The depreciating exchange rate of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar is leading to a potential economic disaster, with increased inflation, higher prices for petroleum and fuel, and a rise in poverty and unemployment.
The article highlights the economic crisis in India in 1991 and draws parallels to the current state of Pakistan's economy, emphasizing the importance of focusing on economic growth and addressing the needs of the deprived sections of society.
Pakistan's external vulnerabilities are set to worsen due to shrinking dollar inflows and increasing debt servicing, putting pressure on foreign exchange reserves and potentially leading to their depletion.
Pakistan's interim finance minister, Shamsad Akhtar, has stated that the country's economic situation is worse than expected, and ruled out subsidies for the people due to non-negotiable commitments with the IMF and strict conditions of the $3 billion loan received in June.
The recent increase in energy prices in Pakistan has led to protests over high inflation and electricity bills, with demonstrators burning utility bills, blocking highways, and attacking power company offices. The caretaker government has refused to lower energy prices without approval from the IMF, and has further increased petrol and diesel prices by over 14 Pakistani Rupees (PKR), surpassing PKR 300.
The relentless surge in pressure on the exchange rate and price level in Pakistan over the past two and a half years can be attributed to serious malfunctions on the balance of payments and fiscal accounts, which have thrown the monetary aggregates far from their projected path to stability. This has led to inflation and exchange rate pressure, and traditional IMF-mandated adjustments alone may not be enough to resolve the situation.
The current economic crisis in Pakistan is driven by high inflation, mismanaged policies, and failure to ensure price stability, leading to a weakened currency and a struggling middle class, but implementing radical reforms such as demonetization and swapping out foreign currency debt can potentially alleviate the situation and revive the economy.
Millions of Pakistanis are facing the devastating consequences of an unprecedented economic crisis, with rising inflation, soaring fuel and electricity prices, and a weakening currency, leaving low-income households struggling to make ends meet.
The Pakistani rupee has depreciated significantly in the first three weeks of the interim government's tenure, reaching a record low and making it the worst-performing Asian currency this quarter, due to factors such as a change in government and high inflation. The State Bank of Pakistan is implementing measures to address the economic challenges, including reforming the exchange rate and modernizing the banking system.