Summary: Oil prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening in the physical market, with a projected deficit of 2MMbbls/d in the second half of 2023, and forecasts of Brent averaging $86/bbl over 3Q23 and $92/bbl over 4Q23, while the medium sour crude market tightens, and concerns remain over Russian oil supply risks and global demand.
Crude oil prices are expected to continue consolidating just above the 200-Day EMA, with the 50-Day EMA below it, leading to questions about the market; the possibility of breaking above the shooting star formed on Monday could allow for a move towards $85, while breaking below the moving averages could result in a drop to $75 due to noise from OPEC countries cutting production. The Brent markets also show signs of negativity but are supported by the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, with potential to reach the $90 region; attention should also be given to the US dollar's influence on the market.
Crude oil prices rise as US inventories decline and concerns about US rate hikes and China's economic indicators persist.
The price of Brent crude oil hitting triple digits this year is debatable, with some experts believing it is unlikely due to macro factors and demand concerns, while others predict it could reach $100 per barrel if certain conditions are met, such as consistent OECD crude and product stock draws and OPEC adherence to production cuts.
Oil prices edge higher in an uncertain market as US crude futures rise 0.1% to $78.94 a barrel, despite a 2% drop for the week, due to production cuts by major oil producers and a mixed US economy.
Oil prices rose over 1% as the dollar strengthened ahead of a speech by the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve for clues on interest rates, with Brent crude reaching $84.29 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude at $79.92, while a strong dollar and recent inventory draws affected demand and supply.
Crude oil prices are trying to recover and show signs of support, with a "buy on the dips" attitude prevailing due to Saudi Arabia holding 1 million barrels per day out of the market, although supply concerns may arise despite a global slowdown.
Crude oil prices rose after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a larger-than-expected inventory decline of 10.6 million barrels for the week ending August 25.
U.S. crude oil stocks have reached their lowest level this year and are expected to decrease further, leading to a tight crude oil market and a potential increase in global oil prices.
The price of WTI crude oil reached a new high for the year, hitting $85 per barrel, due to falling inventory levels and factors such as production cuts and a weakening dollar.
Oil prices jumped over 2.5% after OPEC+ members extended supply reductions, with Brent International topping $90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering above $87 per barrel, as Saudi Arabia announced an extension of its production cut and Russia reduced its exports. Despite slow recovery and increased production, crude futures have rallied more than 25% since late June, with experts predicting prices to continue rising unless a recession occurs. China's demand for petrochemicals has been dampened, but their mobility demand post-lockdowns has offset this.
Gold and silver prices are lower due to technical selling and a lack of fresh fundamental news, while rising crude oil prices have potential economic and marketplace effects.
Crude oil prices in the US increased due to a 6.3 million barrel inventory draw, following a massive decline of 10.6 million barrels the previous week, bringing inventories to the lowest in eight months.
If Saudi Arabia continues to keep its output low, oil prices could surpass $100 as the market has yet to experience the full impact of its production cuts, according to Vortexa.
Oil prices are climbing towards $100 per barrel due to supply disruptions in Libya and expectations of a further U.S. inventory draw.
Oil prices surged on Thursday, with U.S. crude surpassing $90 a barrel, as the possibility of a tighter supply increased, driven by extended output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.
US crude oil prices have surged and the futures strip has moved into a sharp backwardation as inventories have drained away from the NYMEX delivery point at Cushing in Oklahoma, but this may be exaggerating the tightness of supplies across the rest of the country and the world.
Oil prices continue to rise as OPEC+ supply cuts tighten the market, with Brent crude surpassing $94 a barrel and speculators increasing bullish wagers on Brent and West Texas Intermediate, leading to concerns about inflationary pressures.
Gasoline prices are rising due to oil supply cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as flooding in Libya, but some experts believe that increasing oil prices will not have a significant impact on the US economy and do not expect them to rise much higher in the next year or two due to factors such as increased US oil production, slow global economic growth, and the green energy transition. However, high oil prices can lead to higher inflation, potential recession, and could influence the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, but the impact may not be as severe as in the past, and some experts recommend investing in the energy transition and adopting a more defensive investment strategy.
Some grades of crude oil, including Nigerian crude Qua Iboe and Malaysian crude Tapis, are already trading above $100 a barrel, indicating expectations of tight supply, as oil prices reach their highest level in 2023 due to concerns about a supply deficit in the fourth quarter.
Global oil prices continue to soar, with Brent crude nearing $95 per barrel and some crude grades surpassing $100, driven by tight supply, excess demand, and production cut extensions by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Goldman Sachs predicts that crude oil prices could reach $100 a barrel, posing a risk to global economic growth and complicating central bankers' efforts to control inflation, which could impact interest rate policies and further increase gasoline prices.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler predicts that crude prices will remain high and could reach $120 to $150 per barrel without increased production, adding that more output is necessary to prevent further price pressure.
Oil traders have been heavily buying crude and fuel futures over the past four weeks, leading to a ratio of bullish to bearish bets on oil and fuels of almost 8:1, indicating that oil prices may be due for a correction.
Oil prices reached a 2023 high as inventories at the largest storage hub in the US decreased, leading to speculation of $100 per barrel oil in the near future.
Oil majors ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP are near buy points as U.S. crude oil prices continue to rise above $90 per barrel.
Oil prices reached their highest level in over a year as crude stocks at a key storage hub in Oklahoma fell to their lowest level since July 2022, signaling a potential "rough" period for crude oil supplies into the market and a sustained high level of oil prices for the rest of the year.
A spike in crude oil prices to the highest level of the year adds to the challenges faced by world markets, leaving investors turning to the Federal Reserve chair for reassurance amidst concerns over inflation, a potential government shutdown, unresolved autoworker strikes, and the Chinese property sector bust.
Oil prices hit their highest levels in over a year as ongoing production cuts raise concerns about the global economy, while the specter of $100 oil looms and supply tightness becomes apparent with reduced stockpiles and increased refining. Higher interest rates may dampen crude demand, but for now, the focus remains on supply.
Oil industry analysts have raised their price forecasts for 2023, with most expecting Brent Crude to average $84.09 per barrel, but few foresee sustained $100 oil due to an artificially tightened market and uncertain global economic outlook.
In Q3, crude oil prices experienced significant gains, with WTI crude and Brent crude being the best-performing assets, although concerns regarding high prices potentially decreasing demand arise due to a drop in gasoline consumption and airline sales.
US oil prices and energy stocks, including ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum, fell as crude oil inventories decreased but gasoline stockpiles increased, while the outlook for demand remains uncertain and refinery stocks struggle.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to decrease and may reach $3 per gallon due to a drop in crude oil futures, potentially benefiting consumers and cooling inflation but also indicating economic weakness with low gasoline demand.
Escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the threat of a ground invasion of Gaza by Israel, have raised concerns about disruptions to oil supplies and driven up oil prices, with West Texas Intermediate crude climbing 3.6% to $85.93 a barrel and Brent crude jumping 4% to $89.41 a barrel.
Oil prices saw a significant increase after Iran called for an embargo against Israel and a decrease in US stockpiles indicated higher crude demand, with Brent crude rising almost 2% and West Texas Intermediate also experiencing a nearly 2% increase.
Crude oil prices could rise to $140 per barrel, potentially triggering a global recession, due to tensions in the Middle East and the possibility of a broader conflict between Israel and Hamas, according to Allianz Trade.
