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China’s exports tumble for fourth consecutive month, headwinds to remain

  • China's exports fell 8.8% in August, marking the 4th straight monthly decline amid weak demand and supply chain issues.

  • Imports fell 7.3% in August, narrowing from a 12.4% drop in July. Total trade surplus was $68.4 billion.

  • Economists say typhoon disruptions in July likely boosted August trade growth. Oil price gains also helped import growth.

  • Exports expected to keep retreating as global economic weakness persists, but at a slower pace.

  • August figures show marginal improvement, but headwinds remain despite hitting bottom, depending on domestic demand and oil prices.

scmp.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Japan's exports fell in July for the first time in nearly 2-1/2 years, driven by weak demand for light oil and chip-making equipment and raising concerns about a global recession as the demand in key markets such as China weakens.
Hong Kong's exports continue to decline for the 15th consecutive month, with a 9% decrease in July, due to trade contraction with mainland China, the US, and Europe, affecting the city's economic recovery and prompting a downgrade in GDP forecast.
Oil prices fell for the fourth consecutive day, with concerns about China's economic growth and potential interest rate hikes in the US weighing on the market, while the possibility of increased production from Iran and Venezuela added to bearish sentiment.
Profits at China's industrial firms fell 6.7% in July, marking the seventh consecutive month of decline, as weak demand continues to hinder the country's post-pandemic recovery.
China's economy is facing multiple challenges, including tech and economic sanctions from the US, structural problems, and a decline in exports, hindering its goal of becoming a top global exporter and tech power, which could have long-lasting effects on its status in international relations and the global economy.
Vietnam's exports have declined for the sixth consecutive month due to weaker global demand and China's deteriorating economic outlook, posing a risk to the country's GDP growth target.
South Korea's exports are likely to have fallen for the 11th consecutive month in August due to a slower Chinese economy and weakening demand in other regions.
China's factory activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in August, indicating that the slowdown in the country's economy has not yet reached its lowest point.
German exports fell 0.9% in July, less than expected, due to global demand weakness and supply-chain friction.
China's exports are expected to contract at a slower pace in August, with a projected fall of 9.2%, as manufacturers continue to face pressure due to weak overseas demand and a shrinking labor market.
China's share of US goods imports has dropped to its lowest level since 2006, as American companies reorganize supply chains to reduce dependence on China and shift to countries like Mexico and Vietnam.
China's exports and imports continued to decline in August due to weak overseas demand and sluggish consumer spending, posing challenges to the country's economic growth targets.
China's total import and export value in the first 8 months of this year slightly decreased by 0.1 percent compared to the previous year, but exports have continued to grow and the global market share remains stable, highlighting the overall stability of China's foreign trade operations.
China's consumer prices returned to positive territory in August, increasing by 0.1% from a year earlier, while producer prices fell for the 11th consecutive month; analysts expect consumer prices to recover and services inflation to pick up as energy prices stabilize and the output gap narrows.
India's merchandise exports dropped by 6.9% in August, marking the seventh consecutive month of decline, due to weak external demand, while the merchandise trade deficit reached a 10-month high of $24.16 billion driven by higher crude oil prices and robust domestic demand.
Singapore's annual exports fell for the 11th consecutive month in August, declining by 20.1% as the trade-dependent economy struggles with global headwinds and declining demand, indicating that export stabilization is not yet within reach.
Japan's exports to China declined for the ninth consecutive month in August, dropping 11%, due to weak demand and the suspension of seafood imports following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant incident.
China's exports of gallium and germanium, crucial materials for manufacturing semiconductors, dropped to zero in August following Beijing's imposition of export restrictions, potentially impacting the global tech supply chain and accelerating the shift of supply chains out of China.