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Stocks Plunge on First Day of Fall, Sparking Recession Fears

  • The stock market had its worst drop since March on the autumnal equinox.

  • The market typically declines in September, but this drop feels more ominous.

  • Analysts are unsure if the volatility is just a September blip or indicative of a larger issue.

  • The Fed's interest rate hikes have increased recession fears, contributing to the instability.

  • Some optimism remains that the scary season for stocks may be ending soon.

barrons.com
Relevant topic timeline:
1. The labor market shows signs of modest cooling, but is still hot. 2. The S&P 500 index is approaching its all-time high and continues to trend upward. 3. The banking sector is still struggling, but upcoming earnings reports may provide some optimism.
After a strong surge in June and July, the S&P 500 index has experienced a significant decline in August, with tech stocks being hit particularly hard, as fears of rising interest rates and a slowdown in China weigh on the market.
The US banking industry could face a significant drop in stock prices within the next 16 months if the economy enters a recession, according to macro guru Hugh Hendry.
The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 5% in August, and opinions on whether stocks will rebound are divided among Wall Street firms and market commentators, with some, like Goldman Sachs and Fundstrat, remaining optimistic while others, including Michael Burry and David Rosenberg, are bearish.
The stock market experienced a sharp decline as early gains turned into a selloff, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all falling; concerns over rising bond yields and inflation contributed to the sell-off.
Stockbrokers who traditionally sell their positions in May and return on St Ledger's Day in September may be in for trouble this year, as indicators such as the copper-gold ratio and predictions from investors like Michael Burry suggest a potential market crash and recession.
The S&P 500 and other major indices are showing bearish signals, with potential for a significant drop, while the dollar is expected to maintain its upward trajectory and strong economic data could lead to a breakout in interest rates. Additionally, Meta's stock is on a downward trend and the KBW NASDAQ BANK Index is at risk of further decline.
September historically has been the worst performing month for the U.S. stock market, and with the recent decline in August, investors should prepare for further volatility and potentially disappointing results in September.
The stock market has been stagnant for over a month and it is expected to decline in its next move.
Stock indexes decline as concerns about future rate hikes and sluggish market performance in September weigh on investor sentiment, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite falling for the third consecutive day and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 on a two-day losing streak.
US stocks are experiencing their worst performance in September since 1928, but there are signs that the market could avoid a steep downturn this year, with indicators suggesting more stability and positive gains for the rest of the year, according to Mark Hackett, chief of research at US investment firm Nationwide. However, challenges such as elevated oil prices and inflation could put strain on the stock market and the US economy.
The stock market is disregarding signs of an economic slowdown, despite historical evidence suggesting it could be a cause for concern.
Investors are selling and bringing the market down due to reasons like interest rates, macroeconomic weakness, fear of giving up on gains, the Federal Reserve, the political climate, and potential strikes, according to CNBC's Jim Cramer.
The stock market experienced a correction as Treasury yields increased, causing major indexes to break key support levels and leading stocks to suffer damage, while only a few stocks held up relatively well; however, it is currently not a favorable time for new purchases in the market.
The stock market's decline has intensified recently, leading to concerns about how far it could fall.
US small-cap and industrial stocks are dropping, typically signaling a recession, but some investors are dismissing the moves as noise for now, with hope for stocks coming in the form of anticipated earnings season and the Federal Reserve's forecast of stronger economic growth.
Stocks are falling sharply as the fantasy of rate cuts turns into the nightmare of higher rates and inflation, potentially leading to a significant decline in the S&P 500 and the end of the summer rally.
The S&P Semiconductors Select Industry Index is showing signs of decline, which could have negative implications for the overall stock market.
The recent decline in the US equity market is validating concerns about its lopsided nature, with a small number of top-performing stocks leading the market lower and the remaining companies struggling to make gains, potentially exacerbating losses in a rising Treasury yield environment.
Despite optimistic earnings predictions, the current market math suggests that stock prices are likely to drop substantially due to high price-to-earnings ratios and rising interest rates.
The stock market experienced another ugly day, with major indexes dropping and no bounce or dip buying, leading some to believe that we are in a bear market despite the lack of official acknowledgement.
Wall Street's forecasts of corporate earnings are expected to decrease, which will likely impact the stock market.
Major stock market indexes dipped into negative territory on Wednesday, continuing Tuesday's losses, despite some positive news from August durable goods numbers. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw declines, with the Dow Jones now breaking its 200-day moving average.
