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China takes larger slices of EV, battery, other key markets: survey

Despite efforts by the U.S. and other countries to reduce reliance on Chinese supply chains, Chinese companies have successfully expanded their presence in key markets such as cutting-edge materials and electric vehicles, making it difficult for countries to ensure their economic security.

nikkei.com
Relevant topic timeline:
- China currently dominates the electric vehicle, battery, and critical metals industries. - However, other countries, such as Australia, India, and the US, have started pushing back against Chinese investment in these industries. - There is suspicion and concern about Chinese EV companies in countries like France, which is calling for an investigation into unfair subsidies by the Chinese government. - This could potentially lead to new tariffs on Chinese EV imports to the EU. - China's recent actions, such as threatening to curb exports of important materials and banning coal imports from Australia, have further fueled concerns about dependence on China.
China's historical dominance in the crypto industry persists despite periodic crackdowns, with many crypto companies still earning a significant portion of their revenue from the country and maintaining unofficial channels of liquidity; China's economic uncertainty, including concerns about future crackdowns and a collapsing real estate market, can impact global crypto markets.
Nvidia warns that stronger US restrictions on chip sales to China will harm American companies in the long term, while also acknowledging that stricter rules wouldn't have an immediate material impact on their finances.
Despite U.S. trade shifting away from China, the country still relies on China-linked supply chains, leading to higher costs for consumers and uncertain benefits in terms of improved manufacturing efficiency, according to research presented at a Federal Reserve symposium.
China's dominance in rare earths poses vulnerabilities for U.S. supply chains and highlights the need for diversified options, according to U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai.
China's economy is facing multiple challenges, including tech and economic sanctions from the US, structural problems, and a decline in exports, hindering its goal of becoming a top global exporter and tech power, which could have long-lasting effects on its status in international relations and the global economy.
China's economic slowdown is causing alarm worldwide, with countries experiencing a slump in trade, falling commodity prices, and a decrease in Chinese demand for goods and services, while global investors are pulling billions of dollars from China's stock markets and cutting their targets for Chinese equities.
India is positioning itself as an alternative to China in the global supply chain, aiming to become a major manufacturing hub and increase its role in the production of goods, as the world seeks solutions to supply chain disruptions caused by health crises and geopolitical events.
Globalization is shifting towards a strategy of security of supply, with companies diversifying their manufacturing operations and seeking suppliers closer to home, such as India, in order to reduce risks and uncertainties associated with relying solely on China.
China has defended its business practices and claimed that most U.S. firms want to stay and that Beijing is working to ease market access for foreign companies, in response to concerns from American businesses and global investors about the difficulties and risks of doing business in China.
US companies are becoming increasingly hesitant to invest in China due to concerns over new anti-spying laws, competition from state-funded firms, and the country's economic challenges such as deflation and a property crisis.
Taiwanese firms in China's wealthiest county, Kunshan, are facing uncertainty as rumors circulate about the possibility of them relocating to Vietnam, leading to concerns about the future of the county and its cross-strait relations. The geopolitical landscape and pressure from downstream foreign clients have led Taiwanese manufacturers to consider moving production to other countries, despite China's role as the "world's factory." The potential exodus of Taiwanese firms could have significant implications for the county's economy and supply chains.
The article discusses the potential for the West to use China's economic slowdown to gain an advantage in the electric car race, highlighting the need for a different approach to counter China's advantage. The author suggests welcoming Chinese investment and immigration of skilled Chinese scientists to strengthen the American EV industry and potentially weaken China.
China has announced new guidelines to boost car sales, with a focus on new energy vehicles, aiming to sell around 27 million new vehicles this year and increase sales of electric cars to approximately 9 million units, as the country looks to revive its post-Covid economy.
China's President Xi Jinping has announced that China will open up its service industries to further promote cross-border trade and investment, focusing on sectors such as telecommunications, tourism, law, and vocational examinations, and aligning domestic standards with international norms.
Europe's carmakers are facing a tough battle to catch up with China in the development of affordable and consumer-friendly electric vehicles, with Chinese EV makers already a generation ahead, according to industry analysts and executives at Munich's IAA mobility show.
