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Gold Rises on Weaker Dollar and China Recovery Hopes; Fed Rate Outlook Still Pressures Precious Metals

  • Gold prices rose as dollar weakened against yuan after strong China economic data boosted recovery hopes.

  • Focus now on upcoming Fed policy meeting and outlook for interest rates. High rates keep non-yielding gold under pressure.

  • U.S. data showed high producer prices and retail sales, supporting further Fed rate hikes after likely pause next week.

  • Positive Chinese data also supported silver, platinum, palladium prices. Precious metals on track for weekly gains.

  • Global commodity and energy markets coverage by reporter Swati Verma.

reuters.com
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### Summary Gold prices have continued to decline due to rising US treasury yields and a stronger dollar. The FOMC meeting minutes revealed concerns about inflation and the potential need for additional interest rate hikes. The outlook for gold prices remains subdued ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech. ### Facts - 📉 Gold prices have declined for the fourth consecutive week, breaking below the significant threshold of $1,900 per troy ounce and reaching their lowest point since March 2023. - 📈 The continuous rise in US treasury yields and the dollar index has contributed to the decline in gold prices. - 📊 US economic indicators, such as retail sales and manufacturing production, have outperformed expectations, highlighting resilient consumer spending and propelling the dollar index. - 💸 The FOMC meeting minutes revealed concerns about inflation and the potential need for additional interest rate hikes, although two Fed officials favored keeping rates unchanged or pursuing a rate cut. - 🇨🇳 Weakening sentiment in China and diverging monetary policies have also contributed to the strengthening dollar. - 📆 The upcoming week will focus on flash manufacturing PMI figures and the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to address the economic outlook. ### Potential Implications - ⬇️ Gold prices are expected to remain subdued in anticipation of Powell's speech, as elevated yields and a stronger dollar continue to impact the market.
The US dollar weakened slightly against major peers as traders awaited a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while the yen pulled away from a nine-month low and China's yuan briefly rose following attempts to bolster the currency.
The US dollar remains strong against major peers and the yen, as Treasury yields rise amid expectations of high US interest rates for a longer period, while China's central bank sets a stronger-than-expected daily midpoint for the yuan to counter mounting pressure on the currency.
Gold and silver prices rise as the weaker U.S. dollar index and dip in U.S. Treasury yields attract futures traders and bargain hunters, while anxieties build over upcoming speeches from the Fed and ECB on future monetary policy direction and the potential shift in the Fed's inflation goal.
Both gold and silver saw significant gains as treasury yields declined, driven by poor economic reports from Europe, and the rally in precious metals might be influenced by Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium.
The US dollar was cautious as traders awaited economic data, while the yen struggled near intervention levels as the dollar remained strong.
The improving economic outlook for the US has made gold less appealing to investors, but weakness in US consumers could still lead to a recession and boost the precious metal, while Chinese stimulus may support silver demand, according to Heraeus' precious metals report.
Gold and silver prices are higher in response to weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data, contributing to gold reaching a three-week high, while China's measures to stimulate its economy and positive sentiment in international stock markets also influence the market.
Gold reaches its highest point in nearly a month due to weak U.S. economic readings, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may halt its interest rate hikes.
The Canadian dollar weakened against the US dollar after data revealed that the country's economy unexpectedly contracted in the second quarter, reducing the likelihood of an interest rate hike from the Bank of Canada.
The US dollar weakened against major counterparts due to disappointing economic data, leading to a rally in gold prices and a less dovish Federal Reserve outlook, while the Australian and New Zealand Dollars performed well due to gains in Wall Street; crude oil prices also rallied despite deteriorating economic conditions in China.
The U.S. dollar declined due to weaknesses in economic growth, leading to a boost in the performance of gold and U.S. equities, while other global assets experienced mixed price movements throughout the week.
The safe-haven dollar weakened as risk sentiment improved due to hopes of China's policy stimulus stabilizing the economy and U.S. jobs data suggesting a potential end to the rate hike cycle by the Federal Reserve.
Gold prices decline slightly as the dollar remains strong, with investors awaiting further signals on the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy after an expected interest rate pause this month.
Gold prices slipped to a one-week low due to rising bond yields and a stronger U.S. dollar, as investors sought a hedge against global economic growth concerns.
The U.S. dollar's dominance in the gold market may be losing momentum, potentially leading to new all-time highs for gold as the dollar weakens, according to market strategist Carley Garner. She expects the U.S. dollar index to hold resistance below 105 points and eventually retest support at 99 points, which could be a game changer for gold, potentially pushing prices to $2,600 an ounce. Garner also highlights the resilience of gold and the potential for a selloff if the Federal Reserve shifts to a more neutral monetary policy stance. However, she is not as optimistic about silver, preferring to focus on gold.
