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China's exports, imports likely contracted more slowly in August - Reuters poll

China's exports are expected to contract at a slower pace in August, with a projected fall of 9.2%, as manufacturers continue to face pressure due to weak overseas demand and a shrinking labor market.

reuters.com
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Hong Kong's exports continue to decline for the 15th consecutive month, with a 9% decrease in July, due to trade contraction with mainland China, the US, and Europe, affecting the city's economic recovery and prompting a downgrade in GDP forecast.
China's economic slowdown is causing alarm worldwide, with countries experiencing a slump in trade, falling commodity prices, and a decrease in Chinese demand for goods and services, while global investors are pulling billions of dollars from China's stock markets and cutting their targets for Chinese equities.
China's factory activity is expected to contract for a fifth consecutive month in August due to weak demand, posing challenges to the country's economic recovery.
South Korea's exports are likely to have fallen for the 11th consecutive month in August due to a slower Chinese economy and weakening demand in other regions.
China's factory activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in August, indicating that the slowdown in the country's economy has not yet reached its lowest point.
China's manufacturing activity contracted for a fifth consecutive month in August, putting pressure on officials to provide support to boost economic growth amid weak domestic and international demand.
UBS reports higher than expected profits, job creation in the US slows, and markets rally on weaker economic data and hope for a pause in interest rate hikes. China's factory activity shrinks but at a slower pace, while retail sales increase. There are opportunities for investors in other Asian markets.
Thai durian exports to China have significantly increased due to improved delivery times from a new high-speed rail link, but an economic slowdown in China and weather patterns are posing challenges for the sector.
China's economy is showing signs of slowing down, including a decrease in GDP growth rate, declining exports, deflationary consumer price index, high youth unemployment, a weakening yuan, and a decrease in new loans, which could have global implications.
China's imports and exports experienced a monthly decline in August, with exports falling by 8.8% and imports falling by 7.3%, indicating ongoing challenges despite some slight improvement.
China's total import and export value in the first 8 months of this year slightly decreased by 0.1 percent compared to the previous year, but exports have continued to grow and the global market share remains stable, highlighting the overall stability of China's foreign trade operations.
China's retail sales and industrial production exceeded expectations in August, with retail sales growing by 4.6% and industrial production growing by 4.5%, but fixed asset investment lagging behind at 3.2%, indicating potential instability in the external environment.
China's factory output and retail sales grew at a faster pace in August, but declining investment in the property sector poses a threat to the country's economic recovery.
The latest PMI data shows a contraction in developed markets, while emerging markets continue to grow, albeit at a slower pace, indicating overall solid performance in the third quarter of 2023. However, new export orders for emerging market manufacturing contracts at a slower rate, and India remains a bright spot amid the global headwinds.
American firms in China have become less optimistic about the country's future, with a survey revealing that only 52% of respondents are positive about the five-year outlook, the lowest since the survey began in 1999, and 40% of US firms are shifting their supply chains and investments away from China due to geopolitical tensions and regulatory uncertainties.
The outlook of U.S. companies on China's markets in the next five years has hit a record low due to factors such as political tensions, tariffs, slow Covid recovery, and issues in the real estate market; however, complete decoupling between the two economies is unlikely.
Japan's exports to China declined for the ninth consecutive month in August, dropping 11%, due to weak demand and the suspension of seafood imports following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant incident.