1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business 💼
Posted

Oil Price Volatility Ahead as OPEC+ Supply Cuts Raise Concerns, IEA Warns

  • Oil price volatility expected to surge due to recent OPEC+ supply cuts, per International Energy Agency (IEA).

  • Loss of OPEC+ supply from September will drive significant supply shortfall in Q4 2023.

  • If Saudi Arabia and Russia unwind cuts in 2024, market would shift to surplus but oil stocks would remain low.

  • IEA warns risk of further volatility not in interest of producers or consumers given economic environment.

  • Saudi-Russian alliance posing formidable challenge for oil markets, IEA says.

oilprice.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Oil prices rise as global supply tightens due to lower exports from Saudi Arabia and Russia, offsetting concerns about global demand growth amid high interest rates.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
U.S. crude oil stocks have reached their lowest level this year and are expected to decrease further, leading to a tight crude oil market and a potential increase in global oil prices.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Oil prices reached a new high for the year after Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend output cuts, reinforcing efforts to support oil prices by the OPEC+ alliance.
Summary: Rising oil prices and increasing gas prices, driven by the Russian-Saudi agreement to extend oil production cuts, are contributing to inflation concerns and putting pressure on the markets, leading to potential gains for oil stocks like ConocoPhillips and Chevron.
The price of oil is surging as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut output, creating a supply deficit that is driving up prices and threatening a fragile global economy with inflation and potential interest rate hikes.
Most stock markets in the Gulf rose in response to a rise in oil prices, except for the Saudi index which closed lower; however, the International Monetary Fund predicts a further slowdown in Saudi Arabia's GDP growth due to the extension of oil production cuts.
The extension of voluntary oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia has caused oil prices to surge above $90 a barrel, threatening an inflationary spike that could disrupt central banks' plans to wind down interest-rate hikes, particularly for the Bank of Canada.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices hit a 3-month high as OPEC maintains tight supply, leading to the threat of higher gasoline prices and increased inflation.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
Gas prices in the US have reached their highest level in 11 months, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in its campaign to control inflation. Factors contributing to the increase include rising oil prices, production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reduced refinery production due to hot weather, and low reserves in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, prices are expected to decrease with the switch to a cheaper gasoline blend in the fall and projected global economic slowdown in 2024.
Oil prices rise as supply tightens and demand remains strong, with Chevron CEO predicting they will reach $100 a barrel.
Investors are expecting volatility in the stock market to increase after a period of low volatility, as headwinds such as potential interest rate hikes, high oil prices, a government shutdown, and other market uncertainties loom.
Crude oil prices rose as inventories declined and demand from Asia and Europe decreased, threatening higher gas prices in the US and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Oil prices have risen due to Saudi Arabia's decision to cut back oil production, which has led to higher gasoline and diesel prices, complicating the global fight against inflation and benefiting Russia's economy.
Oil prices fell as concerns about lower fuel demand due to higher interest rates overshadowed expectations of tight supply, leading to the possibility of an economic recession dominating the oil market's movement.
Summary: The mounting shortage of oil in a major U.S. oil town is causing disruption in energy markets, leading to a surge in U.S. oil prices.
Oil prices rose by about 3% after U.S. crude stocks fell more than expected, causing concerns about supply tightness amid OPEC+ production cuts.
Stock futures are falling as oil prices surge and the yield on the 10-year Treasury remains near levels last seen in 2007.
A spike in crude oil prices to the highest level of the year adds to the challenges faced by world markets, leaving investors turning to the Federal Reserve chair for reassurance amidst concerns over inflation, a potential government shutdown, unresolved autoworker strikes, and the Chinese property sector bust.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Oil prices continue to rally due to tighter supply and rising demand, while the upcoming week features key events such as OPEC+ meeting, earnings updates from various companies, and conferences in the technology and healthcare sectors.
The secretary general of Opec+ predicts that oil prices will remain high due to increasing energy demand, as Saudi Arabia cuts its crude oil production by a million barrels a day and warns of a potential supply shortfall.
China's decreased oil demand, coupled with its shift from crude imports to refined product exports and sizable oil inventories, is countering recent crude price surges and playing a significant role in the global oil market.
The OPEC+ group is not expected to ease production cuts despite tight oil market conditions and fears of demand destruction if prices remain high.
Oil prices fell ahead of an OPEC+ meeting as concerns about high interest rates and a strengthening dollar outweighed expectations of supply tightness.
Oil prices fell due to concerns about demand driven by macroeconomic headwinds, despite pledges from Saudi Arabia and Russia to continue crude output cuts until the end of 2023.
Oil prices fell to their lowest level since September 11th as global financial markets experienced a selloff, despite reassurances from Saudi Arabia and Russia that they will continue output cuts until the end of the year.
US oil prices and energy stocks, including ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum, fell as crude oil inventories decreased but gasoline stockpiles increased, while the outlook for demand remains uncertain and refinery stocks struggle.
Oil prices are falling, providing some relief to the bond blowup caused by rising interest rates, but the direction of markets will be determined by the upcoming U.S. employment report.
Oil prices have dramatically dropped, providing relief to drivers and nervous central bankers, with gas prices predicted to continue decreasing in the coming weeks.
Crude oil prices are poised to experience their largest weekly drop since March due to concerns about weak demand, a bond market selloff, and economic worries, despite OPEC+'s decision to maintain supply constraints.
OPEC+ decides to maintain current oil production cuts, causing a drop in crude oil prices despite the potential need for higher prices to impact demand, with oil demand booming in China and India but declining in the US.
Oil prices surged by 4% amidst concerns that the conflict between Israel and Gaza may disrupt oil output from the Middle East, posing a risk to global oil supply.
Oil prices surge over 2% as tensions between Israel and Hamas raise concerns of a wider conflict in the Middle East, reversing last week's decline in prices due to a darkening macroeconomic outlook and intensifying global demand concerns.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has lowered its forecast for oil demand growth in 2024 due to global economic conditions and increased energy efficiency, but raised its forecast for 2023 demand; however, the IEA warns that if OPEC+ unwinds its supply cuts in January, the market could shift to surplus.