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New 'November 28th Cycles Theory' Predicts Bitcoin Price Lull Until Late 2024 Rally

  • Bitcoin price predicted to enter "mid cycle lull" until late 2024 according to new "November 28th Cycles Theory"

  • Theory states Bitcoin sees a "bull run launch" every 4 years around November 28, the date of the first halving

  • Current cycle predicted to peak in 2025 after bottoming and rallying from November 2024

  • Bitcoin has likely seen its early top already around $31,800 in July 2022

  • 2023 summarized as potential "bull market fakeout" before rally resumes in late 2024

cointelegraph.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are unlikely to reach new lows in 2023, according to former ARK Invest executive Chris Burniske, who warns against "bottom vultures" calling for lower prices without intentions of going long, predicting that the long-term uptrend will continue in 2024 and 2025.
Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
Bitcoin price reaches a 2-month low, but crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a positive change in the future due to market cycle theories and the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, potentially reaching a price of $50-55K pre-halving.
Bitcoin might experience a period of stagnation followed by a potential peak at $200,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026, according to a crypto analyst, although short-term prospects for Bitcoin appear challenging due to a comparison with the 1930s stock market and oversold condition.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
The current Bitcoin cycle appears to be lining up with previous cycles, showing similarities in the bear market drawdown phase and the convergence of prices after crashes, suggesting that more drawdown may be coming for the price.
Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to enter a rangebound phase until at least Q4 2023, according to market participant Filbfilb, who predicts that miners and speculation around the halving event will drive prices higher later in the year. However, macroeconomic risks, such as the Federal Reserve's policies, remain a key factor that could impact Bitcoin's performance.
Bitcoin expert Keyur Rohit advises investors to have patience and understand the cycles of Bitcoin, pointing out that the period leading up to the halving often sees a lull in price before potential gains in the future.
Digital assets-focused investment firm Pantera Capital predicts that Bitcoin will experience a parabolic bull run after the halving event in 2024, with the price potentially reaching $147,843 by mid-2025.
With millions of investors potentially experiencing their first crypto bull run, experts emphasize the importance of having a clear investment plan, avoiding memecoins, implementing dollar-cost averaging, and balancing investments between speculative and mature cryptocurrencies.
The US Federal Reserve's actions will determine the start of the next Bitcoin bull market, depending on their monetary policy decisions and willingness to hold interest rates higher for longer.
The fundamentals and technicals support a demographically driven bull market in stocks until 2034, but potential risks include inflation, interest rate-induced debt crisis, and refinancing problems, which could lead to a drop in the stock market. Comparing the S&P 500's score in August 2023 to historical patterns, the market seems confident and not indicating an imminent debt crisis or severe recession. Credit spreads also appear tame compared to previous crisis periods. However, the article notes the possibility of abrupt changes in the market and encourages openness to a wide range of outcomes.
A trader predicts that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high before the end of 2023, with the possibility of a 157% rally from the current level.
Bitcoin is likely to experience a deep corrective move in September, with a potential drop of over 10% from current levels, according to crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen, who also suggests that the altcoin markets may see a resurgence next year due to a confluence of macro tailwinds.
Bitcoin has been on a bull run since the Federal Reserve's $25 billion program to stabilize the US banking system, according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, who predicts that the market will respond in the next six to 12 months.
Bitcoin bulls may be disappointed as a monthly technical indicator suggests a weakening of upward momentum, potentially leading to a long and drawn-out basing process.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a corrective move before resuming its bullish momentum and potentially surpassing its previous highs, according to a pseudonymous analyst who accurately predicted the lowest price of the cryptocurrency during the 2018 bear market.
Bitcoin's four-year cycles may not be directly linked to halving events, as an alternative theory suggests that they are more closely correlated with the global M2 money supply and macro patterns. However, analysts still anticipate a rally and new bull cycle following the next Bitcoin halving event in late 2024.
Bitcoin is predicted to experience another major dip before entering a new bull cycle, according to crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, who believes the dip could form a double bottom pattern, a lower low, or a higher low depending on the timing.
Bitcoin's path to a major bull cycle remains intact despite the market correction, according to crypto analyst Dave the Wave, who believes the current consolidation period is normal and that the weekly LMACD indicator supports a bullish trend.
A crypto analyst has shared a "cheatsheet" for predicting Bitcoin price movements ahead of the next halving, suggesting that BTC's current prices are within the expected pre-halving range and that a post-halving rally is likely.
Crypto analyst Jason Pizzino believes that Bitcoin's bull market cycle is underway and will be confirmed if it crosses the key level of $28,500.
Bitcoin has the potential to rally and reach a new high in 2023, according to an analyst, who also states that the current price action looks constructive after a period of downward trend.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies saw a rise in value as traders placed bullish bets ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. However, these bets might be premature.
Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen predicts that Bitcoin will experience a short-term rise to test its bull market support band before resuming its downward trend, potentially falling below $20,000, although he believes it could eventually break through the band and enter a sustained bull market.
The next crypto bull run will be different from the last one, as corporate interest in blockchain technology will drive gradual growth rather than a sudden surge in prices, according to Lars Seier Christensen, founder of Concordium. However, there are differing opinions, with some experts believing that we are already in the initial stages of a bull market.
Altcoins are expected to struggle for the rest of 2023 based on historical patterns, according to crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, who also warns that Bitcoin may close the month in the red as it did in 2019.
Bitcoin is poised for a bull run next year according to analyst Dave the Wave, who cites the cryptocurrency's monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and logarithmic growth curves (LGC) as indicators of a maturing market and potential price increase, although short-term volatility is still possible.
Bitcoin halving, which is expected to occur in mid-2024, is already 85% complete, and the supply held by long-term holders is nearing its all-time high, suggesting that a mature bull market may not begin until next year.
Bitcoin is on the verge of reaching levels that offer accumulation opportunities and could potentially start an uptrend, according to crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe, who compares the current price action to that of a pre-halving year.
Bitcoin trader Dave the Wave predicts that the cryptocurrency will not experience a 2019-like fakeout rally in the current market cycle, as the conditions are different this time and there are indicators pointing towards a sustained bull rally in the future.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts Uptober with a bullish move past $28,000, marking its best weekly close since mid-August and sparking excitement about potential price gains in October. Meanwhile, Bitcoin network fundamentals are not reflecting the bullish sentiment, as mining difficulty is set to decrease at its next readjustment on October 2.
Bitcoin (BTC) may test its bull market support and potentially have a final leg to the downside, as predicted by crypto analyst Rekt Capital, who also suggests that this could be the last chance to buy BTC at low prices before it potentially peaks in 2025.
Crypto strategist predicts that Bitcoin will enter a massive bull run and reach new all-time highs once it surpasses a key support level, but warns that bearish speculation from the stock market could decrease momentum.
Bitcoin's bull market is expected to reignite as the Federal Reserve is predicted to resume printing money, leading to a surge in Bitcoin's price, according to BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes.
The next crypto bull market is expected to start in Q2 2024, coinciding with the Bitcoin halving, but macro factors will play a more significant role in sparking the uptrend, according to macro investor Raoul Pal.