Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
The price of Brent crude oil hitting triple digits this year is debatable, with some experts believing it is unlikely due to macro factors and demand concerns, while others predict it could reach $100 per barrel if certain conditions are met, such as consistent OECD crude and product stock draws and OPEC adherence to production cuts.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
Oil prices rise as US crude inventories decline by 11.5 million barrels and concerns about Hurricane Idalia in the Gulf of Mexico persist.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
Oil prices surged to $85 as efforts by OPEC+ to reduce supplies and China's commitment to bolster its economy drive up global crude consumption and support prices.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
The OPEC+ decision to cut production is putting inflationary pressure on the US and its allies, while China's encouragement of higher oil and gas prices may have negative economic consequences for the country. The short-term steady equilibrium price for Brent is projected to be around $80-85 per barrel, with a ceiling of $95 per barrel.
Oil prices are climbing towards $100 per barrel due to supply disruptions in Libya and expectations of a further U.S. inventory draw.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Some grades of crude oil, including Nigerian crude Qua Iboe and Malaysian crude Tapis, are already trading above $100 a barrel, indicating expectations of tight supply, as oil prices reach their highest level in 2023 due to concerns about a supply deficit in the fourth quarter.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Oil prices surged to a 10-month high on tightening supply cuts from OPEC+, with predictions of $100 oil returning, potentially rekindling inflation and posing a challenge for central bankers and the Biden administration.
Chevron CEO says the economy can handle rising oil prices, with prices on track to reach $100 per barrel due to supply constraints and a resilient global economy.
Stock indices are in the red as oil prices continue to rise, with Chevron's CEO predicting prices could reach $100 per barrel due to reduced US shale oil output and OPEC's supply cuts, while the US Federal Reserve is holding off on easing liquidity until there is a significant reduction in wages to counterbalance a current yearly wage increase of 4.3% and maintain a 2% inflation rate.
Gas prices in the US have reached their highest level in 11 months, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in its campaign to control inflation. Factors contributing to the increase include rising oil prices, production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reduced refinery production due to hot weather, and low reserves in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, prices are expected to decrease with the switch to a cheaper gasoline blend in the fall and projected global economic slowdown in 2024.
Oil prices reaching $95 per barrel, the highest level since November 2022, pose a setback for Rishi Sunak's goal of halving inflation, with analysts predicting a 7.1% rise in consumer prices in August due to petrol price increases, adding to inflationary pressures and potentially influencing the Bank of England's interest rate decision.
The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged but indicated the possibility of one more rate hike, causing U.S. markets to slump and Treasury yields to rise, while European markets saw gains; Instacart shares sank, Klaviyo shares jumped, and Arm shares continued to slide; UK inflation for August was lower than expected, throwing the Bank of England's next move into question; Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month oil price forecast to $100 per barrel.
Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month ahead forecast for Brent Crude oil prices to $100 per barrel, citing extended OPEC+ cuts and global demand growth as reasons for stronger inventory draws.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler predicts that crude prices will remain high and could reach $120 to $150 per barrel without increased production, adding that more output is necessary to prevent further price pressure.
Oil prices reached a 2023 high as inventories at the largest storage hub in the US decreased, leading to speculation of $100 per barrel oil in the near future.
Oil majors ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP are near buy points as U.S. crude oil prices continue to rise above $90 per barrel.
US oil prices reached $94 a barrel for the first time in over a year, leading to concerns of higher prices at the pump and inflation across the economy.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by supply cuts from major producers, may not be sustainable in the long term due to global economic fragility, incoming seasonal demand drops, and the potential for demand destruction once prices reach $110 per barrel.
Oil industry analysts have raised their price forecasts for 2023, with most expecting Brent Crude to average $84.09 per barrel, but few foresee sustained $100 oil due to an artificially tightened market and uncertain global economic outlook.
Oil prices are facing resistance above $95 per barrel due to concerns that Saudi Arabia may unwind its production cuts earlier than expected, despite bullish catalysts such as falling crude inventories and the approval of the largest oilfield in the UK North Sea.
The head of OPEC warns that a lack of investment in the oil industry poses a danger to global energy security and could cause crude prices to reach $100 a barrel.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
Oil prices fell ahead of an OPEC+ meeting as concerns about high interest rates and a strengthening dollar outweighed expectations of supply tightness.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to decrease and may reach $3 per gallon due to a drop in crude oil futures, potentially benefiting consumers and cooling inflation but also indicating economic weakness with low gasoline demand.