Gold prices fell around 1% after Labor Day, with retail investors expecting further declines next week, while market analysts remain bearish, citing the strength of the U.S. dollar as a key factor influencing gold's performance.
Gold prices rose 1% on Friday due to a weaker dollar and increased safe-haven buying following strikes at three automakers in Detroit, while expectations of a pause in U.S. interest-rate hikes further supported the precious metal.
Gold and silver prices are higher as both markets rebound from multi-week lows, while stocks in Asia and Europe rise and U.S. stock indexes are expected to open mixed; China's economic data shows signs of a fragile economic recovery and the U.S. dollar weakens.
The US Dollar underperformed against major currencies last week, crude oil continued to rally, and gold prices were cautiously higher, while upcoming events like central bank rate decisions and the Bank of England rate hike are expected to impact the market.
Gold prices rose as the dollar weakened and investors awaited central bank policy meetings, with the Fed expected to pause on interest rate hikes.
Gold edges lower as investors react to U.S. Fed officials' warning of further interest rate hikes ahead of a consumer inflation gauge.
The U.S. dollar remains strong above the $105 mark, supported by the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and increased Treasury yields, while gold prices consolidate and oil prices rebound due to supply cuts and positive outlooks for the U.S. and China.
Gold and silver prices are slightly down as U.S. Treasury yields rise, the U.S. dollar index remains high, and traders and investors anticipate a potential U.S. government shutdown.
Gold and silver prices are down due to bearish outside market influences, including rising U.S. Treasury yields, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and lower crude oil prices, while the metals market bulls are also facing resistance from the Federal Reserve; however, safe-haven buying may increase if worrisome elements escalate.
The market for gold in China is surging as investors turn to the precious metal for safety amid economic stress, with the price of gold in Shanghai reaching a premium of 6% higher than in London or New York.
The strength of the US dollar and rising bond yields are causing gold prices to fall to their lowest level since March, with some analysts predicting that the bearish momentum could push prices down further to their 2023 lows at $1,810 in the spot market.
Gold prices stabilize near a six-month low as the dollar remains strong and investors await U.S. economic data for insight into the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans.
The Federal Reserve's expected interest rate hikes have had a significant impact on gold and bonds, causing gold prices to decline and the US Dollar to reach a ten-month peak; however, concerns have been raised about whether these measures are sufficient to counteract inflation, leading to speculation about potential adjustments in rate policy.
Gold and silver prices are falling due to a strong U.S. dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and upbeat risk attitudes, while Asian and European stocks are mixed, and the Bank of Japan is monitoring the depreciation of the yen against the U.S. dollar.
Gold and silver prices have remained stagnant for over three years despite high inflation and geopolitical turmoil, leading investors to consider the alternatives, such as holding cash, given the decline in the dollar's purchasing power and the potential for a looming recession and economic reckoning, making other conventional assets like bonds, equities, and real estate appear overvalued.
Bitcoin and gold are expected to thrive amidst fiscal problems in the US economy and a potential pivot from the Federal Reserve, according to macro investor Luke Gromen. Gromen also suggests that the launch of a gold-backed currency by the BRICS alliance may weaken the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.
The US dollar strengthened on positive US economic news, higher bond yields, and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, while the euro weakened due to dollar strength and hawkish comments from the European Central Bank.
The US economy could be reaching a tipping point as bond yields rise, while gold remains relatively resilient but faces pressure from the bond market.
Precious metals prices have been declining recently due to the higher interest rate projections by the Federal Reserve, but the weakness in gold prices may also be influenced by China's internal market dynamics and its impact on global gold prices.
Although long-term bond yields are surging and putting pressure on the gold market, gold remains an important insurance asset due to growing risks to the U.S. economy and the weakening correlation between gold and bond yields, according to analyst James Robertson. Central bank gold demand continues to have a significant impact on the market, and gold remains an attractive global monetary asset for diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. There is also substantial value and opportunities for investors in the mining sector.
The US job growth and robust labor market are weighing on gold prices as interest rates remain high and bond yields rise.
The gold market has experienced nine consecutive days of losses, its longest losing streak in seven years, due to surging bond yields, but rising bond yields also pose significant risks for the economy, creating potential for short-term challenges and a potential breakdown in the U.S. dollar's international appeal.
The gold market holds solid gains despite potential challenges from persistently elevated inflation and the possibility of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.