Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Oil prices dipped as the market awaited a potential resumption of Iraqi oil exports through the Ceyhan oil terminal, which could ease supply tightness caused by OPEC+ production cuts, while concerns over the Chinese economy weighed on demand outlook.
Crude oil prices are expected to continue consolidating just above the 200-Day EMA, with the 50-Day EMA below it, leading to questions about the market; the possibility of breaking above the shooting star formed on Monday could allow for a move towards $85, while breaking below the moving averages could result in a drop to $75 due to noise from OPEC countries cutting production. The Brent markets also show signs of negativity but are supported by the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, with potential to reach the $90 region; attention should also be given to the US dollar's influence on the market.
Crude oil prices rise as US inventories decline and concerns about US rate hikes and China's economic indicators persist.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
Oil futures rose to a one-week high due to a surge in U.S. diesel prices, a decrease in oil rigs, and a fire at a Louisiana refinery, despite weak economic data and a stronger dollar.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
Oil prices ease as China's manufacturing activity drops and investors await U.S. personal consumption expenditure report, while U.S. government data shows tighter crude supplies and concerns arise over potential crude oil supply disruptions due to a military coup in Gabon.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have fallen by 34 million barrels since mid-July, tightening the market and causing spot prices and spreads to rise.
Oil traders expect supply tightness to ease in the next two months as refineries prepare for end-of-summer maintenance, but the sour crude market will remain tight due to ongoing production cuts from OPEC+ members, according to the CEO of Vitol, Russell Hardy.
Crude oil prices remain high, supported by production cuts and a decrease in inventory, while the WTI futures contract reached a 10-month peak at $86.09 and the Brent contract traded above $89 for the first time since January.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Oil prices could reach triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia maintain their aggressive supply cuts, according to Goldman Sachs, with Brent crude potentially climbing to $107 a barrel by December 2024.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
The US continues to see draws in crude inventories, tightening markets, despite Saudi Arabia and Russia's extension of production and export cuts, as well as other energy news such as the cancellation of Alaskan drilling, Kurdistan's demand for funds, and the spike in jet fuel costs.
Oil price volatility is expected to surge due to the significant supply shortfall caused by the OPEC+ supply cuts, potentially leading to a surplus if cuts are unwound next year but with low oil stocks.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Gas prices in the US have reached their highest level in 11 months, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve in its campaign to control inflation. Factors contributing to the increase include rising oil prices, production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, reduced refinery production due to hot weather, and low reserves in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, prices are expected to decrease with the switch to a cheaper gasoline blend in the fall and projected global economic slowdown in 2024.
The increased exports of oil from the United States into Europe and Asia have allowed U.S. crude to regain its dominance in setting international oil prices, reducing volatility and potential market distortion, while also shifting power to U.S. companies and traders in the market.
Crude oil prices rose as inventories declined and demand from Asia and Europe decreased, threatening higher gas prices in the US and potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Oil futures are slightly higher as investors assess the global economic outlook and central banks' decision to keep interest rates high to combat inflation, while rising Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar increase the appeal of oil.
The spread between copper spot prices and futures prices for delivery three months out has reached its widest level since 1994, indicating weakening demand and potential economic trouble, largely due to the impact of declining Chinese economy and falling global trade.
Crude prices are expected to receive a boost as stockpiles at the key US storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, are at risk of reaching the lowest level in nearly a decade, potentially leading to a return of $100 oil by year-end.
Oil traders have been heavily buying crude and fuel futures over the past four weeks, leading to a ratio of bullish to bearish bets on oil and fuels of almost 8:1, indicating that oil prices may be due for a correction.
Oil majors ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP are near buy points as U.S. crude oil prices continue to rise above $90 per barrel.
Summary: The mounting shortage of oil in a major U.S. oil town is causing disruption in energy markets, leading to a surge in U.S. oil prices.
Oil prices reached their highest level in over a year as crude stocks at a key storage hub in Oklahoma fell to their lowest level since July 2022, signaling a potential "rough" period for crude oil supplies into the market and a sustained high level of oil prices for the rest of the year.
Stock futures are falling as oil prices surge and the yield on the 10-year Treasury remains near levels last seen in 2007.
A spike in crude oil prices to the highest level of the year adds to the challenges faced by world markets, leaving investors turning to the Federal Reserve chair for reassurance amidst concerns over inflation, a potential government shutdown, unresolved autoworker strikes, and the Chinese property sector bust.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
US oil prices and energy stocks, including ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum, fell as crude oil inventories decreased but gasoline stockpiles increased, while the outlook for demand remains uncertain and refinery stocks struggle.
Global markets steadied as investors awaited data on the labor market, with US equity futures and bonds trading slightly weaker, the dollar steadying, and West Texas Intermediate crude holding around $84 a barrel.
Stocks slip as U.S. crude futures drop and mortgage rates climb, while investors await payroll data for signs of a slowing job market; electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are making moves, and the U.S. Dollar Index rises for its 12th consecutive week. European stocks close mixed, and utilities stocks see their worst year in over a decade due to higher bond yields.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to decrease and may reach $3 per gallon due to a drop in crude oil futures, potentially benefiting consumers and cooling inflation but also indicating economic weakness with low gasoline demand.
The recent Israel-Palestine conflict may cause a temporary spike in crude oil prices, but the overall impact on global oil supply is expected to be limited unless the conflict escalates further.
Bitcoin futures prices are lower in early U.S. trading, but the bulls still have the advantage and are keeping the price uptrend alive.
Crude futures fall over 2% as the conflict between Israel and Hamas shows no sign of spreading to Iran, while a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index inflation print also contributes to the decline in oil prices.
Summary: December West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures experienced volatility due to geopolitical tensions and conflicting reports on supply and demand, influenced by the Israel-Hamas conflict and the actions of Saudi Arabia, OPEC, and Russia.
Escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the threat of a ground invasion of Gaza by Israel, have raised concerns about disruptions to oil supplies and driven up oil prices, with West Texas Intermediate crude climbing 3.6% to $85.93 a barrel and Brent crude jumping 4% to $89.41 a barrel.
Oil prices surged on Friday due to speculation of Israeli ground offensive in Gaza, the possibility of further sanctions on Iranian oil, and concerns about a blockage in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude oil rose towards $90 a barrel, and WTI oil headed higher, despite a large EIA storage build.
