Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices rise as US inventories decline and concerns about US rate hikes and China's economic indicators persist.
The price of Brent crude oil hitting triple digits this year is debatable, with some experts believing it is unlikely due to macro factors and demand concerns, while others predict it could reach $100 per barrel if certain conditions are met, such as consistent OECD crude and product stock draws and OPEC adherence to production cuts.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
Oil prices surged to $85 as efforts by OPEC+ to reduce supplies and China's commitment to bolster its economy drive up global crude consumption and support prices.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Goldman Sachs predicts that oil prices could reach $107 per barrel next year if OPEC+ producers maintain their production cuts, although this is not their base-case scenario.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
The recent catastrophic flooding in Libya, which has resulted in thousands of deaths and caused supply disruptions, has caused global oil prices to surge above $92 a barrel for the first time in nearly 10 months, leading to increased prices at the pump and concerns about inflation.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Some grades of crude oil, including Nigerian crude Qua Iboe and Malaysian crude Tapis, are already trading above $100 a barrel, indicating expectations of tight supply, as oil prices reach their highest level in 2023 due to concerns about a supply deficit in the fourth quarter.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Chevron CEO says the economy can handle rising oil prices, with prices on track to reach $100 per barrel due to supply constraints and a resilient global economy.
Goldman Sachs predicts that crude oil prices could reach $100 a barrel, posing a risk to global economic growth and complicating central bankers' efforts to control inflation, which could impact interest rate policies and further increase gasoline prices.
Rising oil prices, closing in on $100 a barrel, pose a threat to the Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation, as higher oil prices can drive up the cost of gasoline and other crude-related products and squeeze the Consumer Prices Index higher.
Oil prices reaching $95 per barrel, the highest level since November 2022, pose a setback for Rishi Sunak's goal of halving inflation, with analysts predicting a 7.1% rise in consumer prices in August due to petrol price increases, adding to inflationary pressures and potentially influencing the Bank of England's interest rate decision.
Goldman Sachs has raised its crude target for the next 12 months to $100 per barrel due to lower OPEC supply, higher demand, and increased geopolitical tensions, with other firms also forecasting oil prices reaching $100 per barrel.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler predicts that crude prices will remain high and could reach $120 to $150 per barrel without increased production, adding that more output is necessary to prevent further price pressure.
Oil prices rose on Tuesday amid tight supplies and speculation over what $100 oil could do to the economy, with JPMorgan economists projecting a potential impact on global GDP growth if prices remain elevated.
Oil prices reached a 2023 high as inventories at the largest storage hub in the US decreased, leading to speculation of $100 per barrel oil in the near future.
Oil majors ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP are near buy points as U.S. crude oil prices continue to rise above $90 per barrel.
US oil prices reached $94 a barrel for the first time in over a year, leading to concerns of higher prices at the pump and inflation across the economy.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by supply cuts from major producers, may not be sustainable in the long term due to global economic fragility, incoming seasonal demand drops, and the potential for demand destruction once prices reach $110 per barrel.
Oil industry analysts have raised their price forecasts for 2023, with most expecting Brent Crude to average $84.09 per barrel, but few foresee sustained $100 oil due to an artificially tightened market and uncertain global economic outlook.
Oil prices are facing resistance above $95 per barrel due to concerns that Saudi Arabia may unwind its production cuts earlier than expected, despite bullish catalysts such as falling crude inventories and the approval of the largest oilfield in the UK North Sea.
Oil prices fell over $1 a barrel as traders remained cautious about potential supply disruptions amid military clashes between Israel and Hamas, although concerns about Middle East supply and an expected deficit for the rest of the year have led to the pricing in of a risk premium.