CNBC's Jim Cramer is cautiously optimistic about the market's recent bounce, but warns that further decline is possible due to bond yields and oil prices, although historical seasonal patterns suggest conditions may start to turn in October.
The current stock market decline, driven by a "confluence of factors," does not indicate a financial crisis and presents an opportunity for investors to buy stocks, according to DataTrek Research.
Investors are concerned about the recent stock market decline due to surging oil prices, rising bond yields, and worries about economic growth, leading to a sell-off even in major tech companies and potentially impacting President Biden's approval ratings.
Investors are concerned about a potential showdown for the S&P 500 as stock market commentator, Heisenberg, shares a chart indicating bearish patterns and a major trend line off the October lows, suggesting a sharp drop in the index. Rising bond yields, climbing oil prices, and fears of slowing consumer spending are also factors contributing to investor unease.
In September, the stock market had a poor performance, which is typical for this month.
U.S. stocks mostly fell as investors considered the latest inflation data from the Federal Reserve, marking the end of a turbulent month for the market.
Investor sentiment is being weighed down by factors such as rising interest rates, low bond yields, a potential government shutdown, and consumers facing rising prices without salary increases, but there is optimism that October could bring a turning point for the market.
The recent two-week selloff in the stock market confirms a weak market and raises the possibility of new lows, indicating that the so-called bull market was just a rebound and the next bull market will be driven by different factors. Investors should focus on traditional fundamentals and cash reserves rather than poor investments.
Stock markets are experiencing their worst month of the year, as the Federal Reserve confirms its commitment to keeping interest rates higher for a longer period, leading to concerns about the Fed's hawkish stance continuing to weigh on stocks.
Stocks mostly fell in the U.S. on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average declining, while the Nasdaq Composite inched up; all three indexes ended the month of September in the red, with the S&P and Nasdaq experiencing their worst monthly performance since December, and the Dow having its worst showing since February.
The market is experiencing a gradual decline after a summer rally, as inflation remains above the target range and there are concerns about a forced correction of the economy due to the higher for longer rate environment; the overvalued nature of equity valuations also contributes to the risk of a broader market crash.
Stocks on Wall Street fell in early trading on Tuesday as rising Treasury yields and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve policymakers dampened investor sentiment. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down over 1.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled about 0.9%, and the S&P 500 dropped almost 1.1%. Additionally, the number of open jobs in the US increased in August, raising questions about whether the job market is cooling fast enough to satisfy the Federal Reserve as it considers more interest rate hikes to combat inflation.
The recent downturn in the stock market has investors concerned due to rising bond yields, political dysfunction, geopolitical risks, and the historical association of market crashes in October.
Stocks slip as U.S. crude futures drop and mortgage rates climb, while investors await payroll data for signs of a slowing job market; electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are making moves, and the U.S. Dollar Index rises for its 12th consecutive week. European stocks close mixed, and utilities stocks see their worst year in over a decade due to higher bond yields.
September was the worst month of the year for the stock market, with all three major U.S. financial indexes experiencing declines, but cybersecurity leaders CrowdStrike and Zscaler are well-positioned for future growth despite their stock price drops.
The stock market tends to perform better from November to April, a phenomenon known as the Halloween Effect, as historical data shows that stock-market returns have been higher during these months compared to May to October.
The recent rally in the U.S. stock market is likely a short-term uptick within a longer-term downtrend, as the optimism of stock market timers exceeds historical expectations.
US stocks fall as fears of war in the Middle East and hopes for stronger profits at big US companies collide in financial markets; oil prices rise and Treasury yields fall, creating uncertainty in the market.
The author suggests that the recent price decline in the market may be the start of another bear market, and they believe the key indicator to watch for confirmation is a divergence between the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 indices, specifically if the Russell 2000 breaks below last year's bear market lows.
Investors are hopeful that the year-long decline in profits for Corporate America will come to an end with a projected rebound in the final quarter, but concerns about the fragile economy, high interest rates, and wary consumers suggest that any relief for stocks may be short-lived.
Stocks rise and bond prices decline as markets focus on corporate earnings and the strength of the U.S. economy, rather than Middle East tensions, signaling a reversal of last week's risk-off sentiment.
The stock market's recent lackluster phase may have a glimmer of hope based on historical trends, with data showing that in years when the S&P 500 gained more than 1.4% in the first five days of October and had negative performance the previous year, the market advanced about 86% of the time; however, the near-term outlook may not be as optimistic, with October historically seeing a negative change and geopolitical tensions potentially dampening economic growth.