New home sales in the US increased by 4.4% in July, outperforming expectations and highlighting the continued demand for new construction due to a shortage of existing affordable homes. Despite rising mortgage rates, buyers are turning to new homes, causing a decline in sales in the resale market. However, as mortgage rates continue to rise, builder sentiment may be negatively impacted and prices may need to be adjusted to attract buyers.
Mortgage rates topping 7% have led to a significant drop in mortgage applications for home purchases, with last week seeing the smallest volume in 28 years. The increase in rates, driven by concerns of high inflation, has priced out many potential buyers and contributed to low housing supply and high home prices. As a result, sales of previously owned homes have declined, and homeowners are reluctant to sell their properties due to the higher rates. Some buyers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages to manage the increased costs.
Sales of existing homes have declined due to the rise in mortgage rates, but the demand for new homes is increasing as buyers are hesitant to sell their current homes with low-interest mortgages.
Pending home sales in the US rose by 0.9% in July, marking the second consecutive month of growth, despite high prices and increasing mortgage rates, with the rise attributed to an expanding job market and the potential for further increases given the number of failed offers; however, year-over-year pending transactions fell by 14%.
In August, the number of homes actively for sale decreased by 7.9% compared to the previous year, while the total number of unsold homes, including those under contract, decreased by 9.2%.
There are indications that a severe economic contraction may be approaching in the US, with a significant decline in home sales and rising interest rates, similar to the 2008 financial crisis, according to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone.
Mortgage payments in the US have reached a record high due to high mortgage rates and increasing home prices, causing pending home sales to decline by 12% year over year and pushing some buyers to the sidelines; however, sellers can still expect fair prices due to low inventory.
U.S. homebuilder confidence fell to its lowest level since April in September due to high interest rates, leading to decreased affordability for buyers and a decline in demand for new home construction.
US home sales are expected to experience the largest slowdown since 2011, with Fannie Mae forecasting a decline in sales due to higher mortgage rates and a weakening US economy.
U.S. homebuilding fell to a three-year low in August due to higher mortgage rates, but permits for new construction increased, signaling support from a shortage of homes on the market.
Home prices continued to rise in August due to low inventory and high mortgage rates, causing a drop in home sales, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors.
The United States housing market has seen a 21 percent decline in previously occupied home sales over the past year, continuing the slowdown caused by rising interest rates, while prices continue to rise despite the decrease in sales, leading to a shortage of affordable homes and worsening home affordability for the foreseeable future.
Sales of previously owned homes in the US fell for the third consecutive month in August, as higher mortgage rates, rising prices, and a lack of available properties have limited homebuyers' options.
Sales of previously owned homes fell 0.7% in August from July, with high mortgage rates and tight supply impacting potential buyers.
Home sales in the American Midwest defied the national trend by increasing in August, while sales across the country declined, due to high mortgage rates and low supply, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Overall, home sales decreased by 0.7% in August and over 15% from the previous year, but analysts noted a stabilization in the market. The Midwest saw a 1% increase in home sales compared to July, but a more than 16% decline compared to the previous year.
Higher mortgage rates are causing existing-home sales in August to decline and may also impact new home sales in the near future.
Mortgage applications and housing demand have dropped as a result of increased mortgage rates, which are now at their highest levels in over 20 years, leading to limited inventory and fewer options for buyers.
Rising mortgage rates and seasonal factors have led to a 7.1% plunge in pending home sales for August, with every region experiencing a decline, exacerbating the existing issues of expensive mortgages, rising prices, and low inventory in the housing market.
Pending home sales in the U.S. plummeted due to high mortgage rates, deterring buyers and sellers from making deals, exacerbating the ongoing inventory shortage and driving up home prices.
As the US housing market starts to cool down, homebuyers are being presented with a good opportunity as more homes see price reductions, according to Zillow, with 9.2% of listings having a price cut in the week ending September 16, a higher rate than in 2019.
30-year mortgage rates experienced their largest one-day drop since early March, falling almost three-tenths of a point to a record low, following a surge to a 23-year high the day before, prompting potential homebuyers to shop around for the best mortgage option.
Mortgage rates are expected to fall in the coming months, offering homebuyers more affordability and potentially boosting the housing market.
Mortgage rates dropped at the end of the week, with the 30-year fixed-rate average at 8.07%, significantly lower than the previous week's historic high of 8.34%.
September saw a significant decline in home sales, with the lowest tally since 1995 and a 32 percent drop from the previous year, due to high interest rates and homeowners' reluctance to sell and move to a place with a higher monthly payment, leaving few options for prospective buyers.
Mortgage rates are expected to decrease significantly by the end of 2024, but a shortage of available homes will lead to higher sales prices for the next few years. Despite the drop in rates, the low inventory of new homes will drive up purchase costs. Additionally, a sluggish economy, rising unemployment, and declining inflation may lead to a recession in early 2024. However, the combination of these factors will eventually help bring down mortgage rates further in the following years.
Home sales in the US dropped in September to the lowest level in 13 years due to rising interest rates and climbing home prices, making it unaffordable for many potential buyers. The low inventory of homes for sale pushed prices up, with the median price for existing homes reaching a record high of $394,300 last month.
U.S. existing home sales dropped 2% in September due to high mortgage rates and a shortage in housing supply, with prices falling slightly and the supply crunch being driven by the surge in mortgage rates over the past year.
Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes in September dropped to their slowest pace in over a decade due to surging mortgage rates and limited inventory, while home prices continue to rise.
Mortgage rates nearing 8% and a shortage of homes for sale are preventing potential homebuyers, particularly first-time buyers, from entering the market, leading to a 2% decrease in existing-home sales in September compared to the previous year.
Existing home sales fell to levels not seen since the Great Recession while prices remained high amid the highest mortgage rates in 23 years, signaling a slowdown in the housing market.
The US housing market is experiencing a significant decline in existing-home sales, with September seeing a 15% drop compared to the previous year, due to factors such as high mortgage rates, low inventory levels, and rising home prices.
Goldman Sachs predicts that sustained higher mortgage rates and tight supply will lead to a decline in homebuying activity and a fall in home prices by 0.8% this year, although home prices are expected to rise by 3.4% year-over-year; existing home sales are also projected to decrease to their lowest level since the early 1990s.
Pending home sales unexpectedly increased by 1.1% in September, as buyers took advantage of a temporary stabilization in mortgage rates before they moved higher, according to the National Association of Realtors, while overall activity remains largely blunted in the resale market with pending transactions down by 11% on a yearly basis.
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