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Singapore Inflation Eases Slightly in August but Remains Elevated

  • Singapore's CPI inflation eased slightly to 4% in August from 4.1% in July, helped by softer services and food prices.

  • Core inflation, excluding accommodation and transport, fell to 3.4% in August from 3.8% in July.

  • Falling global supply chain issues helped lower food and consumer goods import costs.

  • But oil price spikes led to more expensive fuel imports, keeping inflationary pressures.

  • The central bank forecasts full-year CPI inflation of 4.5-5.5% and core inflation of 3.5-4.5% in 2023.

investing.com
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Pakistan's inflation rate remained above target in August at 27.4%, driven by reforms linked to an IMF loan that have fueled price pressures and declines in the rupee currency.
South Korea's annual consumer inflation accelerated to 3.4% in August, the fastest rate since early 2017, raising concerns for policymakers.
Philippine inflation unexpectedly quickened in August due to higher food and transport costs, putting pressure on the central bank to maintain its hawkish stance, and the government may consider reducing rice tariffs to help lower domestic costs.
Asia stock markets are softer ahead of U.S inflation data, with investors looking for signals about the Federal Reserve's next moves on interest rates.
The Consumer Price Index is expected to show an increase in inflation in August, with headline inflation rising to 3.6% and core inflation easing to 4.4%, but the market is accustomed to this trend and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to change its rates at the upcoming meeting.
India's retail inflation eased in August due to moderating food prices, but remained above the central bank's target range for a second consecutive month, prompting policymakers to remain vigilant.
Japan's annual wholesale inflation slowed for the eighth consecutive month in August, providing relief for households and retailers affected by previous increases in raw material imports.
Despite a spike in gas prices, the rise in inflation appears to be easing gradually, with core prices exhibiting a slower increase in August compared to July, suggesting that price pressures are being brought under control.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for this month shows that core CPI and all items CPI were slightly above expectations and accelerating, with the primary contributors to the acceleration being core services ex housing and energy, which may be a concern for the Fed. Additionally, owner's equivalent rent was a significant positive contributor to the monthly change in CPI, while used cars and trucks had a negative impact. There is potential for a re-acceleration of inflation, which could have negative implications for equity markets.
Despite a price cap on rice, rising food price inflation is expected in the Philippines due to a weakening exchange rate with the US dollar and a lack of domestic food production.
Inflation in Britain slowed for a third consecutive month in August, defying expectations of a rise due to higher fuel prices, with consumer prices rising 6.7 percent compared to the previous year, driven by slower increases in food prices and a decline in hotel room costs. Core inflation also fell more than anticipated, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures, though price growth remains uncomfortably high. The Bank of England is set to announce its decision on interest rates, with growing speculation that rates may be held steady due to signs of slowing inflation and a weak economy.
Japan's core inflation remained steady in August, staying above the central bank's 2% target for the 17th consecutive month, signaling broadening price pressure and potentially increasing the case for an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy.
Japanese consumer inflation grew above expectations in August, potentially signaling a move away from negative interest rates as the Bank of Japan meets to discuss its monetary policy.
Australia's inflation for August met expectations, with core inflation easing further, reducing pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates next month.
Japan's core inflation slowed for the third consecutive month in September, mainly due to falling fuel costs, providing some relief for the fragile economic recovery; however, factory output remained flat in August, indicating the negative impact of weak global demand and China's economy.
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation decreased in August, indicating that efforts to combat inflation are progressing, although there are still price growth pressures that could lead to further interest rate hikes by the central bank.
Higher gas prices boosted an inflation gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve in August, but measures of underlying inflation slowed, suggesting that overall price pressures are still moderating, potentially leading the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting.
Wage-sensitive inflation in non-housing services has been easing, while wage-insensitive inflation remains volatile and difficult to interpret, according to the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA). Housing inflation continues to be a significant contributor to excess inflation, but it is expected to gradually fall in the coming months.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has decided to keep its exchange rate-based monetary policy unchanged, maintaining the prevailing rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar, due to an uncertain global economic outlook and projections of declining core inflation. MAS also expects Singapore's economic growth to improve gradually over 2024, although it forecasts growth to be at the lower end of the 0.5 to 1.5 percent range. MAS will now announce its monetary policy on a quarterly basis starting from 2024.
UK inflation remains unchanged at 6.7% in September, raising doubts over Rishi Sunak's pledge to halve inflation by the end of the year, as rising fuel prices offset the first monthly fall in food prices in two years.