Pending home sales in the US rose by 0.9% in July, marking the second consecutive month of growth, despite high prices and increasing mortgage rates, with the rise attributed to an expanding job market and the potential for further increases given the number of failed offers; however, year-over-year pending transactions fell by 14%.
In August, the number of homes actively for sale decreased by 7.9% compared to the previous year, while the total number of unsold homes, including those under contract, decreased by 9.2%.
Average 30-year mortgage rates are still elevated at 6.94% in August, but they are expected to come down by the end of the year; however, a significant drop that will boost homebuying demand is not likely until 2024 or 2025, but there are advantages to buying a home even when rates are high, such as less competition.
The high average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages is deterring homeowners from selling, as they would face higher rates for a new mortgage and increased monthly payments, resulting in a shortage of homes for sale.
Mortgage payments in the US have reached a record high due to high mortgage rates and increasing home prices, causing pending home sales to decline by 12% year over year and pushing some buyers to the sidelines; however, sellers can still expect fair prices due to low inventory.
Rising borrowing costs have led to the highest rate of canceled home purchases in almost a year, with nearly 60,000 deals falling through in August, equaling 16% of homes under contract.
Sales of previously owned homes fell 0.7% in August from July, with high mortgage rates and tight supply impacting potential buyers.
Homebuyers are making fewer deals in August due to rough housing conditions, and the situation may worsen with potential mortgage rate increases to 8%.
Home sales in the American Midwest defied the national trend by increasing in August, while sales across the country declined, due to high mortgage rates and low supply, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Overall, home sales decreased by 0.7% in August and over 15% from the previous year, but analysts noted a stabilization in the market. The Midwest saw a 1% increase in home sales compared to July, but a more than 16% decline compared to the previous year.
High mortgage rates and rising home prices are causing homebuyers to shy away from homeownership, with many canceling purchase agreements and sellers becoming more willing to negotiate on asking prices.
As the US housing market starts to cool down, homebuyers are being presented with a good opportunity as more homes see price reductions, according to Zillow, with 9.2% of listings having a price cut in the week ending September 16, a higher rate than in 2019.