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Crypto VC inflows drop further as macro factors weigh on investments

In July, capital inflows from venture capitalists in the crypto sector decreased by 10.26%, with $700 million raised, as macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical events continued to impact investment decisions, although some notable outliers, such as Polychain Capital and CoinFund, launched new funds totaling millions of dollars, and the potential approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. could bring renewed attention and capital into the industry. Infrastructure and Web3 sectors received the most capital inflows, while overall investor activity in the blockchain industry remained low, suggesting a slow return to a steady upward trend.

cointelegraph.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Main topic: The state of the crypto world and the promising growth of web3 development. Key points: 1. The crypto world is currently facing challenges, including fewer checks being written and regulatory pressure in the U.S., as well as global economic uncertainty. 2. Despite this, web3 developer activity has continued to grow in the second quarter, with significant installations of Ethereum and crypto wallet software developer kits. 3. Ethereum's price has increased by 53.7% since the beginning of the year, potentially sparking greater interest in the market. 4. The web3 ecosystem is rapidly growing, with more developers contributing to projects and launching web3 apps/games. 5. Other layer-2 blockchains, such as Arbitrum, Optimism, and Polygon, have also seen significant gains. 6. However, NFT trading volume and users have declined, while decentralized finance trading volume has fallen, although the number of users has increased. 7. The increase in DeFi users indicates the stickiness of projects and products in that subsector. 8. Despite current challenges, past cycles suggest a positive outlook for the crypto industry.
Main topic: Updates and developments in the digital asset space, including bitcoin spot ETFs and fundraising news. Key points: 1. Bitcoin spot ETFs are gaining attention, with Europe's first bitcoin spot ETF being listed and the U.S. SEC delaying deadlines for applications. 2. Fundraising news includes BitGo raising $100 million, ZetaChain raising $27 million, ZTX raising $13 million, Dinari raising $7.5 million, and HypeLab raising $4 million. 3. Other articles of interest cover the strong tech jobs market, the potential of the creator economy, the recovery of the pre-seed market, and the need for alignment of product-market fit metrics with company values. Hint on Elon Musk: The article does not mention Elon Musk.
Digital asset investment products experienced $55 million in outflows, primarily due to the lack of movement towards approving a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, with Bitcoin alone accounting for $42 million of the outflows.
Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable downturn, with the total market capitalization falling by 10% and triggering significant liquidations on futures contracts, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, delays in approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), financial difficulties within the Digital Currency Group (DCG), regulatory tightening, and a strengthening US dollar.
Data suggests asset managers are following BlackRock into the cryptocurrency market, as European crypto ETPs experienced significant inflows in June, marking their best performance since March 2022.
Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, experienced a rise in value as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve's annual meeting and Bitcoin attempted to reach $30,000.
Large ether (ETH) investors took advantage of lower prices following a market tumble to accumulate $94 million worth of ETH, while large bitcoin investors added $309 million worth of BTC to their wallets.
Venture capital firm Vessel Capital has launched a $55 million fund to invest in Web3 infrastructure and applications, aiming to assist early-stage crypto founders in launching and growing their projects by providing guidance and advice. The fund's resources will be deployed over a five-year period, and the team's experience as startup founders will enable them to better understand entrepreneurs' needs.
A surge in global interest in acquiring Bitcoin has been observed, with Nigeria leading the way, as investors anticipate a potential rally driven by upcoming events in the crypto sphere and the approval possibility of the inaugural spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the SEC. Bitcoin's evolving role as a possible store of value is reflected in low exchange-held supplies, while technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment but a potential reach of $26,500 and the $30,000 milestone.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission is seeing a surge in proposals for crypto ETFs, including spot bitcoin ETFs and ether futures ETFs, which could have significant impacts on the adoption of cryptocurrencies, market moves, and the potential outperformance of various tokens.
Analysts predict that several cryptocurrencies, including InQubeta, Polygon, NEAR Protocol, Sei, and Hedera, have the potential to grow by 1500% in 2023, with InQubeta standing out due to its unique platform that connects AI startups with investors and its impressive growth in the presale stage.
Investors are turning their attention to altcoins like $ROE from Borroe, which harnesses AI and blockchain technology, offers a range of features, and has a deflationary token with potential for capital appreciation. Meanwhile, Ripple's $XRP and Filecoin's $FIL are gaining momentum, and Ethereum's price volatility may be mitigated by the potential approval of Ether futures ETFs by the US SEC.
