The outlook for oil prices and Chinese demand, OPEC+ supply curbs, rising flows of Iranian crude, and the transition away from fossil fuels are among the key topics discussed at Asia's largest gathering of industry traders and executives.
The US continues to see draws in crude inventories, tightening markets, despite Saudi Arabia and Russia's extension of production and export cuts, as well as other energy news such as the cancellation of Alaskan drilling, Kurdistan's demand for funds, and the spike in jet fuel costs.
The tightening of oil supply and the alliance between Saudi Arabia and Russia to push for higher prices raises concerns for consumers as fuel costs surge, potentially impacting the global economy and inflation rates.
The United States is in regular contact with Saudi Arabia to ensure a stable and affordable supply of energy to global markets, according to National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan. This comes as cuts in oil output by Saudi Arabia and Russia are expected to result in a significant market deficit.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
The increased exports of oil from the United States into Europe and Asia have allowed U.S. crude to regain its dominance in setting international oil prices, reducing volatility and potential market distortion, while also shifting power to U.S. companies and traders in the market.
Oil majors ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP are near buy points as U.S. crude oil prices continue to rise above $90 per barrel.
Summary: The mounting shortage of oil in a major U.S. oil town is causing disruption in energy markets, leading to a surge in U.S. oil prices.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
US oil prices and energy stocks, including ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum, fell as crude oil inventories decreased but gasoline stockpiles increased, while the outlook for demand remains uncertain and refinery stocks struggle.