Dollar soft as markets brace for data fest; yen under pressure
The US dollar was cautious as traders awaited economic data, while the yen struggled near intervention levels as the dollar remained strong.
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Posted 8/29/2023, 2:02:41 AM
reuters.com
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The US dollar weakened slightly against major peers as traders awaited a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while the yen pulled away from a nine-month low and China's yuan briefly rose following attempts to bolster the currency.
The US dollar remains strong against major peers and the yen, as Treasury yields rise amid expectations of high US interest rates for a longer period, while China's central bank sets a stronger-than-expected daily midpoint for the yuan to counter mounting pressure on the currency.
Asian market sentiment is expected to be cautious and nervous due to the strength of the U.S. dollar, rising bond yields, tightening financial conditions, and concerns over China's economy.
Japan is unlikely to intervene in the market unless the yen weakens past 150 to the dollar and becomes a major political issue, according to a former central bank official, who also noted that the benefits of a weak yen are becoming clearer due to the re-opening of Japan's borders.
The US Dollar performed well against major currencies, with the British Pound, Euro, and Canadian Dollar underperforming, while the Chinese Yuan and Australian Dollar fared better; the Federal Reserve's indication of a higher terminal rate and potential further borrowing cost increases contributed to the market sentiment, leading to lower US equity markets; upcoming economic data includes consumer confidence, inflation gauges from key European countries, and manufacturing PMI gauges from China.
The US dollar eased from a 12-week peak as traders assessed the US monetary path following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments on further interest rate increases, while the yen remained close to its lowest level in over nine months.
The US Dollar is facing profit-taking and risk as traders digest the Jackson Hole speech and push back expectations for rate cuts, while upcoming macroeconomic data points will be closely watched for any signs of economic deterioration.
The US Dollar experienced a significant decline due to weak economic data and increased risk appetite, while the Euro and British Pound strengthened. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar also performed well, and gold and cryptocurrencies rallied.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
The US dollar experienced weakness due to disappointing economic data, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may not need to be as aggressive in its monetary policy settings, while equities showed modest gains; Chinese PMI numbers beat estimates but concerns about the property sector lingered; USD/JPY dipped before recovering; and the DXY index stabilized after recent losses, with potential support levels identified.
The dollar remained stable as investors weigh US jobs data that showed signs of cooling and the likelihood of the Federal Reserve ending its monetary tightening cycle.
The U.S. dollar drifted in cautious trading as investors considered U.S. jobs data that indicated a potential slowdown, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its monetary tightening cycle.
The safe-haven dollar weakened as risk sentiment improved due to hopes of China's policy stimulus stabilizing the economy and U.S. jobs data suggesting a potential end to the rate hike cycle by the Federal Reserve.
The yen rebounded from a 10-month low against the dollar after Japan issued a strong warning about sharp currency moves, increasing the likelihood of government intervention if the slump continues.
Asian equities face a cautious start to trading while the yen strengthens following potentially hawkish remarks from the Bank of Japan governor, with futures for Australia slightly higher, US-listed Chinese stocks falling, and contracts for Japan showing a small gain.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
The U.S. dollar stabilized as traders await U.S. inflation data, while sterling weakened after the U.K. economy contracted more than expected in July.
Gold gained as the dollar weakened against the yuan due to positive China economic data, although the possibility of further U.S. interest rate hikes kept investors cautious.
The US Dollar underperformed against major currencies last week, crude oil continued to rally, and gold prices were cautiously higher, while upcoming events like central bank rate decisions and the Bank of England rate hike are expected to impact the market.
Asian currencies are experiencing slight fluctuations against the US dollar, with the Japanese yen, Singapore dollar, and Taiwan dollar showing small movements.
The US dollar remains stable in Asian trades as the yen and sterling experience slight fluctuations due to upcoming central bank meetings, including the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish pause, and the Bank of England's possible interest rate increase.
The US dollar remained strong against other currencies as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's rate decision, while the yen hovered near a 10-month low amidst speculation of intervention.
The Japanese yen remains weak against the U.S. dollar due to high U.S. Treasury yields and anticipation of the Bank of Japan maintaining its current monetary policies, while the dollar is boosted by the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates.