China Unlikely to Pursue Major Stimulus, Dampening Prospects of Overtaking US Economy
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It's highly unlikely China will implement large stimulus measures, says Mohamed El-Erian. This may dampen views it will overtake the US economy.
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After a brief rebound, China's economy has disappointed recently with weak consumption, industry, investment and exports.
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Beijing is unlikely to pursue past stimulus strategies due to high debt levels and property market issues. Smaller measures are being used instead.
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China faces challenges transitioning to new growth industries like green energy and AI. Larger debt restructuring may be needed.
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Bloomberg Economics also predicts China is unlikely to permanently overtake the US economy, with growth slowing to 1% by 2050.