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Fed Keeps Raising Rates Despite Economic Headwinds, But Rally Expected When Tightening Ends

  • Federal Reserve continuing relentless rate increases despite headwinds for companies
  • Macro headwinds not strong enough for Fed to pause tightening cycle
  • Obvious to Fed but not commentators that rates won't be cut soon
  • Fed won't cut rates due to stimulus money flooding in from Congress
  • Buy stocks now to catch rally when Fed eventually ends tightening cycle
cnbc.com
Relevant topic timeline:
The majority of economists polled by Reuters predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again, and they expect the central bank to wait until at least the end of March before cutting them, as the probability of a recession within a year falls to its lowest level since September 2022.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will likely provide updates on the central bank's stance on interest rates in the US during the Jackson Hole meeting, although an announcement regarding the end of interest rate hikes is less likely due to positive economic data and the potential risk of triggering another crisis.
Wall Street slightly increased ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech, with futures for the Dow and S&P 500 rising 0.2%; traders hope Powell will indicate that the Fed is done raising interest rates and may cut them next year.
Two Federal Reserve officials suggest that interest-rate increases may be coming to an end, but one of them believes that further hikes may still be necessary depending on inflation trends.
Two officials at the Federal Reserve have expressed differing views on whether or not the central bank should raise its benchmark interest rate again to combat inflation, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes, with more clarity expected from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at a Fed conference in Jackson Hole.
Traders interpret Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech as an indication that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates and that the US economy remains strong.
Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester believes that beating inflation will require one more interest-rate hike and then a temporary pause, stating that rate cuts may not begin in late 2024 as previously thought.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled at a conference of central bankers that more rate hikes could be on the way as the economy continues to run hot, despite a series of policy tightening measures, in an effort to combat persistent inflation.
The former president of the Boston Fed suggests that the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates if the labor market and economic growth continue to slow at the current pace.
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by about one percentage point next year as economic growth slows and unemployment rises, according to chief economists at major North American banks.
Economist Campbell Harvey warns that the Federal Reserve should not raise rates later this year, as he believes a recession may occur in 2024 due to an inverted yield curve and potential distortions in Bureau of Labor Statistics and GDP figures.
Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates at its upcoming annual meeting due to favorable inflation news and projected economic growth, but they expect a further hike later in the year.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week, but investors will be paying close attention to any indications of future rate increases as the central bank continues its fight against inflation.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces the challenge of managing market expectations of interest rate hikes and addressing rising energy costs leading to inflation, while also leaving room for rate cuts if necessary.
The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates will continue to burden borrowers with higher bills on credit cards, student loans, car loans, and mortgages, while savers are rewarded with higher rates on savings accounts and certificates of deposit.
BlackRock's Rick Rieder predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next year due to a slowing economy, following the Fed's recent pause on rate hikes.
At least one more interest-rate hike is possible, according to Federal Reserve officials, who suggest that borrowing costs may need to remain higher for longer in order to address inflation concerns and reach the central bank's 2% target.
The former Goldman Sachs chairman and CEO, Lloyd Blankfein, believes that the Federal Reserve may not need to keep interest rates high for an extended period, as cuts to rates could be on the horizon sooner than expected due to relatively subdued inflation, despite the tough rhetoric from top Fed officials.
The Federal Reserve remains committed to raising interest rates despite the rise in U.S. bond yields, as the U.S. economy shows signs of re-accelerating in the third quarter and inflation worries ease.
Atlanta Federal Reserve president Raphael Bostic stated that given the slowing economy and falling inflation, there is no immediate need for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but it will likely be a while before rate cuts are appropriate.
Higher-for-longer interest rates are expected to hinder U.S. economic growth by 0.5%, potentially leading unprofitable public companies to cut their workforce, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs, who also noted that the Federal Reserve's current benchmark rate is insufficient to cause a recession. Additionally, the firm warned that the high rates could increase the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio to 123% over the next decade without a fiscal agreement in Washington.
Wall Street and policymakers at the Federal Reserve are optimistic that the rise in long-term Treasury yields could put an end to historic interest rate hikes meant to curb inflation, with financial markets now seeing a nearly 90% chance that the US central bank will keep rates unchanged at its next policy meeting on October 31 through November 1.
The Federal Reserve will continue with its 'higher-for-longer' interest rate narrative unless there are signs of a slowdown in the consumer sector.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged on November 1 and may delay rate cuts until the second half of next year, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver remarks in New York suggesting that interest rates will remain unchanged at the next meeting, despite uncertainty surrounding future rate decisions.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming remarks at the Economic Club of New York may provide insight into the central bank's strategy on interest rates, potentially affecting the market and indicating if the Fed agrees with recent speakers who believe rate hikes are over.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the strength of the U.S. economy and tight labor markets could warrant further interest rate increases, countering market expectations that rate hikes had come to an end. Powell also acknowledged that inflation is still too high and further rate increases could be necessary.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell stated that the central bank may need to raise interest rates further if economic data continues to show strong growth or if the labor market stops cooling.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has expressed concerns about high inflation and emphasized the careful approach the Fed is taking, leaving the possibility of future interest rate hikes open despite signaling a potential pause in November. The Fed is also considering the impact of increasing Treasury yields on its policies.