Main Topic: The U.S. Federal Reserve's need to raise interest rates further to bring down inflation.
Key Points:
1. Governor Michelle Bowman supports the Fed's quarter-point increase in interest rates last month due to high inflation, strong consumer spending, a rebound in the housing market, and a tight labor market.
2. Bowman expects additional rate increases to reach the Fed's 2 percent inflation target.
3. Monetary policy is not predetermined, and future decisions will be data-driven. Bowman will consider consistent evidence of inflation decline, signs of slowing consumer spending, and loosening labor market conditions.
Two officials at the Federal Reserve have expressed differing views on whether or not the central bank should raise its benchmark interest rate again to combat inflation, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes, with more clarity expected from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at a Fed conference in Jackson Hole.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to signal in his upcoming speech that the Fed plans to maintain its benchmark interest rate at a peak level for a longer period than anticipated, suggesting that any rate cuts are unlikely until well into next year, as the central bank aims to further slow borrowing and spending to reduce inflation.
Two Federal Reserve officials, Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, suggested that the Fed may be nearing the end of interest rate increases, although Collins did not rule out the possibility of further hikes if inflation doesn't decline.
Top central bankers, including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, emphasized the importance of keeping interest rates high until inflation is under control while also grappling with economic challenges and uncertainties at the annual Federal Reserve gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
The former president of the Boston Fed suggests that the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates if the labor market and economic growth continue to slow at the current pace.
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate and may not cut it until the second quarter of 2024 or later, according to economists in a Reuters poll.
Goldman Sachs strategists predict that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates at its upcoming meeting, but expect the central bank to increase its economic growth projections and make slight adjustments to its interest rate projections.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged as it faces economic and political risks while trying to combat inflation.
The Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates steady, giving borrowers a break after 11 rate hikes and aiming to tame inflation while avoiding a recession.
Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of England, have pledged to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period to combat inflation and achieve global economic stability, despite concerns about the strength of the Chinese economy and geopolitical tensions.
Federal Reserve policymakers Governor Michelle Bowman and Boston Fed President Susan Collins expressed the need to keep interest rates elevated to combat inflation, with Bowman suggesting further rate hikes will likely be needed to bring inflation down to the Fed's 2% target and Collins stating that further tightening is not off the table as progress in battling inflation has been slow.
The Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell, stated that despite current macroeconomic challenges, the central bank will continue with its rate increases and not consider cutting rates due to the stimulus money provided by Congress.
The Federal Reserve's interest-rate forecast is more hawkish than anticipated, with policymakers expecting to hold their key rate a half-percent higher through 2024 and cutting the federal funds rate by just one quarter-point over the next 15 months due to the economy's recent unexpected strength, despite doubts from Wall Street and rising Treasury yields.
Chris Harvey of Wells Fargo Securities believes that the Federal Reserve will no longer increase interest rates, while Tom Kennedy from J.P. Morgan Global Wealth Management advocates for multi-asset investing.
J.P. Morgan strategists predict that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates until the third quarter of next year due to a strong economy and continued inflation, with implications for inflation, earnings, and equity valuations as well as potential impact from a government shutdown.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan believes that the Federal Reserve has successfully tamed inflation but warns that factors like the strength of US consumers may lead to higher interest rates; however, Moynihan expects the US to avoid a recession and experience slow GDP growth in the coming quarters.
The Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates as inflation resurfaces, according to Wall Street investor Caitlin Long, with big corporations benefiting while other sectors of the US economy are already in recession.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates by another 1.5 percentage points, potentially reaching 7%, which would be the highest since 1990, and urges Americans to be prepared for the possibility.
Two Federal Reserve officials, Raphael Bostic and Loretta Mester, expressed their beliefs that interest rates will remain high for an extended period of time due to the need for restrictive monetary policy and the strength of the US economy.
Atlanta Federal Reserve president Raphael Bostic stated that given the slowing economy and falling inflation, there is no immediate need for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but it will likely be a while before rate cuts are appropriate.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates high for a longer period has sparked a debate among financial experts over the possibility of an impending recession.
The Federal Reserve is facing a tough decision on interest rates as some officials believe further rate increases are necessary to combat inflation, while others argue that the current rate tightening will continue to ease rising prices; however, the recent sell-off in government bonds could have a cooling effect on the economy, which may influence the Fed's decision.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates higher for longer due to the potential inflation caused by rising oil prices amid the escalating war between Israel and Hamas, according to billionaire venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya.
Goldman Sachs warns that the Federal Reserve's prolonged tight monetary policy and higher interest rates will have a negative impact on the economy and markets, potentially leading to lower GDP growth, stock market pressure, and challenges for corporations.
Higher-for-longer interest rates are expected to hinder U.S. economic growth by 0.5%, potentially leading unprofitable public companies to cut their workforce, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs, who also noted that the Federal Reserve's current benchmark rate is insufficient to cause a recession. Additionally, the firm warned that the high rates could increase the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio to 123% over the next decade without a fiscal agreement in Washington.
The Federal Reserve officials suggested that they may not raise interest rates at the next meeting due to the surge in long-term interest rates, which has made borrowing more expensive and could help cool inflation without further action.
Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic believes that the US central bank does not need to raise interest rates further and does not see a recession on the horizon, despite the slowing economy and falling inflation caused by previous rate hikes. He also emphasized that the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas creates uncertainty and could impact the global economy.
Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic believes that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise interest rates further, and he sees no recession on the horizon, despite the impact of previous rate hikes on the economy and inflation. Bostic also acknowledges the uncertainty created by the conflict between Israel and Hamas, but remains prepared for unexpected events.
The Federal Reserve will continue with its 'higher-for-longer' interest rate narrative unless there are signs of a slowdown in the consumer sector.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the strength of the U.S. economy and tight labor markets could warrant further interest rate increases, countering market expectations that rate hikes had come to an end. Powell also acknowledged that inflation is still too high and further rate increases could be necessary.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell stated that the central bank may need to raise interest rates further if economic data continues to show strong growth or if the labor market stops cooling.
The CEO of Starwood Capital Group, Barry Sternlicht, predicts that the Federal Reserve will be forced to lower interest rates due to the high cost of paying off the government's debt pile, and warns that other Western central banks may follow suit or resort to printing money to cover deficits.
