Oil prices rise as global supply tightens due to lower exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia, offsetting concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates.
Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
Rising gasoline prices are impacting inflation-weary Americans.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Oil prices reached a new high for the year after Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend output cuts, reinforcing efforts to support oil prices by the OPEC+ alliance.
Saudi Arabia and Russia have announced that they will extend their cuts in oil supplies through the rest of 2023, pushing oil prices higher.
The rebounding crude oil prices and fading annual base effects suggest that energy prices may become a headwind for global markets, potentially complicating the battle against inflation and tightening monetary policies.
Rising WTI crude oil prices are raising concerns about higher inflation, which the Federal Reserve is trying to avoid, according to Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Analysts predict that Saudi Arabia may face an economic contraction in 2023 due to its decision to extend crude production cuts, highlighting the nation's heavy reliance on oil, while a large dividend from Saudi Aramco may provide some cushion for public finances.
Oil prices surge to the highest level in 10 months as Saudi Arabia and Russia extend production cuts, raising concerns about inflation and higher interest rates, while the resilient U.S. economy strengthens prospects for interest rate hikes; tensions escalate in the auto sector as contract negotiations with major automakers continue; GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen faces scrutiny from the SEC over stock trades; Apple's market value plummets due to concerns over China's ban on public workers using foreign-branded devices; semiconductor stocks weaken amid export restrictions on China; energy sector excels while industrials and utilities lag; upcoming key economic data to watch includes inflation rate, Producer Price Index, retail sales figures, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment data.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
Inflation is expected to rise in August as oil and gasoline prices increase, putting pressure on the economy and potentially leading to higher interest rates and a stronger dollar.
Rising oil prices are making it harder for the Federal Reserve to achieve its 2% inflation target, as increased energy costs could lead to higher prices for goods and services, potentially complicating the Fed's plan to hold interest rates steady and achieve a "soft landing" for the economy.
The Biden administration may artificially depress inflation by using taxpayer money to manipulate the global oil market and replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, in an attempt to lower gas prices and improve the president's chances of re-election.
Most stock markets in the Gulf rose in response to a rise in oil prices, except for the Saudi index which closed lower; however, the International Monetary Fund predicts a further slowdown in Saudi Arabia's GDP growth due to the extension of oil production cuts.
Oil prices fell due to a stronger US dollar and concerns about Chinese economic growth, but were supported by extended supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Despite a spike in gas prices, the rise in inflation appears to be easing gradually, with core prices exhibiting a slower increase in August compared to July, suggesting that price pressures are being brought under control.
Oil price volatility is expected to surge due to the significant supply shortfall caused by the OPEC+ supply cuts, potentially leading to a surplus if cuts are unwound next year but with low oil stocks.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
European markets were stagnant as investors awaited a decision from the European Central Bank on whether to raise interest rates for the tenth consecutive meeting, while carmaker shares dropped following an investigation into electric vehicle subsidies by the European Commission and concerns over Chinese retaliation. Additionally, the oil market is keeping a close eye on the possibility of crude prices reaching $100 a barrel as Saudi Arabia and Russia plan to extend production cuts until the end of 2023.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Oil prices increased for a third consecutive session due to forecasts of a supply deficit in the fourth quarter, the extension of output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and optimism about a recovery in demand in China.
The International Energy Agency warns of a deepening oil market deficit in the fourth quarter due to extended Saudi and Russian production cuts, leading to diesel shortages and higher fuel prices impacting sectors such as construction, transport, and farming.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Rising oil prices pose a risk to the Federal Reserve's efforts to achieve a soft landing for the economy and return inflation to its 2% target without triggering a downturn.
World markets are cautious ahead of central bank decisions and concerned about inflation signals amidst rising oil prices, as crude oil reaches its highest levels of the year due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, while US production also falls.
Oil prices reach a 3-month high as OPEC maintains tight supply. Gas prices in the US rise, posing a threat to efforts against inflation.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
Rising oil prices, closing in on $100 a barrel, pose a threat to the Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation, as higher oil prices can drive up the cost of gasoline and other crude-related products and squeeze the Consumer Prices Index higher.
Crude oil prices rose as inventories declined and demand from Asia and Europe decreased, threatening higher gas prices in the US and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Oil prices reaching $95 per barrel, the highest level since November 2022, pose a setback for Rishi Sunak's goal of halving inflation, with analysts predicting a 7.1% rise in consumer prices in August due to petrol price increases, adding to inflationary pressures and potentially influencing the Bank of England's interest rate decision.
The recent global supply concerns caused by Russia's fuel export ban are driving up oil prices, counteracting the demand fears driven by macroeconomic headwinds and high interest rates.
Oil prices rose over 1% after Russia implemented an export ban on diesel and gas, which aims to replenish domestic supply and reduce prices, potentially impacting global oil supply and driving up energy prices, excluding demand shrinkage, while also predicting easing gas prices in the US except for some western states.