Crypto-related stocks soar as the chances of fund companies offering Bitcoin ETFs increase, though Coinbase Global faces obstacles.
The crypto markets experienced their largest outflows since March, with digital assets losing $168 million last week, primarily due to negative sentiment surrounding the delay in the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the US by the SEC. However, Grayscale won its lawsuit against the SEC, which rejected its ETF application, and while BTC took the brunt of the outflows, other altcoin products saw some inflows.
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicts that the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies will increase by over 2,100% in less than seven years, driven by institutional investment and the potential approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), with the total crypto market cap potentially reaching $25 trillion by 2030.
The crypto market analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence predicts that the unlocking of billions in capital flowing into US-based ETFs could make 2024 a significant year for digital assets despite the US Securities and Exchange Commission's stance on crypto.
BlackRock's entry into the crypto space with its application for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) marks a significant turning point that dispels the notion of cryptocurrencies as a passing trend, signaling the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin and the crypto industry.
Bitcoin's recent legal victory and the possibility of approved spot Bitcoin ETFs from major financial firms like Blackrock and Fidelity could lead to increased adoption and price gains in September.
Crypto markets experienced a "Bart Simpson" pattern for the week, as a sell-off following the SEC's decision to postpone Bitcoin ETF decisions erased Tuesday's rally, resulting in a 3.7% slump in cryptocurrency capitalization.
Ethereum's price has been declining, leading to concerns among investors, but there are two factors to consider: a drop in user activity and transaction volume on the Ethereum blockchain, which may be due to users migrating to faster and cheaper Layer 2 blockchains, and selling by Ethereum "whales" and insiders, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin, which could be attributed to profit-taking and security measures rather than a lack of confidence in Ethereum's future prospects. Despite the market's overreaction, Ethereum remains a strong investment with its dominance in various business segments and ongoing development plans.
Crypto funding in August appeared promising with a $819 million investment, but without two large funding rounds, it would have actually shown a decline from July and a significant decline from the same time last year, reflecting a continuing slowdown in the industry.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing a decline as analysts predict further decreases ahead.
The lack of a fully regulated financial market in the US contradicts global economic interdependence, and as a result, the crypto industry is moving offshore rapidly; however, the US government is likely to eventually establish a clear regulatory framework and invest in blockchain R&D, thus strengthening the industry.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained stagnant below $26,000, with investors waiting for further developments in the cryptocurrency market and the wider economy, while Ether (ETH) is expected to outperform BTC in September and October due to the potential approval of the first ether ETF in mid-October. Additionally, SOMA Finance plans to sell tokens that represent a financial interest, addressing the criticism that crypto tokens lack equity or debt claims. Binance continues to dominate the crypto market as the leading exchange.
Despite a decrease in venture capital investments in June, new crypto projects are still attracting funding, including Orbital's $6.4 million raise for expanding blockchain payment infrastructure, unshETH's $3.3 million seed round for decentralized finance solutions, ZTX's $13 million funding for Web3 infrastructure development, Stroom Network's $3.5 million raise for Bitcoin staking, and Fxhash's $5 million funding for its digital art platform.
Big tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, may underperform in the coming years due to contracting market liquidity and the Federal Reserve's hawkish policies, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten.
The lack of clear crypto regulations in the US has caused significant issues for the industry, leading to collapses and a weakening of America's position as a financial hub, according to Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong. He emphasizes the need for clear rules that recognize the innovation potential of the technology while protecting consumers. Armstrong also highlights the potential benefits of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Coinbase's role as custodian in many ETF applications.
The top crypto exchanges in the world are dominating the market, with the eight largest platforms accounting for over 91% of market depth and 89% of trading volume, according to crypto insights firm Kaiko. Binance remains the leading exchange, with a market share of 64.3% in 2023, but liquidity is concentrated within a few exchanges, leading to concerns about decentralization. Altcoin liquidity has also suffered due to regulatory issues in the US, with Coinbase, Kraken, and Bitstamp holding the majority of altcoin liquidity.
Cryptocurrency asset outflows reached $59.3 million in a four-week streak, driven by regulatory concerns and a decline in trading volumes, with Bitcoin seeing the most outflows while Solana experienced outflows after a nine-week run of inflows.
