1. Home
  2. >
  3. Business đŸ’Œ
Posted

Disney Stock: Prepare For A Seismic Strategic Shift (NYSE:DIS)

  • Disney's Linear Networks division, including ESPN, is struggling with declining revenue and profits due to dropping subscribers and viewership.

  • Management is actively exploring "strategic alternatives" for Linear Networks assets, signalling a potential major shift.

  • Rumors suggest Apple, Amazon, or Verizon could take a minority stake in ESPN or Linear Networks to aid transition to streaming.

  • The rest of Disney's business looks healthy, so a deal could serve as a catalyst to propel the stock higher.

  • Although the writer rates Disney stock a "strong buy," a transformative deal for Linear Networks could provide an additional boost.

seekingalpha.com
Relevant topic timeline:
This article discusses the impact of streaming services and cord-cutting on the sports industry, using Formula 1 and the NBA as examples. It highlights the success of Netflix's "Drive to Survive" docuseries in attracting a younger and more diverse audience to Formula 1. In contrast, the NBA has seen declining viewership, partly due to the decline of pay-TV bundles and the rise of streaming alternatives. The article also explores the challenges faced by regional sports networks and the need for sports leagues to focus on attracting and engaging fans in order to thrive in the digital era.
- Disney CEO Robert Iger has stated that the company's traditional television business, including ABC and ESPN, may not be core to its future. - This aligns with the vision of former Disney CEO Bob Chapek, who emphasized putting consumers at the center of every decision and integrating digital and in-person entertainment. - In September, Disney announced perks for Disney+ subscribers related to theme parks, merchandise, cruise lines, and theatrical movies. - Chapek was ousted in favor of Iger's return just two months after announcing this ambitious vision. - Selling the linear networks would leave Disney's future primarily focused on its parks and direct-to-consumer businesses.
Disney Launches ESPN Bet, Embracing the Gambling Industry Disney, known for its family-friendly values, has surprised many by venturing into the gambling industry. With the launch of ESPN Bet in partnership with PENN Entertainment, Disney aims to tap into the lucrative world of online sports betting. This move comes as no surprise, considering the company's growing involvement in the gambling industry since the legalization of sports betting in the US in 2018. Despite previous concerns about associating with gambling, Disney's CEO Bob Iger believes that public acceptance and the potential for profit outweigh any reservations. This partnership represents Disney's strategic move to expand its sports business into the streaming era. ESPN Bet will be integrated into Disney's long-term plan to transition its sports content from cable TV to online streaming platforms. ESPN has already embraced sports betting by launching a popular sports betting show and closely aligning itself with major players in the gambling industry. The new deal with PENN Entertainment deepens this association and offers a direct platform for ESPN to engage with sports bettors. While Disney is not directly involved in bookmaking, the launch of ESPN Bet signifies a significant shift in the entertainment giant's stance on gambling. Previously, Disney had banned casinos on its cruise ships and fought against the expansion of gambling establishments in Florida. However, the success of ESPN's existing sports betting show and the potential for growth in the industry have compelled Disney to capitalize on this opportunity. Overall, Disney's entry into the gambling industry through ESPN Bet showcases its willingness to adapt to changing market trends and tap into new revenue streams. The move aligns with Disney's strategy of transitioning its sports content to streaming platforms and leveraging the popularity of sports betting to engage audiences.
Disney CEO Bob Iger's search for equity partners for ESPN could result in Amazon acquiring a minority stake in the network to aid in the development of a direct-to-consumer version, joining other potential partners such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, and Verizon.
Disney is in preliminary discussions with Amazon about partnering to stream ESPN and potentially taking a minority financial stake in the sports service, as ESPN considers launching a comprehensive and expensive streaming service costing $20-$35 per month.
The media landscape is facing challenges as companies invest heavily in streaming services to compete with Netflix, but struggle to generate profits and manage high levels of debt.
Walt Disney has pulled its channels, including ABC stations and ESPN, from Charter Spectrum due to a distribution fee dispute, leaving nearly 15 million subscribers without access to popular programming such as "Jeopardy!" and "Wheel of Fortune."
Disney's TV channels, including ABC, ESPN, FX, and Freeform, have been blacked out on Charter Spectrum, the US's second-largest cable TV provider, impacting millions of subscribers and creating a significant carriage dispute between the two companies.
ESPN is facing challenges as consumers shift to streaming and turn to other platforms for sports highlights, leading to a decline in pay-TV households and increasing costs for live sports programming, prompting speculation about the future of the network, including the possibility of a strategic partnership and the eventual availability of the flagship ESPN channel as a direct-to-consumer streaming service.
Disney has urged Charter Communications customers to consider switching pay-TV services if they want access to ESPN and other networks, as the carriage dispute between the two companies continues. Disney also highlighted that customers have numerous options, including competing pay-TV providers and TV streaming services.
Disney's ongoing fight with Charter Communications over the placement of ESPN and other channels on Spectrum cable has escalated, with Stephen A. Smith publicly supporting Disney's position on social media.
U.S. advertising revenue is projected to grow in the coming years, but national TV is facing an "existential crisis" due to cord-cutting, streaming platforms, and production disruptions, according to a forecast by Brian Wieser of Madison and Wall.
Charter CEO Chris Winfrey stated that the ongoing carriage fight with Disney could result in a leaner, ESPN-free TV bundle for Spectrum customers, potentially leading to a smaller but more loyal customer base.
Disney stock is experiencing a decline, but it is still considered a good investment despite Charter Communications' request for Disney to reconsider its cable bundle.
The new carriage agreement between Disney and Charter Communications is seen as a win for both parties, with Disney gaining additional revenue through new distribution channels and Charter saving on unwanted linear networks. However, there are concerns about the impact on the broader entertainment industry and the future of linear TV.
Charter needed Disney to be the first mover in their deal to include Disney streaming services in cable packages, helping to moderate content costs for consumers and stabilize the linear video ecosystem.
Walt Disney CEO Bob Iger is considering options for the company's traditional broadcast and cable businesses, including the potential sale of ABC, as streaming services and declining viewership threaten the future of linear TV.
Walt Disney Co is reportedly in exploratory discussions with regional TV station operator Nexstar Media Group Inc to sell its U.S. TV network ABC, as the company considers divesting some of its traditional TV assets in the face of increasing competition from streaming services.
Disney's potential sale of ABC and its affiliated networks is not primarily motivated by financial gains, but rather serves as a signal to investors that Disney is ready to move away from traditional television and focus on its streaming businesses.