New Zealand Growth to Slow Over Next 2 Years on Rate Hikes, Weaker Exports
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New Zealand's economic growth is forecast to slow over the next 2 years due to higher interest rates and weaker export demand.
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Annual average GDP growth is expected to be just 0.4% in 2023/24 before recovering slightly to 1.1% in 2025.
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Inflation is projected to ease from 4.3% in 2023/24 to 2.4% in 2025.
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The RBNZ's interest rate hikes are dampening demand as their impact transmits through the economy.
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Downside risks include weaker Chinese growth outlook dampening export demand, upside risks include strong net migration supporting domestic demand.