1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business 💼
Posted

Record Clean Energy Growth Shows 1.5C Warming Limit Possible, But Massive Investment and Accelerated Transition Needed

  • Record growth in clean energy means limiting warming to 1.5C is still possible, but $4.5 trillion per year investment needed from 2030, up from $1.8 trillion in 2023.

  • Solar and EV growth since 2021 in line with net zero targets, but much more effort still required to triple renewables and double efficiency by 2030.

  • 75% cut in methane emissions from energy sector needed by 2030, costing just 2% of oil/gas profits in 2022.

  • Climate action backsliding by politicians despite extreme weather events; need to separate climate from geopolitics.

  • Equitable transition required, with advanced economies reaching net zero before developing nations.

reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
The hottest summer ever recorded is taking an economic toll as workers adapt to extreme heat, potentially costing the economy $100 billion a year and leading to even higher costs in the future if carbon emissions aren't reduced or businesses don't adapt, according to a report by the Atlantic Council.
Global subsidies for fossil fuels have reached a record $7 trillion in 2022, with the costs driven by post-pandemic consumption growth and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, according to the International Monetary Fund, causing strain on budgets, pollution, and exacerbating global warming.
A McKinsey Global Institute report highlights the need for $37 trillion in cumulative spending power increase by 2030 to achieve global economic empowerment, focusing on fulfilling essential needs such as nutrition, housing, healthcare, and education while also addressing environmental concerns. Economic empowerment and sustainability must go hand in hand, requiring additional investment of $47 trillion to achieve net-zero emissions, resulting in a total global investment of $84 trillion by 2030. While businesses and the market economy can contribute half of these resources, bridging the remaining gap will require new policies and incentives.
President Joe Biden stated during a press conference in Vietnam that global warming going above 1.5 degrees Celsius in the next 20 years is a more alarming existential threat than a nuclear war, emphasizing the urgent need for action to combat climate change.
Private investment in clean energy projects has surged in the United States following the signing of an expansive climate bill by President Joe Biden, with tax incentives and federal subsidies reshaping consumer and corporate spending in the sector and accelerating the development of automotive supply chains. However, wind power has not experienced the same level of growth, and consumer spending on energy-saving technologies like heat pumps has remained unchanged.
A new report from the International Energy Agency reveals that countries are making progress in deploying climate-friendly technologies, such as solar power and electric vehicles, and that there is still a pathway to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 and limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Global demand for fossil fuels is expected to peak by 2030, but this alone will not be enough to limit global warming to the target of 1.5 degrees Celsius, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The IEA highlights the need for a rapid expansion of renewable energy sources and a 25% decrease in fossil fuel demand by 2030, along with significant investments in clean energy and technologies such as carbon capture and storage. Despite progress in clean energy adoption, achieving the 1.5-degree target remains a challenging task.
The International Energy Agency's updated roadmap for achieving zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 highlights the limitations of carbon capture technology and carbon credits, emphasizing the progress made by renewables in reducing emissions.
Global fossil fuel demand needs to decrease by 25% by 2030 and 80% by 2050 to limit global warming and achieve climate change goals, according to the International Energy Agency's Net Zero Roadmap.
China's investments in its power sector may exceed 100 trillion yuan ($13.7 trillion) from 2020 to 2060 in order to achieve the goal of net-zero emissions by 2060 and curb global warming by 0.2-0.3 Celsius, according to State Grid Corp. of China.
Achieving the transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will require around $2 trillion annually by 2030, with the majority of funding coming from the private sector, as many emerging market and developing economies lack the necessary financial markets and credit ratings to attract international investors; furthermore, the current climate policies and commitments of major banks are not aligned with net-zero targets.
A new report by ICF Climate Center suggests that the US can achieve net zero by 2050 through increased adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), building decarbonization, and clean energy, but emphasizes the need for additional investments, regulations, and policies to reach the required scale.
Developing countries require $2 trillion in annual climate investments, with the majority of the funding expected to come from the private sector, according to the IMF, who warns that relying on public funds could lead to high debts. The IMF suggests implementing carbon pricing schemes and emissions taxes, as well as tightening regulations for ESG labels and improving investment climates, to attract private investments for climate initiatives.
The latest report from the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change warns that the world has a limited time to prevent catastrophic warming, but also highlights progress in areas such as carbon pricing, innovative financing, and climate technology.
The global heating equipment market is projected to grow from USD 40 billion to USD 65.15 billion in 10 years due to the introduction of energy-efficient and eco-friendly heating equipment, with Asia Pacific expected to dominate the market.
The UK requires significant infrastructure investment to address climate change and reduce economic inequality, including subsidies to replace gas boilers with heat pumps for low-income households, according to government advisors. The National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) recommends an annual investment of ÂŁ70-80 billion ($85-97 billion) in the 2030s, with increasing public investment and a transition to low-carbon heating by 2035. However, concerns have been raised about the feasibility and affordability of replacing gas boilers with heat pumps.
Clean energy, including solar and electric vehicles, is expected to transform the global energy system by 2030, with solar projected to generate more electricity than the entire US power system, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA)'s "World Energy Outlook 2023."
The International Energy Agency predicts that demand for fossil fuels will peak before 2030 due to the growing adoption of renewable energy sources, although a faster transition is needed to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Humanity is at a critical juncture in energy production and consumption, as small changes and policy shifts can have significant impacts on the energy economy, with the International Energy Agency predicting that a slight drop in China's economic growth could result in a reduction in coal use equivalent to Europe's consumption, highlighting the need for transformative policy changes to meet climate goals and limit warming to 2°C or below.
Global energy consumption is expected to rise by 1.8% in 2024, reaching a record high, with demand for fossil fuels and renewable energy both increasing, according to a report by the Economist Intelligence Unit.