### Summary
Asian stocks were mixed as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's summer conference to determine if more interest rate hikes are necessary to deal with inflation.
### Facts
- 📉 Shanghai and Hong Kong stocks retreated, while Tokyo and Seoul stocks advanced.
- 📉 The Hang Seng in Hong Kong lost 1.1%.
- 📈 The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo advanced 0.6%.
- 📈 The Kospi in Seoul gained 0.6%.
- 📊 The S&P 500 index ended the week lower by 0.1%.
- 💵 Some investors are shifting money to bonds as higher interest rates make their payout bigger and less risky.
- 💹 Tech and other high-growth stocks are some of the biggest losers due to higher rates.
- 📉 Ross Stores jumped 5% after reporting stronger-than-expected results, while Estee Lauder fell 3.3% despite reporting stronger profit and revenue than expected.
- ⛽ Benchmark U.S. crude gained 73 cents to $81.39 per barrel, while Brent crude reached $85.55 per barrel.
- 💲 The dollar slightly edged up to 145.35 yen, while the euro rose to $1.0882.
(Source: AP News)
### Summary
- European stocks rebound after a drop last week, while bond yields rise ahead of the Fed's Jackson Hole event.
- China's smaller-than-expected rate cuts and weak economic data disappointed investors.
### Facts
- 📈 European stocks edge higher after last week's rout.
- 📉 China stocks hit a 9-month low as rate easing underwhelms.
- China's central bank trims its one-year lending rate by 10 basis points, while leaving its five-year rate unchanged.
- Expectation remains for further stimulus from China.
- Asian shares decline due to disappointment, with Chinese blue chips falling to a nine-month low.
- Energy companies outperform as oil prices rise.
- Oil prices edge higher after a seven-week winning streak.
- Bond market sell-off leads to higher government borrowing costs.
- U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 30-year yield touching a fresh 12-year high.
- The U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference is the key event for the week.
- Markets anticipate that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address rising yields and strong economic data.
- Polls indicate that a majority of analysts believe the Fed is done hiking rates.
- Traders bet on a just under 40% chance of a final Fed hike by November.
- U.S. dollar trades flat after five weeks of gains.
- Gold prices affected negatively by the rise of the dollar and yields.
- Prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) supported by a potential strike at Australian offshore facilities.
- Dutch payments processor Adyen's shares drop amid concerns over weak earnings.
- Earnings from Nvidia will be closely watched.
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Summary: U.S. markets end mixed with Nasdaq up over 1% due to the surge in technology stocks, Asian markets show positive gains with Japan's Nikkei 225 rising 1.05%, and European markets are higher as the tech sector gains ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole gathering, while crude oil prices decrease slightly.
Tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 close higher on Monday, while Dow Jones Industrial Average falls slightly; Bank of America analyst predicts insurers will increase customer prices due to increased climate change risk; Allianz economist believes Federal Reserve Chair Powell will focus on short-term monetary policy at Jackson Hole; Loop Capital warns of weak smartphone sales ahead of iPhone 15 launch; CFRA Research chief investment strategist expects year-end rally for stocks despite recession concerns; Homebuilding stocks begin to decline; AMC Entertainment falls ahead of stock conversion; Cybersecurity company SentinelOne explores potential sale; LPL Financial chief technical strategist says recent stock pullback is temporary and predicts end-of-year rally; Jefferies upgrades gold product manufacturer Acushnet Holdings; Nvidia's quarterly earnings report could be critical for the market, says Wolfe Research; Stocks making big moves midday, including XPeng, Eli Lilly, and Marriott Vacations Worldwide.
The S&P 500 and other major indices are showing bearish signals, with potential for a significant drop, while the dollar is expected to maintain its upward trajectory and strong economic data could lead to a breakout in interest rates. Additionally, Meta's stock is on a downward trend and the KBW NASDAQ BANK Index is at risk of further decline.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to rise, following Wall Street's positive performance, with Japan's Nikkei 225 leading gains, and airline stocks outperforming.
Stocks are set to open slightly lower as all three major averages are on pace to post monthly losses, Oracle is upgraded to buy by UBS, and Salesforce is removed from JPMorgan's Analyst Focus List ahead of earnings.
UBS reports higher than expected profits, job creation in the US slows, and markets rally on weaker economic data and hope for a pause in interest rate hikes. China's factory activity shrinks but at a slower pace, while retail sales increase. There are opportunities for investors in other Asian markets.
Asian stock markets mostly lower as Japanese factory activity and Chinese service industry growth weaken, while Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 rises on hopes that economic data will convince the Federal Reserve that inflation is under control.
