Oil Rises After EIA Confirms Major Crude Draw
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
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Posted 8/30/2023, 2:36:00 PM
oilprice.com
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Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices continue to decline due to concerns about demand in China and the United States, despite positive news of production cuts and high global oil demand; technical charts indicate the possibility of further short-term losses.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
Oil futures rose to a one-week high due to a surge in U.S. diesel prices, a decrease in oil rigs, and a fire at a Louisiana refinery, despite weak economic data and a stronger dollar.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) has reported a significant draw of 11.486 million barrels in U.S. crude inventories, leading to rising oil prices as the market compares China's economic activity with U.S. crude inventories.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have fallen by 34 million barrels since mid-July, tightening the market and causing spot prices and spreads to rise.
A group of oil analysts and economists have raised their 2023 oil price forecasts, predicting Brent crude will average $82.45 a barrel and that Saudi Arabia is likely to extend its voluntary oil supply cut into October.
U.S. crude oil stocks have reached their lowest level this year and are expected to decrease further, leading to a tight crude oil market and a potential increase in global oil prices.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices rose to their highest level in over six months due to expectations of tightening supplies, with Saudi Arabia expected to extend its voluntary oil production cut and Russia agreeing to cut oil exports next month.
Oil prices have climbed 6% this week, with the world's top producers cutting output in a bid to boost prices and Russia set to announce further output cuts next week.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Oil prices reached a new high for the year after Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend output cuts, reinforcing efforts to support oil prices by the OPEC+ alliance.
Gold and silver prices are lower due to technical selling and a lack of fresh fundamental news, while rising crude oil prices have potential economic and marketplace effects.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Oil prices are climbing towards $100 per barrel due to supply disruptions in Libya and expectations of a further U.S. inventory draw.
Oil prices reach new highs in 2023 due to supply constraints caused by output reductions from Saudi Arabia and Russia, raising concerns about global inventory shortages and potential inflationary pressures.
Gasoline prices rose 10.6% in August, contributing to the biggest monthly increase in U.S. consumer prices this year, but the overall inflation outlook remains optimistic as gas prices are expected to fall in the coming months. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, also increased, but analysts believe it is just a temporary bump and the overall trend is still heading in the right direction.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices rose on Friday as China's better-than-expected economic data and record oil consumption supported the belief that demand in the country will continue to surge.
Stocks fell at the end of a volatile week, with traders taking a step back to assess the week's events and concerns about the triple-witching day, while U.S. crude futures climbed to a 2023 high of $90.77 per barrel, reflecting improving economic data and the potential for $100 oil.
US crude oil prices have surged and the futures strip has moved into a sharp backwardation as inventories have drained away from the NYMEX delivery point at Cushing in Oklahoma, but this may be exaggerating the tightness of supplies across the rest of the country and the world.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive session due to concerns about a supply deficit caused by weak U.S. shale output and extended production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, stated that the decision to extend crude oil supply cuts with Russia is not about raising prices, but rather about making the right decision at the appropriate time based on data and clarity, as oil prices near $100 per barrel and analysts predict further increases.
Crude oil prices reach new highs despite concerns about China's economy and tightened monetary policies, with the oil market structure indicating strong demand and potential support for higher prices.
Oil prices reach a 3-month high as OPEC maintains tight supply. Gas prices in the US rise, posing a threat to efforts against inflation.
Rising crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns and output cuts, threaten to push up petrol prices and hinder efforts to tame inflation, putting pressure on central bankers.
Gas prices in the US have reached their highest level in 11 months, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in its campaign to control inflation. Factors contributing to the increase include rising oil prices, production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reduced refinery production due to hot weather, and low reserves in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, prices are expected to decrease with the switch to a cheaper gasoline blend in the fall and projected global economic slowdown in 2024.
The increased exports of oil from the United States into Europe and Asia have allowed U.S. crude to regain its dominance in setting international oil prices, reducing volatility and potential market distortion, while also shifting power to U.S. companies and traders in the market.
Oil prices dipped after reaching a 10-month high due to profit taking and anticipation of a Fed decision on interest rates, but analysts remain bullish on the future of oil.
Oil prices fell as U.S. interest rate hike expectations outweighed the impact of drawdowns in U.S. crude stockpiles.
Oil prices rose over 1% after Russia implemented an export ban on diesel and gas, which aims to replenish domestic supply and reduce prices, potentially impacting global oil supply and driving up energy prices, excluding demand shrinkage, while also predicting easing gas prices in the US except for some western states.