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BTC bull market began in March, more will realize in a year — Arthur Hayes

Bitcoin has been on a bull run since the Federal Reserve's $25 billion program to stabilize the US banking system, according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, who predicts that the market will respond in the next six to 12 months.

cointelegraph.com
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Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
Google Bard predicts that the price of Bitcoin in the next bull market is uncertain but likely to be significantly higher than the current price, with some analysts suggesting it could reach $100,000, $200,000, or even $1 million by 2024. However, the ultimate price will depend on various factors such as the global economy, institutional adoption, and regulatory environment.
The U.S. stock market experienced a milder bear market in 2022 compared to historical bear markets, with a decline of 25% from its prior high, and history suggests that a new bull market is likely to follow soon.
Bitcoin, the top cryptocurrency, reached a two-month low due to risk aversion in global markets triggered by concerns about China's economy and U.S. interest rates, as well as a report that Elon Musk's SpaceX sold its bitcoin holdings.
Bitcoin price reaches a 2-month low, but crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a positive change in the future due to market cycle theories and the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, potentially reaching a price of $50-55K pre-halving.
Bitcoin might experience a period of stagnation followed by a potential peak at $200,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026, according to a crypto analyst, although short-term prospects for Bitcoin appear challenging due to a comparison with the 1930s stock market and oversold condition.
Bitcoin could potentially follow a trajectory similar to the stock market during the Great Depression, according to analyst Mike McGlone, but it’s important to note the technological and regulatory differences between the two.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes believes that if the Federal Reserve continues its ineffective strategy to combat inflation, Bitcoin and other risk assets with finite supply will benefit in the long run.
Key social metrics suggest that cryptocurrency markets may soon rebound, as the use of the term "bear market" has reached an 11-week high on social media platforms, which historically indicates that price rises are likely; additionally, deep-pocketed investors are accumulating Bitcoin again, contributing to a recent rally.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
The current Bitcoin cycle appears to be lining up with previous cycles, showing similarities in the bear market drawdown phase and the convergence of prices after crashes, suggesting that more drawdown may be coming for the price.
Bitcoin is predicted to reach a price of $148,000 after the next halving in April 2024, according to Pantera Capital, which manages $3.5 billion worth of assets, and notes that recent events such as the XRP ruling and endorsements by BlackRock are likely to contribute to the next bull market for digital assets.
Despite facing regulatory challenges and speculation about its future, the analysis of Binance's Bitcoin exchange reserves suggests that it is not experiencing a bank run like FTX did in 2021.
BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes believes that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could benefit from the interest income earned on US government paper, and predicts that Bitcoin will only fall mildly by less than 5% in the current market downturn.
Ethereum's price has surpassed Bitcoin's in the second half of 2023, as investor sentiment towards Ethereum has improved and Bitcoin dominance has declined, indicating a shift towards altcoins; Ethereum's oversold status and resilient consolidation above $1,500 suggest a potential bullish reversal in the coming days, but a drop below $1,500 is possible if bears gain control.
With millions of investors potentially experiencing their first crypto bull run, experts emphasize the importance of having a clear investment plan, avoiding memecoins, implementing dollar-cost averaging, and balancing investments between speculative and mature cryptocurrencies.
Long-term holders of Bitcoin are continuing to accumulate the cryptocurrency despite recent market volatility, indicating a bullish outlook for the future, according to analysts from Bitfinex. However, newer long-term holders who acquired their positions during the bear market are showing more unease and have exited their positions during price drops.
The US Federal Reserve's actions will determine the start of the next Bitcoin bull market, depending on their monetary policy decisions and willingness to hold interest rates higher for longer.
Bitcoin could experience a major market correction in September, potentially dropping by more than 16% based on historical performance and predictions by crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen.
Cryptocurrency industry observers argue that Bitcoin is not in its longest bear market and may not even be in a bear market at all, as the definitions of bull and bear markets are subjective and can vary based on different interpretations. Some believe that Bitcoin has been in a bear market since its peak in November 2021, while others argue that Bitcoin has been in a continuous bull market since 2019.
