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Rising Oil Prices Threaten Higher Inflation and Interest Rates Despite Economic Slowdown

  • Oil prices surge after Saudi Arabia and Russia extend production cuts, threatening higher inflation and more interest rate hikes.

  • Higher oil prices could force Bank of Canada to raise rates again despite signs of economic slowdown.

  • Gas prices already up 8% annually, will drive inflation over 4% in coming months.

  • Job gains and wage growth in August report also add pressure for more rate hikes.

  • Bank of Canada likely to wait for signs of easing core inflation before holding off on further hikes.

yahoo.com
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Oil prices rise as global supply tightens due to lower exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia, offsetting concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Saudi Arabia and Russia have announced that they will extend voluntary oil cuts until the end of the year, despite a rally in the oil market and expectations of tight supply, contributing to a rise in oil prices and posing a fresh blow to US President Joe Biden.
Oil prices reached a new high for the year after Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend output cuts, reinforcing efforts to support oil prices by the OPEC+ alliance.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Summary: Rising oil prices and increasing gas prices, driven by the Russian-Saudi agreement to extend oil production cuts, are contributing to inflation concerns and putting pressure on the markets, leading to potential gains for oil stocks like ConocoPhillips and Chevron.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
Oil prices are climbing towards $100 per barrel due to supply disruptions in Libya and expectations of a further U.S. inventory draw.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
The recent catastrophic flooding in Libya, which has resulted in thousands of deaths and caused supply disruptions, has caused global oil prices to surge above $92 a barrel for the first time in nearly 10 months, leading to increased prices at the pump and concerns about inflation.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
European markets were stagnant as investors awaited a decision from the European Central Bank on whether to raise interest rates for the tenth consecutive meeting, while carmaker shares dropped following an investigation into electric vehicle subsidies by the European Commission and concerns over Chinese retaliation. Additionally, the oil market is keeping a close eye on the possibility of crude prices reaching $100 a barrel as Saudi Arabia and Russia plan to extend production cuts until the end of 2023.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Oil prices increased for a third consecutive session due to forecasts of a supply deficit in the fourth quarter, the extension of output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and optimism about a recovery in demand in China.
The International Energy Agency warns of a deepening oil market deficit in the fourth quarter due to extended Saudi and Russian production cuts, leading to diesel shortages and higher fuel prices impacting sectors such as construction, transport, and farming.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
Oil prices reaching $95 per barrel, the highest level since November 2022, pose a setback for Rishi Sunak's goal of halving inflation, with analysts predicting a 7.1% rise in consumer prices in August due to petrol price increases, adding to inflationary pressures and potentially influencing the Bank of England's interest rate decision.
The recent global supply concerns caused by Russia's fuel export ban are driving up oil prices, counteracting the demand fears driven by macroeconomic headwinds and high interest rates.
Oil prices rose over 1% after Russia implemented an export ban on diesel and gas, which aims to replenish domestic supply and reduce prices, potentially impacting global oil supply and driving up energy prices, excluding demand shrinkage, while also predicting easing gas prices in the US except for some western states.
Oil prices have risen due to Saudi Arabia's decision to cut back oil production, which has led to higher gasoline and diesel prices, complicating the global fight against inflation and benefiting Russia's economy.
Higher oil prices, boosted by supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, may benefit Russia's oil revenues by allowing them to sell crude over the $60-a-barrel price cap imposed by sanctions.
Rising oil prices, driven by production cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, could have long-term economic repercussions, particularly in developing countries.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by supply cuts from major producers, may not be sustainable in the long term due to global economic fragility, incoming seasonal demand drops, and the potential for demand destruction once prices reach $110 per barrel.
Oil prices are facing resistance above $95 per barrel due to concerns that Saudi Arabia may unwind its production cuts earlier than expected, despite bullish catalysts such as falling crude inventories and the approval of the largest oilfield in the UK North Sea.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
The recent oil price rally has been driven by Saudi Arabia and Russia's efforts to cut supply to the global crude market, but China and the West will be eager to bring prices down using all the weapons at their disposal.