1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business 💼
Posted

Rising Oil Prices Risk Fueling UK Inflation Despite Falling Energy Bills

  • Oil prices have topped $95 a barrel, raising concerns of rising inflation and higher gas prices. This could slow the decline in UK inflation.

  • Inflation is expected to rise to 7% in August, posing challenges for the Bank of England and the government's inflation-reduction goals.

  • Rising oil prices threaten to counteract the effect of falling energy bills on overall inflation. Higher alcohol duties will also push inflation up.

  • Core inflation is forecast to edge down slightly in August, but still far above the BoE's 2% target. The BoE is expected to raise rates again this week.

  • Factory gate and shipping cost inflation have eased, which should help lower consumer prices. But food inflation looks set to drop further.

theguardian.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Oil prices rise as global supply tightens due to lower exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia, offsetting concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates.
China's economic troubles could lead to lower oil prices and subsequently lower gasoline prices, providing relief for consumers and potentially impacting global energy markets.
Diesel prices have surged due to lower inventories of middle distillates in the US and Europe, with hedge funds betting on higher prices amid concerns about reduced supply and increased demand. Refining margins have also strengthened as a result of tighter supply of crude and fuels.
Crude oil prices rise as US inventories decline and concerns about US rate hikes and China's economic indicators persist.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
Rising gasoline prices are impacting inflation-weary Americans.
Crude oil prices could be vulnerable to further rises due to tight supply, warns Ben Luckock, Co-Head of Oil Trading at Trafigura.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
The rebounding crude oil prices and fading annual base effects suggest that energy prices may become a headwind for global markets, potentially complicating the battle against inflation and tightening monetary policies.
Rising WTI crude oil prices are raising concerns about higher inflation, which the Federal Reserve is trying to avoid, according to Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi.
Summary: Rising oil prices and increasing gas prices, driven by the Russian-Saudi agreement to extend oil production cuts, are contributing to inflation concerns and putting pressure on the markets, leading to potential gains for oil stocks like ConocoPhillips and Chevron.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
Inflation is expected to rise in August as oil and gasoline prices increase, putting pressure on the economy and potentially leading to higher interest rates and a stronger dollar.
Rising oil prices are making it harder for the Federal Reserve to achieve its 2% inflation target, as increased energy costs could lead to higher prices for goods and services, potentially complicating the Fed's plan to hold interest rates steady and achieve a "soft landing" for the economy.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Despite a spike in gas prices, the rise in inflation appears to be easing gradually, with core prices exhibiting a slower increase in August compared to July, suggesting that price pressures are being brought under control.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Rising oil prices pose a risk to the Federal Reserve's efforts to achieve a soft landing for the economy and return inflation to its 2% target without triggering a downturn.
World markets are cautious ahead of central bank decisions and concerned about inflation signals amidst rising oil prices, as crude oil reaches its highest levels of the year due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, while US production also falls.
Oil prices reach a 3-month high as OPEC maintains tight supply. Gas prices in the US rise, posing a threat to efforts against inflation.
Goldman Sachs predicts that crude oil prices could reach $100 a barrel, posing a risk to global economic growth and complicating central bankers' efforts to control inflation, which could impact interest rate policies and further increase gasoline prices.
Rising oil prices, closing in on $100 a barrel, pose a threat to the Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation, as higher oil prices can drive up the cost of gasoline and other crude-related products and squeeze the Consumer Prices Index higher.
Gas prices are expected to rise to $100 per barrel of crude oil, but experts believe consumers will be able to handle the increase, with some price easing predicted in the future.
Crude oil prices rose as inventories declined and demand from Asia and Europe decreased, threatening higher gas prices in the US and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
The recent global supply concerns caused by Russia's fuel export ban are driving up oil prices, counteracting the demand fears driven by macroeconomic headwinds and high interest rates.
Policymakers in the US and Europe may find comfort in the slowdown of underlying measures of consumer-price growth, but rising crude oil prices could still fuel further inflation.
Rapidly climbing oil prices threaten to undermine the UK Government's plan to fix the economy and could become a major pre-election headache, as soaring fuel prices, sticky inflation, and higher housing costs due to high interest rates could negatively impact voters.
Oil prices have risen due to Saudi Arabia's decision to cut back oil production, which has led to higher gasoline and diesel prices, complicating the global fight against inflation and benefiting Russia's economy.
Oil prices are facing pressure due to a strengthening U.S. dollar and concerns about higher interest rates impacting demand.
Rising oil prices, driven by production cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, could have long-term economic repercussions, particularly in developing countries.
A spike in crude oil prices to the highest level of the year adds to the challenges faced by world markets, leaving investors turning to the Federal Reserve chair for reassurance amidst concerns over inflation, a potential government shutdown, unresolved autoworker strikes, and the Chinese property sector bust.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
China's decreased oil demand, coupled with its shift from crude imports to refined product exports and sizable oil inventories, is countering recent crude price surges and playing a significant role in the global oil market.
Crude oil prices are poised to experience their largest weekly drop since March due to concerns about weak demand, a bond market selloff, and economic worries, despite OPEC+'s decision to maintain supply constraints.
The recent Israel-Palestine conflict may cause a temporary spike in crude oil prices, but the overall impact on global oil supply is expected to be limited unless the conflict escalates further.
OPEC+ decides to maintain current oil production cuts, causing a drop in crude oil prices despite the potential need for higher prices to impact demand, with oil demand booming in China and India but declining in the US.
Crude oil prices dipped slightly following a significant increase in gasoline inventories, raising concerns about demand, despite the war premium added by events in the Middle East.