Asian stocks, particularly China shares, have continued to rally amid speculation that Beijing's small policy measures could result in significant stimulus, with expectations of a relaxation of property buyer restrictions; Japanese shares have also seen positive performance after data revealed record recurring profits in Q2, resulting in the Topix reaching a 33-year high; U.S. futures imply a high probability of no interest rate hike this month and suggest the tightening cycle may be over, while Treasuries sold off on Friday, leading to concerns over the budget deficit and potential difficulties in absorbing new debt.
The top 25 stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed the index in the 35th week of 2023, with tech stocks leading the way, suggesting a return of bull markets and a decrease in recessionary fears; however, market health, the balance between developed and emerging markets, and investor behavior still need to be addressed. Additionally, market correlations have dropped since COVID, and on "down-market" days, correlations are 5% higher than on "up-market" days. Market correlations also decrease during upward economic cycles. Retail investors are showing a preference for dividend-driven investing and investing in AI stocks. The global subsidies race is impacting valuations in tech and leading to supply chain inefficiencies. As a result, there are opportunities for diversification and investment in a wide variety of equities and bonds.
Stock indices finished today’s trading session in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all falling. The technology sector was the session's laggard, while the utilities sector was the leader. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield increased, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve's latest GDPNow reading estimates that the economy will expand by about 5.6% in the third quarter. The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book report, noting a tourism boom but slower spending in other areas. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in higher than expected, and mortgage applications fell to their lowest level since 1996. The U.S. trade deficit widened less than expected in July. U.S. stock futures inched lower, and European indices trended lower. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed.
Summary: Many investors are predicting a new bull market for the S&P 500, and while it has yet to reach a new high, it is only 7% away; three stocks to consider buying are Amazon, which has a strong presence in the logistics market and opportunities in AI, Mastercard, which benefits from its business moat and growth in emerging markets, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals, which has potential catalysts in its pipeline and an attractive valuation.
Asian equity markets finished the day mixed, with Japan's Nikkei, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Taiwan's TAIEX declining, while South Korea's KOSPI, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries, India's SENSEX, and China's Shanghai Composite closed higher; European markets are higher in midday trading and U.S. equity futures point to a positive open following an upgrade by Morgan Stanley of Tesla's shares.
Asian markets experienced mixed results, with Australia's S&P/ASX 200 falling and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index dropping by about 1%, while Japan's markets were marginally positive; tech investor Paul Meeks plans to buy tech stocks after the correction, and Federal Reserve officials are feeling less urgency for another interest rate hike due to improved inflation data. Additionally, Apple shares fell amid China concerns but an analyst is holding off on shorting the stock, Morgan Stanley upgraded Tesla stock due to its autonomous driving supercomputer, HSBC revealed its "must see stocks" in the UK, and consumer discretionary stocks gave the S&P 500 an upward push.
Global markets ended higher as energy stocks climbed supported by Saudi Arabia and Russia's decision to extend supply cuts, while Wall Street's key indexes saw weekly declines due to investor concerns over interest rates and anticipation of upcoming U.S. inflation data. In Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 ended down, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up, and Chinese shares rose following improved data on consumer price inflation. The Eurozone's economic growth outlook has been downgraded by the European Commission, and crude oil prices fell.
Stock indices closed in the red, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all experiencing declines, while the technology sector underperformed and the energy sector led the session. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield dropped, while the Two-Year Treasury yield increased. The Small Business Optimism Index for August decreased, with inflation cited as a major concern among small business owners. Stocks opened lower on Tuesday, and U.S. futures trended lower as well. This week's focus will be on the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data, which could impact the Federal Reserve's decision on rate hikes. Oracle's stock fell after missing sales estimates, while Casey's General and Tesla saw gains. JPMorgan's CEO criticized new Basel III regulations, and European indices traded in the green. In Asia-Pacific, markets ended mixed as traders await U.S. inflation data.
Asian markets are expected to be on the defensive due to sagging stocks and rising oil prices, as investors await U.S. inflation figures that will impact the Fed's rate decision; China's real estate sector is seen as the most likely source of a global systemic credit event.
U.S. stocks slumped amid mixed sentiment about the economy, with only the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising for the week, while European markets and the euro ticked up slightly. Famed investor Ray Dalio advised traders to hold cash as Treasury yields climb, and venture firms Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz face a significant loss on their investment in Instacart. Disney's potential sale of media assets signifies the end of traditional TV, and the Federal Reserve's meeting this week and FedEx's earnings announcement will provide insight into the global supply chain. U.S. consumer sentiment has edged down, but investors remain upbeat about the outlook for stocks and the economy.
Summary: U.S. stocks slumped amid mixed sentiment about the economy, with only the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising for the week, while Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell, and China's venture capital investment dropped by 31.4% compared to 2022 due to its sluggish economy and geopolitical tensions discouraging foreign investors.
