Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices are expected to continue consolidating just above the 200-Day EMA, with the 50-Day EMA below it, leading to questions about the market; the possibility of breaking above the shooting star formed on Monday could allow for a move towards $85, while breaking below the moving averages could result in a drop to $75 due to noise from OPEC countries cutting production. The Brent markets also show signs of negativity but are supported by the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, with potential to reach the $90 region; attention should also be given to the US dollar's influence on the market.
The price of Brent crude oil hitting triple digits this year is debatable, with some experts believing it is unlikely due to macro factors and demand concerns, while others predict it could reach $100 per barrel if certain conditions are met, such as consistent OECD crude and product stock draws and OPEC adherence to production cuts.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices dipped as concerns over China's slow post-pandemic recovery and weak global economic data outweighed expectations of supply cuts by OPEC+ producers.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Oil prices ease as uncertain economic outlook for China outweighs expectations of tighter supplies from extended supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Goldman Sachs predicts that oil prices could reach $107 per barrel next year if OPEC+ producers maintain their production cuts, although this is not their base-case scenario.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
Oil prices ease in Asian trade due to economic concerns in China impacting fuel demand, but Brent remains above $90 a barrel supported by supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Brent crude futures hover above $90 a barrel as investors await macroeconomic data that could indicate further interest rate hikes in Europe and the US.
Oil prices are climbing towards $100 per barrel due to supply disruptions in Libya and expectations of a further U.S. inventory draw.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Some grades of crude oil, including Nigerian crude Qua Iboe and Malaysian crude Tapis, are already trading above $100 a barrel, indicating expectations of tight supply, as oil prices reach their highest level in 2023 due to concerns about a supply deficit in the fourth quarter.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Gas prices in the US have reached their highest level in 11 months, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in its campaign to control inflation. Factors contributing to the increase include rising oil prices, production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reduced refinery production due to hot weather, and low reserves in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, prices are expected to decrease with the switch to a cheaper gasoline blend in the fall and projected global economic slowdown in 2024.
Oil prices reaching $95 per barrel, the highest level since November 2022, pose a setback for Rishi Sunak's goal of halving inflation, with analysts predicting a 7.1% rise in consumer prices in August due to petrol price increases, adding to inflationary pressures and potentially influencing the Bank of England's interest rate decision.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler predicts that crude prices will remain high and could reach $120 to $150 per barrel without increased production, adding that more output is necessary to prevent further price pressure.
Oil prices reached a 2023 high as inventories at the largest storage hub in the US decreased, leading to speculation of $100 per barrel oil in the near future.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Crude oil prices dropped on Thursday after a brief rise, with Brent retreating from reaching $98 per barrel.
Oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by supply cuts from major producers, may not be sustainable in the long term due to global economic fragility, incoming seasonal demand drops, and the potential for demand destruction once prices reach $110 per barrel.
Oil industry analysts have raised their price forecasts for 2023, with most expecting Brent Crude to average $84.09 per barrel, but few foresee sustained $100 oil due to an artificially tightened market and uncertain global economic outlook.
Oil prices are facing resistance above $95 per barrel due to concerns that Saudi Arabia may unwind its production cuts earlier than expected, despite bullish catalysts such as falling crude inventories and the approval of the largest oilfield in the UK North Sea.
The head of OPEC warns that a lack of investment in the oil industry poses a danger to global energy security and could cause crude prices to reach $100 a barrel.
Oil prices fell about 2% to a three-week low due to a higher-priced Brent contract expiring, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and concerns about rising crude supplies and pressure on demand from high interest rates.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
Summary: Oil prices drop over 2% as a result of a strong U.S. dollar, profit-taking, inflationary concerns, and forecasts of increasing supply, as well as the World Bank's forecast of slower Chinese growth.
The recent oil price rally has been driven by Saudi Arabia and Russia's efforts to cut supply to the global crude market, but China and the West will be eager to bring prices down using all the weapons at their disposal.
Oil prices fell ahead of an OPEC+ meeting as concerns about high interest rates and a strengthening dollar outweighed expectations of supply tightness.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to decrease and may reach $3 per gallon due to a drop in crude oil futures, potentially benefiting consumers and cooling inflation but also indicating economic weakness with low gasoline demand.
Oil prices crashed this week as fuel inventories climbed and demand concerns took center stage, with WTI falling to $82.50 and Brent trading at $84.23.
OPEC+ decides to maintain current oil production cuts, causing a drop in crude oil prices despite the potential need for higher prices to impact demand, with oil demand booming in China and India but declining in the US.
Oil prices fell over $1 a barrel as traders remained cautious about potential supply disruptions amid military clashes between Israel and Hamas, although concerns about Middle East supply and an expected deficit for the rest of the year have led to the pricing in of a risk premium.
Oil prices fell on Tuesday as concerns about potential supply disruptions from the conflict between Israel and Hamas eased, although traders remained watchful. Both Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude experienced significant drops, with Brent down 47 cents at $87.68 a barrel and WTI falling 42 cents to $85.92 a barrel.
