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Dollar Holds Steady Ahead of Key US Inflation Data; Yen Reverses Gains on Dovish BOJ Signals

  • Dollar steady vs major currencies ahead of key US inflation data later on Wednesday

  • Dollar rose against yen as traders further digest comments from Bank of Japan governor on possible early exit from negative rates

  • Yen gains sharply reversed as investors considered remarks more carefully, ruling party lawmaker also signalled preference for loose policy

  • US CPI inflation data today comes a week before Fed meets to decide on rates; Fed seen holding rates steady but November move uncertain

  • Euro flat ahead of ECB policy decision Thursday; source says ECB expects euro zone inflation above 3% in 2023, bolstering case for 10th straight rate hike

reuters.com
Relevant topic timeline:
The US dollar remains strong against major peers and the yen, as Treasury yields rise amid expectations of high US interest rates for a longer period, while China's central bank sets a stronger-than-expected daily midpoint for the yuan to counter mounting pressure on the currency.
The US economy continues to perform well despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, leading to questions about whether rates need to be higher and more prolonged to cool inflation and slow growth.
The Indian rupee remains steady against the US dollar due to corporate dollar demand and importers' activities.
Japan's inflation is "clearly in sight" of the central bank's target, according to board member Naoki Tamura, suggesting the possibility of ending negative interest rates early next year.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
Euro zone inflation holds steady in August, but underlying price growth falls, complicating decisions for the European Central Bank as it considers a pause in rate hikes amid a slowdown in economic growth.
US inflation remains above 3% as the cost of goods and services rose by 0.2% in July, prompting speculation that the Federal Reserve may freeze interest rates to manage inflation without causing a recession.
The gold market remains steady despite stable inflation pressures, suggesting that the US central bank may be able to end its tightening cycle.
Despite the divergence in global economies, the US dollar still remains dominant, holding a record-high share of 46% on SWIFT in July, while the euro's share slipped to a record low.
The dollar remains steady as US jobs data indicates a cooling economy and suggests that the Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its tightening cycle.
The U.S. dollar drifted in cautious trading as investors considered U.S. jobs data that indicated a potential slowdown, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its monetary tightening cycle.
The Japanese yen has reached a 10-month low against the US dollar, while the euro and sterling remain near three-month lows, as investors show confidence in the US economy despite global growth concerns.
The dollar strengthens against the yen and keeps the euro and sterling near three-month lows as investors rely on the resilience of the U.S. economy, while China's onshore yuan hits a 16-year low due to a property slump and weak consumer spending.
The Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hints at a potential shift away from negative interest rates.
The latest inflation report is expected to show a steady increase in consumer prices, with economists predicting a 3.6% overall inflation compared to last year, indicating that inflation is gradually coming down but still remains above the Federal Reserve's target.
The U.S. dollar stabilized as traders await U.S. inflation data, while sterling weakened after the U.K. economy contracted more than expected in July.
The dollar remains stable in Asia, while the yuan strengthens due to positive economic data from China.
Traders and investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its September meeting, indicating a shift in the market's interpretation of good economic news, as it suggests the Fed may be close to pausing its rate hike cycle despite inflation being above target levels and potential headwinds in the economy.
US inflation is expected to continue its slowdown in the coming months due to easing car prices, declining rents, and a potential slowdown in the job market.
The US dollar remains stable in Asian trades as the yen and sterling experience slight fluctuations due to upcoming central bank meetings, including the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish pause, and the Bank of England's possible interest rate increase.
U.S. Treasury yields remained steady as investors awaited fresh economic data and the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's September meeting, with expectations of unchanged interest rates but uncertainty about future policy.
Despite assurances from policymakers and economists, inflation in the US continues to rise, posing significant challenges to the economy and financial stability.
The US dollar remained strong against other currencies as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's rate decision, while the yen hovered near a 10-month low amidst speculation of intervention.
The Japanese yen remains weak against the U.S. dollar due to high U.S. Treasury yields and anticipation of the Bank of Japan maintaining its current monetary policies, while the dollar is boosted by the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates.
Japan's core inflation remained steady in August, staying above the central bank's 2% target for the 17th consecutive month, signaling broadening price pressure and potentially increasing the case for an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy.
The Bank of Japan has decided to maintain ultra-low interest rates and continue supporting the economy until inflation reaches its target, indicating a slow withdrawal from its stimulus program and causing the yen to fall.
The yen weakened against the dollar as the Bank of Japan announced it would maintain its accommodative monetary policy, with little indication of rolling it back.
The Japanese yen is approaching the key level of 150 per dollar, increasing the likelihood of forex intervention by Japanese authorities, while the US dollar continues its gains after the Federal Reserve signaled a longer period of higher interest rates.
The U.S. dollar remains strong above the $105 mark, supported by the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and increased Treasury yields, while gold prices consolidate and oil prices rebound due to supply cuts and positive outlooks for the U.S. and China.
Asian currencies showed mixed movements against the US dollar, with the Japanese yen slightly down, the Singapore dollar up, and the Taiwanese dollar unchanged, among others; overall, there has been varied performance in currency rates across the region in 2023 so far.
The US dollar pulls back from a 10-month high against a basket of currencies as the quarter ends, giving the yen some relief amid concerns of intervention.
The US dollar maintains its dominant position as the leading global currency, with a 58.9% share of global currency reserves, despite a gradual decline over the past 20 years.
The dollar rose due to expectations of higher U.S. interest rates, while the yen reached a one-year low, leading to concerns about intervention by Japanese authorities; the euro and pound also fell, while the U.S. Congress passed a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown.
Asian currencies against the dollar remained relatively stable, with minimal changes observed in the latest rates, according to data compiled by Reuters.
Underlying US inflation is expected to rise, supporting the idea that interest rates will need to remain higher for a longer period of time, as indicated by central bankers.
Americans expect high inflation to persist over the next few years, with a median estimate of a 3.7% inflation rate one year from now, indicating that sticky inflation may continue, according to a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The dollar remains steady as U.S. producer prices show a moderation in inflation, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve is done with interest rate hikes.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable as U.S. inflation data surpasses expectations, leading to uncertainty in monetary policy and the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates; market participants are cautious about a potential upside for BTC in the short term.
The report on consumer prices in September shows that inflation remains steady but still poses challenges, leading economists to predict that the Federal Reserve will keep the possibility of a final interest rate increase this year open.