1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business 💼
Posted

Saudi Minister Defends Oil Cuts as Prices Rise, But Tensions With IEA Remain Over Supply Outlook

  • Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said oil supply cuts are not about "jacking up prices" as Brent nears $95/barrel.

  • Saudi Arabia and Russia have voluntary production declines to stabilize prices and avoid deficit.

  • Oil prices gaining ground, analysts predict return to $100/barrel.

  • IEA and Saudi Arabia feud over oil demand outlook and peak oil timing.

  • Higher oil prices pressure Biden administration, but U.S. is quiet on latest OPEC+ cuts.

cnbc.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Oil prices rise as global supply tightens due to lower exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia, offsetting concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates.
Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Saudi Arabia and Russia have announced that they will extend voluntary oil cuts until the end of the year, despite a rally in the oil market and expectations of tight supply, contributing to a rise in oil prices and posing a fresh blow to US President Joe Biden.
Oil prices reached a new high for the year after Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend output cuts, reinforcing efforts to support oil prices by the OPEC+ alliance.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Summary: Rising oil prices and increasing gas prices, driven by the Russian-Saudi agreement to extend oil production cuts, are contributing to inflation concerns and putting pressure on the markets, leading to potential gains for oil stocks like ConocoPhillips and Chevron.
Analysts predict that Saudi Arabia may face an economic contraction in 2023 due to its decision to extend crude production cuts, highlighting the nation's heavy reliance on oil, while a large dividend from Saudi Aramco may provide some cushion for public finances.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
European markets were stagnant as investors awaited a decision from the European Central Bank on whether to raise interest rates for the tenth consecutive meeting, while carmaker shares dropped following an investigation into electric vehicle subsidies by the European Commission and concerns over Chinese retaliation. Additionally, the oil market is keeping a close eye on the possibility of crude prices reaching $100 a barrel as Saudi Arabia and Russia plan to extend production cuts until the end of 2023.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Oil prices increased for a third consecutive session due to forecasts of a supply deficit in the fourth quarter, the extension of output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and optimism about a recovery in demand in China.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Oil prices may briefly reach $100 per barrel due to output cuts and geopolitical tensions, but they are expected to decline by the end of the year due to faster supply growth compared to demand growth, according to a Wall Street analyst.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
The recent global supply concerns caused by Russia's fuel export ban are driving up oil prices, counteracting the demand fears driven by macroeconomic headwinds and high interest rates.
Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman defends OPEC+ cuts to oil supply, citing the need for light-handed regulation to limit market volatility and expressing uncertainty about Chinese demand, European growth, and central bank action to tackle inflation.
Oil prices have risen due to Saudi Arabia's decision to cut back oil production, which has led to higher gasoline and diesel prices, complicating the global fight against inflation and benefiting Russia's economy.
Higher oil prices, boosted by supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, may benefit Russia's oil revenues by allowing them to sell crude over the $60-a-barrel price cap imposed by sanctions.
Oil prices edged lower as Russia relaxed its fuel ban, after earlier gains on a tighter supply outlook, while investors eyed elevated interest rates that could curb demand.
The Russian government seems to have found a way to bypass the $60 oil price cap implemented by Western governments to prevent President Putin from profiting off the conflict in Ukraine, raising questions about the effectiveness of the cap and the ability to enforce it in the future.
Rising oil prices, driven by production cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, could have long-term economic repercussions, particularly in developing countries.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
The recent oil price rally has been driven by Saudi Arabia and Russia's efforts to cut supply to the global crude market, but China and the West will be eager to bring prices down using all the weapons at their disposal.
Oil prices fell due to concerns about demand driven by macroeconomic headwinds, despite pledges from Saudi Arabia and Russia to continue crude output cuts until the end of 2023.
Saudi Arabia and Russia have announced that they will continue voluntary oil cuts until the end of the year, in response to tightening supply and rising demand.
Saudi Arabia and Russia have confirmed that they will maintain their oil supply cuts in November, despite the recent rise in oil prices.
Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil exporter, has raised the price of its crude oil for November, with substantial increases for Europe and the Mediterranean markets.
Saudi Arabia and Russia discuss the oil market and prices amid the conflict between Israel and Hamas, with Russia expressing readiness to boost fuel supplies to Saudi Arabia.
The Biden administration is implementing new measures to increase the cost of Russia's attempts to bypass the price limit on its oil, aiming to enforce the price cap more strictly and send a clear message to Russia that their expansion attempts will face a decisive response, as the West believes that the diverted funds could be used for military equipment.
Crude oil prices dipped slightly following a significant increase in gasoline inventories, raising concerns about demand, despite the war premium added by events in the Middle East.