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Data Not Conducive To Wall Street’s “Soft-Landing” Scenario

The performance of Nvidia stock has been impressive, but other retailers have struggled, leading to concerns about the economy, such as credit card delinquencies, falling home sales, weakening manufacturing, and tightening lending standards. These factors suggest that a recession may be looming.

forbes.com
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Over half of U.S. small business owners believe the economy is already in a recession, though their own financial conditions remain strong and they have less concerns about the health of their banks, according to a survey by the National Federation of Independent Business.
Investors expect Nvidia to forecast quarterly revenue above estimates due to the success of AI apps, but any lower forecast could trigger a stock decline, potentially impacting the broader market.
Despite optimistic economic data and the belief that a recession has been avoided, some economists and analysts believe that a recession is still on the horizon due to factors such as the impact of interest rate hikes and lagged effects of inflation and tighter lending standards.
Nvidia's bloated valuation and high price-to-earnings ratio poses a threat to the stock market, as investors may realize the company is not as strong as perceived, leading to a potential sell-off that could affect the entire market.
Recent profit reports from companies such as Amazon, Walmart, and Home Depot, along with other consumer statistics, indicate that the case for a 2023 recession is weakening, as the consumer economy shows resilience with rising real incomes, substantial savings, and continued spending in sectors like automobiles and services.
Despite the optimism from some economists and Wall Street experts, economist Oren Klachkin believes that elevated interest rates, restrictive Federal Reserve policy, and tight lending standards will lead to a mild recession in late 2023 due to decreased consumer spending and slow hiring, although he acknowledges that the definition of a recession may not be met due to some industries thriving while others struggle.
Nvidia's strong earnings report has implications for other chip and AI stocks, leading to a potential rally attempt in the market, while Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures are mostly flat.
Consumer weakness in the market has caused the stock of many companies to plummet, leading money managers to focus on enterprise hardware and software companies instead, with Jim Cramer recommending Apple, Amazon, and Nvidia.
Recession fears return as a key business survey shows a significant contraction in the UK economy, signaling the detrimental effects of interest rate rises on businesses and heightening the risk of a renewed economic downturn.
Nvidia's strong earnings and optimistic forecast for the future have boosted AI-related stocks and global markets, but concerns about U.S. consumer spending and potential market correction persist ahead of the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium.
Investors are hopeful that Nvidia's upcoming earnings report can reignite the U.S. stocks rally, following a 2023 increase in the company's shares and the broader equity rally.
Nvidia's stock is surging as its stellar earnings alleviate concerns about supply constraints and the role of Chinese customers in driving demand.
Nvidia Corp. has exceeded Wall Street expectations with its record earnings and blowout forecast due to skyrocketing demand for AI-chip systems, leading to a remarkable supply chain performance and impressive growth in revenues, with the company only meeting about half of the demand.
Nvidia's stock has boomed this year, driven by the company's success in AI technology and the increasing demand for generative artificial intelligence, making it one of the most sought-after AI stocks and leading the S&P 500 with a market capitalization of over $1 trillion.
Despite Nvidia's strong earnings, stocks closed lower due to mixed economic signals and the decline of big tech stocks such as Tesla and Amazon.com. Investors are awaiting Jerome Powell's speech for insight into interest rates, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed and Dollar Tree's stock fell.
A global recession is looming due to rising interest rates and the cost of living crisis, leading economists to warn of a severe downturn in the post-Covid rebound.
Chip stocks, including Nvidia, experienced a selloff in the technology sector despite Nvidia's strong performance, leading to concerns that spending on AI hardware may be affecting traditional chip companies like Intel.
Nvidia's strong growth potential and their ability to adapt to a slowing economy make them a key player in the stock market.
AMD's performance has been underwhelming compared to Nvidia, with lower data center revenues, operating margins, and consumer demand for its latest CPU, leading to a decrease in stock value, but long-term prospects remain positive due to AI market potential.
Nvidia plans to buy back billions of dollars in stock, signaling a potential trend that could boost the stock market.