Bitcoin and the overall digital asset market have seen a significant decline, with Bitcoin dropping to its lowest price in three months at $25,048, attributed to failed crypto exchange FTX seeking approval to liquidate $3.4 billion in various digital assets.
The market is underestimating the potential impact and value of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, with analysts arguing that approval would lead to significant financial inflows and buying pressure, and that it is a good time to enter the market and start building a crypto portfolio, despite regulatory challenges. Ethereum could also benefit from a futures-based ETF listing, but there is caution about the SEC potentially classifying ETH as a security. Overall, the global crypto adoption is dependent on market maturity, regulatory intervention, and consistent long-term adoption.
Around $150 billion worth of capital could enter the Bitcoin market if BlackRock's BTC spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) gets approved, according to a senior Bloomberg ETF analyst.
Institutional investors are less optimistic about cryptocurrency due to a strong dollar and regulatory concerns, leading to consecutive weeks of outflows totaling nearly $60 million, according to CoinShares.
August saw the crypto markets experience a downturn, with Bitcoin and Ether losing significant value due to liquidations on the derivatives market, while venture capital investment in the blockchain industry hit a new low and derivatives drove negative sentiment for Bitcoin.
The crypto industry experienced significant capital outflows of $55 billion in August, leading to a liquidity crunch that allows isolated events to have a greater impact on prices and market movements, according to an analysis from Bitfinex.
Bitcoin (BTC) surpasses $27,000, while ether (ETH) holds support levels, but interest-rate decisions this week may bring downward pressure; overall market capitalization grows just 0.4% in the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a significant increase in value and reach a fair value of $100,000, driven by institutional capital inflows and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, according to Mark Yusko, founder of Morgan Creek Capital.
Blockchain Capital has raised $580 million for two new funds, with $380 million allocated for early-stage companies and protocols, and $200 million for late-stage investments, indicating continued investor interest despite the subdued state of the digital asset market.
China-focused investment firms have struggled to generate returns for their investors, with only four U.S. dollar-denominated venture capital funds established between 2015 and 2020 able to return all the money invested, reflecting a lack of IPOs and the need for alternative exit strategies such as mergers and acquisitions or general partner-led deals.
Crypto funds have experienced outflows of $455 million over the past nine weeks, with bitcoin accounting for 85% of the outflows, as investors continue to withdraw funds despite recent legal victories for the industry.
The introduction of a bitcoin ETF could increase accessibility, liquidity, and institutional adoption, potentially stabilizing prices and attracting capital from mainstream investors, similar to the impact of gold ETFs on the gold market.
China experienced its largest capital outflow since 2015, with $49 billion leaving the country, as economic concerns prompt investors to withdraw; of this, $29 billion was withdrawn from securities investments, including bonds. The outflow was compounded by a record-high $12 billion in mainland-listed stocks being dumped by foreign investors and a $16.8 billion deficit in direct investment, the largest since 2016. The decline in the capital account was exacerbated by the tourism season, with outbound travel negatively impacting the services sector, while inbound travel remained suppressed, causing a continued deficit in the services trade. Efforts by Beijing, such as reducing the foreign currency reserves held by banks, have aimed to support the yuan but have been unable to prevent a significant decline in the offshore yuan. Weak exports and the allure of US yields have also contributed to the yuan's decline, further complicating China's capital flight situation, as doubts about the country's ability to achieve its 5% GDP target for the year grow.
Ark Invest's recent report highlights the recovery of Bitcoin's realized capitalization, the decline in liquidity and trading volumes, the recent increase in volatility, and the optimistic long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin could experience significant inflows from China in the coming months due to a weakening Chinese yuan and increasing capital flight, with Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin as a familiar investment in times of economic uncertainty, according to experts. The recent data shows that China's capital outflow reached its highest level since 2015 in August, potentially putting further pressure on the yuan. While Chinese capital controls may limit investment options, cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, is seen as a viable alternative. However, analysts caution that the impact of Chinese capital flight on Bitcoin may not be as significant as it was in 2017 due to changes in regulations and crackdowns on certain practices.
Deep-pocketed crypto investors have moved over $660 million worth of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Chainlink as Bitcoin's price drops below $27,000.