India's economic growth likely accelerated to 7.7% in the April-June quarter, driven by strong service sector growth, high demand, and increased government capital expenditure, according to a Reuters poll.
India's economy is experiencing consistent growth, and is predicted to become the fourth-largest economy within 18 months and the third-largest by 2028, driven by strong fundamentals and infrastructure development, while successfully reducing poverty; however, further reforms in areas such as patents, judicial, administrative, and process reforms are needed to boost economic growth.
Forecasters have decreased their growth expectations for China due to deflation, rising youth unemployment, and a property-market crisis, with GDP predicted to rise by only 5.1% in 2023 and 4.5% in 2024.
India's economy grew at its fastest pace in a year in the April-June quarter, driven by services and manufacturing, though economists warn of a slowdown ahead due to factors like rising food prices and slowing global growth.
Credit rating agency Moody's has raised its 2023 U.S. economic growth forecast to 1.9% while cutting its estimate for China, citing mounting challenges for the latter, including weak business and consumer confidence and an aging working population.
India's GDP growth reached a four-quarter high of 7.8% in Q1FY24, with private consumption and services picking up pace, but challenges lie ahead with the sustainability of services growth and concerns over the monsoon and agriculture sector.
Forecasts for China's economic growth in 2023 and 2024 have been cut, potentially hindering the country's goal of becoming a "medium-developed country" by 2035 and surpassing the US as the world's No.1 economy.
India's economic growth is estimated to be closer to 7.5%, with the country's first quarter growth at 7.8%, reflecting India's increasing stature in the world.
J.P.Morgan and ANZ have raised their 2023 economic growth forecast for China to 5% and 5.1% respectively, citing a notable recovery in retail sales and a rise in service activity.
Britain's main manufacturing trade body has lowered its growth forecast for the sector due to a decline in factory output and economic uncertainty, with expectations of a 0.5% fall in output in 2023 and a growth of only 0.5% in 2024.
India's goal of achieving 6.5% real GDP growth in FY24 may be complicated by lower-than-anticipated nominal growth, potentially delaying the country's aim of becoming a $5 trillion economy by another year.
The Asian Development Bank has lowered its growth forecast for developing Asia due to high interest rates and the property crisis in China, posing risks to the region's economies.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has lowered its forecast for global economic growth in 2024 to 2.7%, while predicting inflation to remain above central bank targets despite interest rate hikes; fears of a slowdown in China and reduced growth in the US contribute to the pessimistic outlook.
The Danish central bank has raised its economic growth forecast through 2025, attributing the increase to the success of Danish drugmakers such as Novo Nordisk, although it also noted that growth may be heavily skewed by activities outside of Denmark, particularly in the pharmaceutical industry.
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