration in the development and deployment of AI in military operations.
The CIA expresses concern about China's growing artificial intelligence program and its potential threat to US national security, while also recognizing the potential benefits of AI for data analysis and research.
Artificial intelligence (AI) can be a positive force for democracy, particularly in combatting hate speech, but public trust should be reserved until the technology is better understood and regulated, according to Nick Clegg, President of Global Affairs for Meta.
A new study from Deusto University reveals that humans can inherit biases from artificial intelligence, highlighting the need for research and regulations on AI-human collaboration.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an undeniable force in our lives, with wide-ranging implications and ethical considerations, posing both benefits and potential harms, and raising questions about regulation and the future of humanity's relationship with AI.
China's use of artificial intelligence (AI) to manipulate social media and shape global public opinion poses a growing threat to democracies, as generative AI allows for the creation of more effective and believable content at a lower cost, with implications for the 2024 elections.
Separate negotiations on artificial intelligence in Brussels and Washington highlight the tension between prioritizing short-term risks and long-term problems in AI governance.
Fear of a fragmented global AI landscape should not blind Western countries to China's ambitions and approach to data flow, as it could lead to an AI environment defined by Chinese standards and norms, according to experts. The importance of cross-border data flow in shaping the international AI landscape has long been recognized, as it plays a crucial role in ensuring AI does not contribute to further global stratification. However, concerns about data sharing and trust between China and other countries pose challenges to international cooperation in this area.