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Hedge Funds Cautious on Gold and Silver Ahead of Fed Meeting as Economic Uncertainty Competes with Rising Yields

  • Hedge funds remain neutral on gold, silver ahead of last week's FOMC meeting as economic uncertainty and rising yields compete for influence.

  • Gold trapped in neutral trading range since May, tug-of-war between economic uncertainty and hawkish Fed policy.

  • Silver outperforming gold recently as gold/silver ratio falls, but overall positioning still neutral.

  • Analysts see further upside potential for gold as safe haven amid recession risks from restrictive Fed policy.

  • Massive government deficits and money printing undermine alternatives like US dollar, supporting gold long-term.

kitco.com
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Gold and silver prices rise as the weaker U.S. dollar index and dip in U.S. Treasury yields attract futures traders and bargain hunters, while anxieties build over upcoming speeches from the Fed and ECB on future monetary policy direction and the potential shift in the Fed's inflation goal.
Bank of America believes that the stock market will continue to rise as investors' bullish sentiment contradicts their conservative portfolio positioning, suggesting there is still upside potential until hedge funds increase their exposure to cyclical and high-beta stocks and economic conditions deteriorate considerably.
The gold market is in need of a catalyst to break its current downtrend, with the upcoming economic data playing a crucial role in determining its direction.
Gold and silver prices are slightly up in quieter early U.S. trading, with traders and investors anticipating a more active market next week following the Labor Day weekend holiday.
Gold and silver prices are higher in response to weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data, contributing to gold reaching a three-week high, while China's measures to stimulate its economy and positive sentiment in international stock markets also influence the market.
The gold market remains steady despite stable inflation pressures, suggesting that the US central bank may be able to end its tightening cycle.
Gold prices rose slightly last week while silver remained mostly unchanged, but both metals are expected to potentially move together in an upward direction next week due to a dovish outlook on interest rates and potential repricing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Silver and gold prices have slightly declined, with silver down 4% and gold down 0.5%, leading to speculation about the potential for traders to switch back to silver from gold.
Gold prices decline slightly as the dollar remains strong, with investors awaiting further signals on the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy after an expected interest rate pause this month.
The U.S. dollar's dominance in the gold market may be losing momentum, potentially leading to new all-time highs for gold as the dollar weakens, according to market strategist Carley Garner. She expects the U.S. dollar index to hold resistance below 105 points and eventually retest support at 99 points, which could be a game changer for gold, potentially pushing prices to $2,600 an ounce. Garner also highlights the resilience of gold and the potential for a selloff if the Federal Reserve shifts to a more neutral monetary policy stance. However, she is not as optimistic about silver, preferring to focus on gold.
Hedge funds are reducing their bearish bets in gold, but bullish sentiment needs to improve for gold prices to break initial resistance above $1,980 an ounce.
Gold gained as the dollar weakened against the yuan due to positive China economic data, although the possibility of further U.S. interest rate hikes kept investors cautious.
Gold and silver prices are higher as both markets rebound from multi-week lows, while stocks in Asia and Europe rise and U.S. stock indexes are expected to open mixed; China's economic data shows signs of a fragile economic recovery and the U.S. dollar weakens.
Gold prices rose as the dollar weakened and investors awaited central bank policy meetings, with the Fed expected to pause on interest rate hikes.
The gold market remains neutral as the U.S. service sector's slowing activity and rising stagflation risks weigh on the economy.
The gold market is currently trapped in a neutral trading channel, but it is poised to benefit when sentiment changes and investors become more cautious, with gold remaining an important portfolio diversifier amidst pressure from central banks to cool down inflation.
Gold and silver prices are slightly down as U.S. Treasury yields rise, the U.S. dollar index remains high, and traders and investors anticipate a potential U.S. government shutdown.
Gold and silver prices are down due to bearish outside market influences, including rising U.S. Treasury yields, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and lower crude oil prices, while the metals market bulls are also facing resistance from the Federal Reserve; however, safe-haven buying may increase if worrisome elements escalate.
The latest precious metals report from Heraeus suggests that gold prices will continue to be constrained by the Federal Reserve's higher-for-longer policy, while silver supply is expected to meet the increasing demand from the solar industry.
Gold prices stabilize near a six-month low as the dollar remains strong and investors await U.S. economic data for insight into the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans.
Gold and silver prices are falling due to a strong U.S. dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and upbeat risk attitudes, while Asian and European stocks are mixed, and the Bank of Japan is monitoring the depreciation of the yen against the U.S. dollar.
Gold and silver prices have remained stagnant for over three years despite high inflation and geopolitical turmoil, leading investors to consider the alternatives, such as holding cash, given the decline in the dollar's purchasing power and the potential for a looming recession and economic reckoning, making other conventional assets like bonds, equities, and real estate appear overvalued.
Gold and silver prices remain near steady as the precious metals bulls struggle to stop the bleeding amidst a strong US dollar and high US Treasury yields, while Asian and European stocks are mixed and US stock indexes are expected to open narrowly mixed following the ouster of the Speaker of the House; traders are also looking ahead to Friday's September employment situation report from the Labor Department.
Precious metals prices have been declining recently due to the higher interest rate projections by the Federal Reserve, but the weakness in gold prices may also be influenced by China's internal market dynamics and its impact on global gold prices.
Although long-term bond yields are surging and putting pressure on the gold market, gold remains an important insurance asset due to growing risks to the U.S. economy and the weakening correlation between gold and bond yields, according to analyst James Robertson. Central bank gold demand continues to have a significant impact on the market, and gold remains an attractive global monetary asset for diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. There is also substantial value and opportunities for investors in the mining sector.
Gold prices are slightly lower after the US employment report for September shows stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls gains, indicating that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its hawkish stance on monetary policy.
Gold prices may continue to increase due to the Israel-Hamas conflict, higher oil prices, and higher demand during the festive season, but the upside may be limited by the possibility of continued monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve.
Famed hedge-fund manager, Paul Tudor Jones, warns that a decline in the stock market and a recession is likely to occur in the face of the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary tightening, and advises investing in gold and bitcoin due to the challenging geopolitical environment.
The gold market holds solid gains despite potential challenges from persistently elevated inflation and the possibility of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Gold and silver prices are higher on steady safe-haven demand and anticipation of a less-hawkish Federal Reserve, while tensions in the Middle East support a floor under prices.
Gold and crude oil prices experienced significant gains as geopolitical concerns and cautious Fedspeak impacted financial markets, while the US Dollar strengthened and stock markets faced mixed outlooks.
Bitcoin is experiencing a significant increase in the number of large wallets, indicating a rise in investor interest, despite concerns about inflation and the bear market. Gold and silver, on the other hand, are outperforming crypto amid global geopolitical tensions.
Gold and silver prices are weaker in early trading as a result of downside corrections and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while risk aversion and uncertainty in the Middle East and China's economic situation also contribute to the market's bearish sentiment.
Gold and silver prices have been boosted by geopolitical concerns and dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, but the path of least resistance for gold remains sideways to down unless there is a reversal in US Treasury yields.