Asia-Pacific markets fell as traders awaited the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy meeting minutes, while European markets were weighed down by a spike in corporate lending rates; meanwhile, Goldman Sachs predicts that the Fed is done hiking this year and the recent increase in oil prices could benefit London's prime office real estate market.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to continue declining as investors wait for China's loan prime rates and the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision, while oil prices rise due to supply concerns and all 11 sectors in the S&P 500 trade down.
U.S. stock markets closed lower amid risk-off sentiment as the Federal Reserve began its two-day monetary policy meeting, while Asian markets, including Japan's Nikkei 225 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200, experienced declines; however, European markets, including Germany's DAX and the U.K.'s FTSE 100, traded higher.
Asia-Pacific markets fell after the U.S. Federal Reserve projected a rate hike, while New Zealand's GDP exceeded expectations, Hybe shares slid despite BTS contract renewals, and analysts identified Chinese internet stocks with potential. Also, the Fed left rates unchanged but expects one more hike this year, Cathie Wood praised an AI company, analysts favored small-cap stocks, and interest rate markets signaled a delay in future rate cuts.
Summary: Asian shares were mostly lower on Monday as concerns over China's property sector, the US government shutdown, and the ongoing strike by American autoworkers weighed on investor sentiment, while Tokyo's market advanced and oil prices edged higher.
Stocks open lower as bond yields rise and concerns of a federal government shutdown loom; Costco reports earnings, Meta Platforms holds annual conference on AI and virtual realities, Hollywood writers union reaches preliminary agreement with studios, UAW makes progress with Ford, Amazon invests in Anthropic, Guggenheim upgrades Microsoft, Morgan Stanley reports strong demand for iPhone 15, Oracle gets price target cut, and Jefferies downgrades Foot Locker and Nike.
Wall Street stocks rebound as investors shake off concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones both posting gains, while the Nasdaq Composite also rises; investors are now looking ahead to the PCE inflation data and second quarter GDP reading for more insight into the Fed's rate path, as well as the potential impact of a government shutdown and debt woes at Chinese property developers. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs interns express optimism about the positive impact of AI on society, concerns arise that student loan repayments could hinder retail sales, President Biden announces plans to visit the United Auto Workers strike in Michigan, and Amazon invests up to $4 billion in AI startup Anthropic.
Asia-Pacific markets fell ahead of China's industrial data and Australia's inflation figures, while the US experienced a sell-off after disappointing economic data, causing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to fall below its 200-day moving average for the first time since May. Additionally, oil prices continue to rise, putting crude on track for its best quarter in over a year, and Tesla shares dropped after reports of an EU investigation into whether the company and other European carmakers are receiving unfair subsidies for exporting from China.
U.S. stocks were mixed, with the Dow slipping and the S&P 500 remaining unchanged, as the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007; former S&P ratings committee chairman warns of possible downgrade and Minneapolis Fed President says interest rates may not be high enough to restrict inflation; Meta announces new virtual reality headset and government shutdown concerns weigh on stocks.
A potential government shutdown is causing some investors to worry, contributing to the stock market's recent dip, but experts believe the impact on asset markets is already priced in, while previous shutdowns have shown to have little long-term effect on stocks.
Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell due to an increase in Treasury yields and oil prices, leading to a decline in investor sentiment on Wall Street, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng index sliding 1.41% after shares of Evergrande were suspended.
Asian markets may receive a boost after the US Congress reached a last-minute deal to prevent a partial federal government shutdown, although Chinese data indicating mixed levels of services and manufacturing activity could hinder the positive sentiment.
Summary: The U.S. stock market had a bad quarter, with all indexes falling, while the World Bank lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in East Asia and the Pacific, and China's demand for commodities continues to grow despite the downgrade. Additionally, a last-minute spending bill was passed to avoid a government shutdown, and this week's focus will be on the labor market.
Stocks in Hong Kong, Australia, and Japan have fallen, while South Korean and Chinese markets are closed for holidays; evergrande shares soar after trading resumes in Hong Kong; the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain a hawkish stance at its upcoming meeting; Goldman Sachs predicts that shares of a global delivery platform will double in the next 12 months; a portfolio manager recommends buying discounted global stocks; a wealth manager's stock is seen as undervalued amid irrational behavior; the World Bank forecasts sustained growth in the Asia Pacific region; Bitcoin rises to its highest level since August; gold and silver prices drop to their lowest levels since March.
Stock markets ended mixed as investors processed the effects of the U.S. inflation report on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, with the S&P 500 declining by 0.27% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.14%; in Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 settled lower by 0.31% while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.22%; in Europe, the STOXX 600 index was down 0.42% with Germany's DAX declining 0.25%, France's CAC 40 sliding 0.36%, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 trading lower by 0.45%; and in commodities, Crude Oil WTI and Brent gained 0.82% and 0.89% respectively, while Gold traded lower by 0.88%.
