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US crude stocks to fall further, end below year-ago levels, say analysts

U.S. crude oil stocks have reached their lowest level this year and are expected to decrease further, leading to a tight crude oil market and a potential increase in global oil prices.

yahoo.com
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Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices continue to decline due to concerns about demand in China and the United States, despite positive news of production cuts and high global oil demand; technical charts indicate the possibility of further short-term losses.
Weak manufacturing data in major economies led to a decrease in oil prices, despite a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude stocks, while market focus is on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on interest rate outlook, and Iran's oil output is predicted to increase despite U.S. sanctions.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices fell as U.S. labor market data indicated tight conditions, potentially leading to further interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve, overshadowing concerns of weakening demand and rising inventories.
Oil prices slightly decrease as concerns over China's economic growth and potential U.S. interest rate hikes weigh on fuel demand.
Most stock markets in the Gulf ended lower due to a slightly hawkish outlook from the US Federal Reserve, with Abu Dhabi, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia experiencing declines.
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have fallen by 34 million barrels since mid-July, tightening the market and causing spot prices and spreads to rise.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Crude oil prices could be vulnerable to further rises due to tight supply, warns Ben Luckock, Co-Head of Oil Trading at Trafigura.
Most stock markets in the Gulf ended lower as investors grew cautious due to volatile oil prices and awaited monetary policy decisions by the US Federal Reserve.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Stocks were lower on Tuesday as September began, with oil prices reaching new highs and Treasury yields rising, putting pressure on the market, while traders awaited more economic data to determine the likelihood of another rate hike from the Federal Reserve.
Stock futures decline as higher oil prices and rising bond yields grab investors' attention, with Zscaler, GitLab, Asana, and more stocks experiencing significant movement.
U.S. stocks fell as oil prices reached a 10-month high, raising concerns about inflation and its impact on the economy; tech mega caps stumbled, leading to losses in the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Gold and silver prices are lower due to technical selling and a lack of fresh fundamental news, while rising crude oil prices have potential economic and marketplace effects.
Stock index futures were slightly lower on Wednesday due to concerns about oil prices at a 10-month high, with S&P futures and Dow futures down 0.2% each and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.3%.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
The Indian rupee could reach record lows against the U.S. dollar if oil prices continue to rise, according to the head of global foreign exchange at Jefferies, Brad Bechtel, although he believes the rupee will be one of the more stable currencies in emerging markets. The rupee is currently moving between 83 and 85 against the U.S. dollar, and if oil prices were to fall, it could fall close to the 82 levels.
Most stock markets in the Gulf rose in response to a rise in oil prices, except for the Saudi index which closed lower; however, the International Monetary Fund predicts a further slowdown in Saudi Arabia's GDP growth due to the extension of oil production cuts.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Oil price volatility is expected to surge due to the significant supply shortfall caused by the OPEC+ supply cuts, potentially leading to a surplus if cuts are unwound next year but with low oil stocks.
Oil prices are reaching their highest levels in 10 months, leading to gains for energy stocks like Pioneer Natural Resources and Coterra Energy, prompting Jim Cramer to suggest it's a good time to invest in these companies.
Stocks fell at the end of a volatile week, with traders taking a step back to assess the week's events and concerns about the triple-witching day, while U.S. crude futures climbed to a 2023 high of $90.77 per barrel, reflecting improving economic data and the potential for $100 oil.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Some grades of crude oil, including Nigerian crude Qua Iboe and Malaysian crude Tapis, are already trading above $100 a barrel, indicating expectations of tight supply, as oil prices reach their highest level in 2023 due to concerns about a supply deficit in the fourth quarter.
Oil prices may briefly reach $100 per barrel due to output cuts and geopolitical tensions, but they are expected to decline by the end of the year due to faster supply growth compared to demand growth, according to a Wall Street analyst.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
Stock indices are in the red as oil prices continue to rise, with Chevron's CEO predicting prices could reach $100 per barrel due to reduced US shale oil output and OPEC's supply cuts, while the US Federal Reserve is holding off on easing liquidity until there is a significant reduction in wages to counterbalance a current yearly wage increase of 4.3% and maintain a 2% inflation rate.
U.S. stocks were lower on Tuesday as oil prices and bond yields rose ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with investors watching for guidance on future rate hikes and inflation threats.
The increased exports of oil from the United States into Europe and Asia have allowed U.S. crude to regain its dominance in setting international oil prices, reducing volatility and potential market distortion, while also shifting power to U.S. companies and traders in the market.
Oil prices dipped after reaching a 10-month high due to profit taking and anticipation of a Fed decision on interest rates, but analysts remain bullish on the future of oil.
Crude oil prices rose as inventories declined and demand from Asia and Europe decreased, threatening higher gas prices in the US and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Oil prices fell as U.S. interest rate hike expectations outweighed the impact of drawdowns in U.S. crude stockpiles.