Nvidia's strong earnings and a uneventful Jackson Hole conference should have been enough to prevent a stock market correction, but the fact that it didn't suggests there may be more downside ahead.
Nvidia stock is currently at its cheapest since January, before it experienced a 250% rally.
Nvidia stock is expected to more than double over the next 12 months, with analysts predicting a potential price target of over $1,000, thanks to the company's strong performance driven by AI and a reasonable valuation. However, challenges such as export restrictions to China and emerging competition may pose obstacles for the company.
Nvidia reported a strong quarter, with beats across three out of its four businesses, driven by strong demand for its data center segment and generative AI products, leading to record revenues and beating market consensus by 22%. However, there are concerns about the sustainability of this growth and the potential impact of competition in the future.
US equity markets were relatively stagnant last week, with major indexes trading up and down around their 200-day moving averages, indicating a lack of direction and potential resistance, while Treasury markets appeared to stabilize despite an inverted yield curve, suggesting a potential recession on the horizon. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish speech on Friday emphasized the need for caution and the possibility of higher interest rates, while Nvidia's strong earnings highlighted the company's dominance in the artificial intelligence sector.
Nvidia stock is approaching its all-time high, but there are three reasons to believe it has reached a plateau.
NVIDIA's Q2 earnings showed high growth and a positive outlook, but the AI hype may be fading, and the stock's valuation is overstretched, leading to a recommendation to sell with a potential 40% decline in the next three months.
Nvidia's stock slips after reaching a record high, but analysts suggest that the chip maker may still be a bargain.
Nvidia's market cap rose in August due to strong profit forecasts, while other tech giants like Apple and Microsoft saw declines, and Berkshire Hathaway and Tencent had mixed performances.
Societe Generale's Albert Edwards warns that a recession is still looming as small firms face increasing bankruptcies due to high interest rates, which could eventually affect larger firms as well.
Fidelity International's Salman Ahmed predicts a recession due to rising interest rates and high levels of corporate debt that will face higher refinancing costs, potentially leading to a slowdown in growth and decreased consumer spending.
Nvidia's stock price surge and high valuation indicate a "Big Market Delusion" and a potential bubble that could have broader implications for the market, warns Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates.
The odds of a recession in the US have collapsed, making markets vulnerable to any signs of the economy overheating and contributing to inflationary pressures.
Nvidia's data center graphics cards continue to experience high demand, leading to record-high shares; however, investors should be aware of the risk of AI chip supply shortages. Microsoft and Amazon are alternative options for investors due to their growth potential in AI and other sectors.
The US consumer is predicted to experience a decline in personal consumption in early 2024, which could lead to a potential recession and downside for stocks, as high borrowing costs and dwindling Covid-era savings impact household budgets.
Nvidia's dominance in the computer chip market for artificial intelligence has led to a significant decline in venture funding for potential rivals, with the number of U.S. deals dropping by 80% from last year. The high cost of developing competing chips coupled with Nvidia's strong position has made investors wary, resulting in a pullback in investment.
The US economy is facing a looming recession, with weakness in certain sectors, but investors should not expect a significant number of interest-rate cuts next year, according to Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. She points out that leading indicators have severely deteriorated, indicating trouble ahead, and predicts a full-blown recession as the most likely outcome. Despite this, the stock market has been defying rate increases and performing well.
Nvidia, the leader in AI infrastructure, has experienced substantial growth and is expected to continue growing, but investors should be cautious of the stock's high valuation and potential volatility.
Nvidia has tripled its stock so far in 2023, but it is not among the best performing stocks of the year, as Carvana, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics, IonQ, and others have outperformed it.
Nvidia, the semiconductor giant, has experienced a 10% decline in their stock this month, leading to a $180 billion decrease in market capitalization, attributed to the "September effect," although it remains the best performer in the S&P 500 due to the rise of AI and ChatGPT.
Nvidia stock has experienced a pullback along with other chip makers, but analysts remain positive and predict a significant upside potential for the company, particularly in the AI space, with an average 12-month price target implying a 55.14% increase.