The US markets traded mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipping, while the small-cap Russell 2000 turned negative for the year; Asia-Pacific markets also fell, with Japan's Nikkei 225, Australia's S&P/ASX 200, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index experiencing losses; Southeast Asian countries are expected to drive demand for liquified natural gas (LNG) by 2030, particularly Vietnam due to its power plan prioritizing imported LNG; The British pound experienced its worst month in a year, falling 3.75% against the US dollar; Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella testified in federal court about Google's dominant influence over web publishing; The Russell 2000's negative performance suggests potential declines for stocks later in the year, although financials' sensitivity to interest rates may impact its accuracy as an economic indicator.
Asia-Pacific equity markets closed lower, with India's SENSEX, Taiwan's TAIEX, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries, Japan's Nikkei, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng all declining, while European markets are down in midday trading and U.S. equity futures point to a flat to positive open as investors remain focused on the 10-year Treasury yield and await comments from Fed officials later in the week.
Major U.S. indexes experienced significant drops, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling into negative territory for the year, as the 10-year Treasury yield reached a 16-year high of 4.8%; Asia-Pacific markets also followed suit, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its key interest rate unchanged; there was a notable increase in job openings in the U.S. in August, but hires and the number of quits remained relatively unchanged; foreign investment in Japan's real estate market rose by 45% in the first half of 2023; eight conservative Republicans joined Democrats to remove Kevin McCarthy as speaker of the House in a historic no-confidence vote; and India's economic growth is expected to be strong, although investors should consider sectors other than technology for stock market investment.
Stock indices finished in positive territory, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all posting gains, while the energy sector experienced losses; meanwhile, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield decreased and the Two-Year Treasury yield also saw a decline. The Factory Orders report showed an increase in new purchase orders placed with manufacturers, beating expectations. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index indicated a slight contraction in the non-manufacturing sector, and the ADP jobs growth data showed a slowdown in job growth and wages. U.S. Futures opened lower following higher-than-anticipated JOLTs jobs opening data. Asian markets ended mixed, while European indices traded in the red.
Asia-Pacific markets rise as U.S. Treasury yields ease from 16-year highs following weak jobs data, with Japan, South Korea, and Australia all trading higher, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index looks set for a rebound after losses on Wednesday; Carter Worth, CEO of Worth Charting, predicts lower interest rates and stocks by the end of 2023, contrary to consensus forecasts, while Vanguard's Aliaga-Diaz believes there is a limit to how high yields will go due to rate uncertainty; oil prices fall sharply, hitting their lowest level since September 5.
Asia-Pacific markets are expected to have a positive start to the week, with Chinese markets returning from a week-long holiday and investors watching inflation readings and trade data from China and India, as well as a monetary policy decision from Singapore's central bank. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 is up after a five-day losing streak, while futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index point to a stronger open. However, the outbreak of war between Israel and Palestine has affected stock futures and led to higher oil prices. There is also an increased likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by the end of the year, causing utilities stocks to sink as investors find short-term Treasuries more attractive.
Asian shares mostly fell amid concerns about the U.S. banking system and Chinese economic growth, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 0.4%, while China's export data showed the sharpest decline in three years. Bank stocks in the U.S. also fell after Moody's cut credit ratings for 10 smaller and midsized banks, citing concerns about their financial strength in light of higher interest rates and the work-from-home trend. The Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation by raising interest rates have led to a slowdown in the economy and hit banks hard.
South Korean stocks, led by Samsung Electronics, rise as the company's third-quarter profit forecast beats expectations; Japan's central bank considers raising its inflation outlook to nearly 3%; business morale in Japan remains subdued as manufacturing sentiment stays flat; Bank of America identifies global AI stocks with great potential; analysts recommend investing in dividend stocks amidst market volatility; Goldman Sachs does not anticipate the Israel-Hamas conflict to heavily impact markets; winners and losers emerge in the battery industry; travel-related stocks rebound after Monday's selloff; inflation expectations slightly increase in September; Nasdaq 100 crosses above the 50-day moving average.
Asian stocks retreat as concerns over the Israel-Hamas war and fears of rising U.S. interest rates weigh on risk sentiment, with Japan's Nikkei index leading losses.
Stock markets in the US closed higher, driven by optimism over earnings season, while Treasury yields rose due to concerns over the conflict between Israel and Hamas; Asian markets followed suit, with Japan's Nikkei 225 closing higher and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 recording gains, while European markets saw mixed results; in commodities, crude oil prices were relatively stable, while gold and silver prices increased slightly; and US futures indicated a slight decline.
The U.S. stock markets decreased due to rising Treasury yields and investor evaluations of corporate earnings, while Asian markets, including Japan's Nikkei 225 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200, also experienced declines; the European STOXX 600 index and Germany's DAX also decreased, while crude oil, gold, and silver prices fell.