Chinese electric car firms, including BYD and Xpeng, are expanding their presence in Europe and challenging traditional automakers in the EV market, capitalizing on Europe's attractive market and stringent regulations pushing towards EV adoption.
China is planning a $41 billion fund to boost its semiconductor industry in response to US restrictions on exporting chips to the country.
China's share of US goods imports has dropped to its lowest level since 2006, as American companies reorganize supply chains to reduce dependence on China and shift to countries like Mexico and Vietnam.
China's appeal to multinational corporations remains strong due to its robust domestic market and commitment to opening up its economy, leading to a shift in the quality of foreign investment inflow into the country, particularly in sectors such as trade in services and high-end manufacturing.
China's economic challenges and failed rebound post-Covid are causing U.S. investors and businesses to view Chinese exposure as a liability, leading to underperformance in companies with high China exposure and potential bans on foreign devices, signaling a potential decline in China's economic growth.
China's passenger vehicle sales experienced growth in August, driven by discounts and tax breaks on environmentally friendly and electric cars, despite a weak economy, and Tesla's share of the Chinese electric vehicle market nearly doubled.
Despite the risks and challenges of doing business in China, many Western companies still see it as a long-term bet due to its economic potential, but they are increasingly cautious and aware of the hazards they face.
US companies with significant revenue exposure to China are at risk due to the country's struggling economy, characterized by high youth unemployment rates and recent property defaults, according to Bank of America.
Chinese government restrictions on the use of iPhones at work have caused Apple's stock to decline, but investors see this as a buying opportunity due to China's previous restrictions on foreign products and Apple's strong prospects, attractive valuation, and upcoming product releases.
U.S. and European firms are redirecting their investment away from China to other developing markets, primarily India, due to concerns over China's business environment, economic recovery, and politics, according to a report from Rhodium Group, although China's share of global growth continues to increase.
The European Union is investigating China's state support for electric vehicle makers due to concerns about the impact on European auto manufacturers, with Chinese companies already gaining a substantial market share in Europe through cheaper prices and subsidies.
Emerging markets, particularly China, are facing challenges such as weak economic activity, real estate debt issues, regulatory environment, and market concentration, while the U.S. market is performing well; however, emerging markets outside of China, like India, are showing promise due to supply chain diversification, infrastructure investment opportunities, and a pro-business government. Other attractive markets include Taiwan, South Korea, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia.
China's startup world is facing challenges due to slowing growth, geopolitical tensions, and increased regulatory hurdles, resulting in a decline in early-stage investments and foreign participation.
China's private firms continue to face obstacles, referred to as "hidden barriers," including unequal financing and market access compared to state-owned enterprises, hindering their growth and development, according to Chinese state media. These barriers, along with the muddied government-business relationship and unfair market access, have contributed to the decline in private investment, while state-owned enterprises have seen an increase in investments. Despite efforts to improve the business environment, questions remain about the effective implementation of measures to boost private sentiment and support the struggling private sector.
American firms in China have become less optimistic about the country's future, with a survey revealing that only 52% of respondents are positive about the five-year outlook, the lowest since the survey began in 1999, and 40% of US firms are shifting their supply chains and investments away from China due to geopolitical tensions and regulatory uncertainties.
China's central bank has reassured multinational companies such as Tesla and HSBC that it will optimize its policy support after a sell-off in the stock market and concerns over foreign investment, as firms continue to divert investment away from China due to national security regulation and decoupling risks with the US.
The outlook of U.S. companies on China's markets in the next five years has hit a record low due to factors such as political tensions, tariffs, slow Covid recovery, and issues in the real estate market; however, complete decoupling between the two economies is unlikely.
U.S. companies are losing confidence in China and some are limiting their investments due to tensions between the two countries and China's economic slowdown.
Major U.S. companies are increasingly seeking manufacturing alternatives in countries like India to diversify their supply chains and reduce dependence on China due to the pandemic and escalating tensions between Washington and Beijing.