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Record China Stock Outflow and Ex-China Inflow in August Highlight Growth Concerns and Negative China Sentiment

  • Chinese stocks saw record $15.5B outflow in August, largest monthly outflow in a year amid growth concerns.

  • Ex-China emerging market stocks saw $6.6B outflow, largest since Sept 2021.

  • Ex-China emerging market debt saw $11.1B inflow, 7th inflow in 8 months.

  • All emerging market regions saw equity outflows; Asia, LatAm, Africa/Mideast saw debt inflows.

  • China saw $13.1B outflow YTD while ex-China saw $139.5B inflow, highlighting negative China sentiment.

reuters.com
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Hong Kong's stock market has benefited from China's rapid growth, with over 1,400 Chinese companies raising $1.05 trillion in the past 30 years.
International investors are selling off Chinese stocks at a rapid rate, with $10.7 billion worth of holdings sold in 13 consecutive days, the longest streak since 2016, due to concerns over slowing growth and the potential impact of the country's property sector on the financial system.
Chinese stocks rebounded briefly after Beijing implemented measures to halt the slide, but foreign investors used the opportunity to unload $1.1 billion of mainland Chinese equities, reflecting ongoing nervousness about holding capital in China.
World shares are on track for their biggest monthly drop since February, as China's factory sector remains in contraction and investors await key economic data from the U.S. and eurozone; meanwhile, oil prices are set for their largest monthly rise since January 2022.
Investors have pulled £10 billion from Chinese stocks as China's economy continues to decline, with declining exports and struggling real estate contributing to the turmoil.
Funds are rapidly leaving Chinese stocks and bonds, reducing China's influence on global portfolios and contributing to its decoupling from the rest of the world, as concerns over China's economic slump, property market crisis, and tensions with the West heighten.
China is experiencing a significant outflow of capital, putting pressure on the yuan and raising concerns for authorities as the currency weakens and financial markets become destabilized.
China experienced its largest capital outflow since 2015, with $49 billion leaving the country, as economic concerns prompt investors to withdraw; of this, $29 billion was withdrawn from securities investments, including bonds. The outflow was compounded by a record-high $12 billion in mainland-listed stocks being dumped by foreign investors and a $16.8 billion deficit in direct investment, the largest since 2016. The decline in the capital account was exacerbated by the tourism season, with outbound travel negatively impacting the services sector, while inbound travel remained suppressed, causing a continued deficit in the services trade. Efforts by Beijing, such as reducing the foreign currency reserves held by banks, have aimed to support the yuan but have been unable to prevent a significant decline in the offshore yuan. Weak exports and the allure of US yields have also contributed to the yuan's decline, further complicating China's capital flight situation, as doubts about the country's ability to achieve its 5% GDP target for the year grow.
Bitcoin could experience significant inflows from China in the coming months due to a weakening Chinese yuan and increasing capital flight, with Chinese investors turning to Bitcoin as a familiar investment in times of economic uncertainty, according to experts. The recent data shows that China's capital outflow reached its highest level since 2015 in August, potentially putting further pressure on the yuan. While Chinese capital controls may limit investment options, cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, is seen as a viable alternative. However, analysts caution that the impact of Chinese capital flight on Bitcoin may not be as significant as it was in 2017 due to changes in regulations and crackdowns on certain practices.
Investors withdrew $19 billion from the stock market, the highest outflow of the year, as rising bond yields and uncertainty about interest rates raised concerns of a market bubble, according to Bank of America, warning that the situation could lead to a difficult 2024.