Bitcoin may experience a bull market if a spot-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) is approved around the time of the next halving, leading to a supply and demand shock in the cryptocurrency market.
The founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, argues that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes are fueling economic growth and benefiting the cryptocurrency industry, and believes that AI companies are less reliant on banks and more likely to prosper in the current economic climate. However, he also warns that investing in AI now may not yield immediate returns and that the convergence of AI, crypto, and money printing could result in a significant asset bubble.
Bitcoin is expected to experience a corrective move before resuming its bullish momentum and potentially surpassing its previous highs, according to a pseudonymous analyst who accurately predicted the lowest price of the cryptocurrency during the 2018 bear market.
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $22,000 due to worsening investor sentiment and the impact of lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase, while BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes claims the bull market began in March.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
Bitcoin is predicted to enter a "mid-cycle lull" before starting a bull run in late 2024, according to a new price model, with the date of November 28th identified as a key pivot point in the year.
US-based institutional investors are showing increasing bullish pressure on Bitcoin, as indicated by rising buy pressure and spot trading volumes, potentially leading to a price rally towards $28,000 if the trend continues.
Bitcoin could experience one final correction of up to 10%, according to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who advises long-term bulls to see it as an opportunity to increase their BTC holdings. However, if Bitcoin manages to stay above the 200-week EMA, it could continue to move upwards.
The global Bitcoin Bank market is expected to experience significant growth between 2023 and 2030, with the market value projected to reach multimillion dollars by 2030.
Bitcoin is on the brink of a bearish breakdown, but there is a possibility that the $25,000 support level could hold, presenting a short-term buying opportunity for investors. The price action of the US dollar and on-chain data suggest that buyers could return soon, making the current situation potentially profitable for opening Bitcoin longs.
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a short squeeze, leading to a rally in prices and a decline in open interest in futures and perpetual swaps trading. However, the lack of immediate bullish catalysts may cap the price recovery.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have been experiencing a steady decline in prices due to concerns from the Federal Reserve, leading to warnings of a potential price crash, although some analysts remain hopeful for improvement.
Bitcoin's recent 5% increase after testing the $25,000 support level doesn't necessarily indicate a victory for bulls, as Bitcoin has struggled to gain momentum despite significant catalysts, while bears have their own advantages like ongoing legal cases and financial troubles for Digital Currency Group. Derivatives metrics show a lack of demand for leveraged long positions, but options markets indicate equal odds for both bullish and bearish price movements.
Summary: Multiple central bank meetings are expected to take place next week, with the ECB already announcing a dovish rate hike, while oil prices continue to rally due to supply restrictions, gold is recovering ahead of the Fed meeting, and Bitcoin is struggling to regain momentum.
Crypto analyst Jason Pizzino believes that Bitcoin's bull market cycle is underway and will be confirmed if it crosses the key level of $28,500.
Bitcoin has the potential to rally and reach a new high in 2023, according to an analyst, who also states that the current price action looks constructive after a period of downward trend.
Bitcoin, ethereum, BNB, and XRP have experienced a strong price rally in 2023, but a small cryptocurrency has surpassed them, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions could impact the bitcoin price.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a rise in value as traders made bullish bets in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, though this surge may be premature.
Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen predicts that Bitcoin will experience a short-term rise to test its bull market support band before resuming its downward trend, potentially falling below $20,000, although he believes it could eventually break through the band and enter a sustained bull market.
Bitcoin attempted a rally, reaching its highest price in three weeks, but quickly faced selling pressure, while the broader crypto market saw modest gains; attention turns to the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting for potential impact on monetary policy.
A 0% interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve is expected to be bullish for Bitcoin, as historically BTC's price has correlated with risk equities and central bank policy.
Crypto strategist Credible Crypto suggests that Bitcoin could dip to around $24,900 but still remain on track for a bull market cycle, and he is closely monitoring Bitcoin options open interest as an indicator for the market bottom.
The next crypto bull run will be different from the last one, as corporate interest in blockchain technology will drive gradual growth rather than a sudden surge in prices, according to Lars Seier Christensen, founder of Concordium. However, there are differing opinions, with some experts believing that we are already in the initial stages of a bull market.